The Miami Dolphins are off an embarrassing loss to the Tennessee Titans and won’t have much time to recover as they travel to Buffalo for a prime-time divisional game against the Bills. Among all of picks against the spread for week 11, this game provides an intriguing matchup.
Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Odds: The Bills are not having a good season but they are still favorites in this game. That is most likely due to the close game they played against the New England Patriots. The Bills had a chance to win the game and late and that is drawing some early betting action from the public.
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The Dolphins rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill was flawless going into the game against the Titans and had not had a turnover, but turned it over three times. He will respond with a much better game against the Bills secondary which has struggled all season long.
Running back Reggie Bush has a lot to prove after his dismal performance against the Titans. Bush publicly apologized to his fans via Twitter and will be running with urgency.
I have to apologize to Dolphin Nation my performance these past few weeks has been poor & I’m embarrassed right now! You guys deserve better
— Reggie Bush (@reggie_bush) November 11, 2012
The Dolphins have several NFL betting trends in their favor coming into this game. The Dolphins are 11-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last 14 games following a loss of more than 14 points, 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games, and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
Bills quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick plays well but as seen in the New England game he is prone to turnover sin crucial moments of the game. The Dolphins defense will be much better at pressuring Fitzpatrick and that will lead to turnovers and easy points.
The Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings and the Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games. The Bills are false favorites in this game and the Dolphins will win outright and by double digits on Thursday night football.
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NFL Week 11 Predictions and Picks Against the Spread