This is the post from last year—if you want free picks for all of the bowl games just email Matt Regaw at email@example.com
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One of the best traditions in college football is ringing in the New Year with great bowl games. That tradition continues in 2012-2013 when six bowl games kick off on the first day of the year. With so many big games here are the New Year’s Day College Football Bowl Predictions for every game on the schedule.
Check out the Bookie Blitz Bowl Game Central for a comprehensive list of picks and predictions on all bowl games this season!
Gator Bowl Odds: The opening betting line for the Gator bowl opened with Mississippi State as a (-3) point favorite but that line has moved and now the Wildcats are (-1) point favorites.
Northwestern may be the better team but they struggle in bowl games. The Wildcats have lost nine consecutive bowl games since their lone victory, which came in the 1949 Rose Bowl. The Bulldogs are an excellent bowl team and they have not lost in the post season since 1999 and are 2-0 under current coach Dan Mullen.
The Bulldogs have a big edge with wide receiver Chad Bumphis the second-team all-SEC selection leads the Bulldogs in catches (55), receiving yards (904) and touchdowns (12). Mississippi State is ranked fifth nationally in turnover margin at plus-1.42 an that will be the decisive edge in this game.
Heart of Dallas Bowl Odds The Cowboys are (-17) point favorites in one of the biggest lines of the bowl season as they are expected to handedly defeat the Boilermakers.
The Cowboys are 14-8 all-time in bowl games, which is the second-highest percentage in the country among schools with at least 20 bowl appearances. They win bowl games with a high scoring offense and great coaching.
The Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and although they have a decent offense it will be tough to keep up with the Cowboys. The Cowboys are the most popular bet on the board (76% of the public) for New Year’s Day so this could be closer than experts think, but the only play is the Cowboys.
Outback Bowl Odds: The Gamecocks opened up as (-3.5) point favorites and that line has shifted to (-5) with kickoff approaching.
The Gamecocks may be the better team on paper, but they are just 5-9 straight up and against the spread in their last 14 bowl games. With running back Marcus Lattimore out due to injury, the Gamecocks will have to rely on quarterback Connor Shaw. Shaw is great at times, but inconsistent and that can hurt in this bowl game.
Denard Robinson will be playing in his final game as a Wolverine and along with Devin Gardner they are a dynamic duo on offense. The Wolverines defense is admirable allowing only 18.8 ppg on less than 312 ypg.
Michigan coach Brady Hoke is 8-0 ATS after a loss and the Wolverines pull off the stunning upset in the Outback Bowl.
Capital One Bowl Odds: The betting line foe the Capitol One bowl opened with the Bulldogs listed as (-9) point favorites. Despite 79% betting on Georgia the line has dropped in favor of Nebraska and is now at (-8).
Hard to figure out if the Bulldogs will be motivated to play this game after missing out on the Bowl Championship Game. Meanwhile Nebraska comes into this game licking their chops after allowing 70 points to the Badgers in the last game they played.
The Bulldogs led by QB Aaron Murray who is No. 2 nation pass efficiency, will be focused to beat this defense and put out a good effort. The Bulldogs are 13-5 SU and 12-6 ATS in bowl games since 1991.
Nebraska is in a tough spot as bowl teams off a loss are 11-28 ATS returning to same bowl as last year. The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and they win big to make a statement to the pollsters.
Rose Bowl odds: The Stanford Cardinals opened up as (-6) point favorites but the coaching changes at Wisconsin has changed this number and it has moved up to (-6.5).
The Badgers will try and put up yards and points on the ground against Stanford. Behind All-America running back Montee Ball (133.1 yards per game), change-of-pace backup James White (61.7 yards per game) and upstart freshman Melvin Gordon (216 yards on nine carries against Nebraska), the Badgers average 237.8 yards on the ground, No. 12 nationally.
That plays right into the strength of this Cardinal squad. Stanford’s success this season was predicated on its outstanding rushing defense, ranked third nationally (87.7 yards per game).
The Cardinal will have the edge against a Badger team in flux. Pac-10/12 bowl teams are 15-3 ATS against a Big 10 team off a victory. The Badgers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and Barry Alvarez won’t be able to get a win in his return to the sidelines.
Orange Bowl Odds: The Seminoles opened up as (-15) point favorites but since then the line has shifted and currently can be found at (-13).
No team got more grief about their bowl appearance than the Northern Illinois Huskies. The Huskies have won 12 games in a row, becoming the first team from the MAC to ever earn a spot in a BCS bowl, but many believe that other teams were more deserving. The only hope for the Huskies in this game is to win the turnover battle.
The Huskies have intercepted at least one pass in nine straight games. Florida State has lost 16 fumbles, which is tied for 108th nationally.
Florida State fell short of their season opening expectations and has been known to play down to their opposition. That lackluster play was evident in their close victory over Georgia Tech in the ACC Championship.
The Seminoles are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a win and 0-4 ATS in the last four games overall. The Huskies are motivated to show that they belong in this game and will come out with more energy than the Seminoles early in this game.
The Huskies will play hard and hang tough in the Orange Bowl, but ultimately the Seminoles have too much talent to lose. This will be closer than most people think but there will be no upset on New Year’s Day.
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