How to Bet NFL Week 1: Chiefs vs Patriots

The 2017 NFL season starts off with a bang as the Kansas City Chiefs and the New England Patriots will start things off this season. If you like to bet on football and you want to make some money than it is important that you know how to bet NFL week 1. It all starts with the season opener. The Patriots will host the Chiefs on September 7th at 8:30 pm on NBC. Another side story will be the fact that NFL commissioner Roger Goodell will attend the game. Here is how to bet NFL week 1 concerning the Chiefs and the Patriots.

Patriots Are Over hyped

The New England Patriots were the best team in the NFL a year ago. Many believe that they will be the best team again this season. While that is not a reach, there is such a thing as too much hype for a football team. The Patriots preseason is being ignored (like it should be) and the Patriots are everyone’s pick to win it all. They are the favorites to win the Super Bowl and there is already talk about going undefeated. If you are looking where to bet on NFL week 1, we have you covered. 

Hype Drives Wagering

Still don’t think the Patriots are over hyped? They have the highest projected win total in the NFL and they are favored to win a 12th straight AFC East title. The real way to see that they are over hyped is in the point spread. When the line was first released, the Patriots were installed as (-7) point favorites. Since then the point spread has shot up and at most major safe sportsbooks the line is now Patriots (-9). That is overhyping.

Sports Betting Consensus

Another way to show that the public is pounding the Patriots is by looking at the sports betting consensus. The Patriots are getting over 70 percent of the football bets that are coming in on this season opener. That is the fourth highest percentage in the list of week one games which is changing the NFL week 1 odds. These numbers are great, but what about the action on the football field?

Chiefs Grinding Ground Game

The Kansas City Chiefs are not a sexy football team, but they get the job done. Coach Andy Reid always gets this team in the playoffs and with double digit wins. They can run the ball and they play solid defense and that is a good recipe for winning football games. Last year the Chiefs only lost one game by more than nine points.

How to Bet NFL Week 1: Chiefs vs Patriots

How to Bet NFL Week 1: Chiefs vs Patriots

Play Keep Away

If the Chiefs want to win this game they have to keep Tom Brady off the field. The Chiefs have emphasized the running game in the preseason and it will pay off. With Spencer Ware, veteran CJ Spiller and rookie Kareem Hunt, the Chiefs will have a much better running game this year.  You can’t stop Tom Brady, but you can keep him at bay if you can control the time of possession.

Winning The Red Zone

The Chiefs defense is underrated especially in the red zone. According to ESPN, they have one of the best red zone defenses in the NFL. They ranked second in red zone defensive DVOA (35 percent more efficient than average), fourth in points per red zone drive (4.34) and fifth in preventing touchdowns on red zone drives (49.1 percent).

Chiefs vs Patriots NFL Week 1 Predictions

The Patriots are better than the Chiefs, but not nine points better. The Patriots still have work to do on their defense which has had some issues in the preseason. The Chiefs will control the clock and slow down the game making it closer than expected. When the dust is settled the Patriots will win, but it won’t be easy.

Patriots 27 Chiefs 24

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