The NFL Lock of the Week is not always to pick because it is defined as the best play on the NFL schedule for that week. One week ago the NFL Lock of the Week was the Miami Dolphins over the New York Jets. The Dolphins missed a field goal that would have won the game, but ultimately got the win against the spread (ATS) or the push depending on the closing line.
For this weekend’s games, the NFL Lock of the week is the Green Bay Packers (-9) over the New Orleans Saints.Online sportsbook Just Bet, has the current spread on this game and is giving out a very nice 185% bonus to new signups along with a free entry to a $10,000 contest.
The Green Bay Packers come into this game off a controversial loss against the Seattle Seahawks. The Packers were angry with the results and will use that as motivation to win this weekend. Aaron Rodgers has made his feelings on the call very clear and has tremendous focus heading into this game.
The New Orleans Saints are walking into a buzzsaw. The Saints lost as nine point favorites at home to the Kansas City Chiefs and at 0-3 they realize that their season is in jeopardy. The come into this game with their heads hanging low and no chance of winning this game.
Drew Brees is outstanding as usual but he has little support. His offensive line is failing from a protection standpoint and the defense has trouble stopping anyone. This defense will be no match for Rodgers and a focused offense.
The Saints defense has coughed up 262.3 net yards per game (25th in the NFL), with three TDs allowed vs. just one interception generated. Combined with their league-worst rush D, this is the most giving defense in the NFL, averaging almost 500 yards of offense allowed each and every week. If Kansas City can tear them up, the Packers will destroy them.
The Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last five games on grass and 2-6 ATS in the last eight games in September. The Packers are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games on grass, 21-9-1 ATS in their last 31 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game and 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games overall.
The Packers will handle the Saints with ease and they are the NFL lock of the week.
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