NFL Wildcard Best Bets and Picks Against the Spread

This is the first weekend of the run to the Super Bowl. Four games are slated for the weekend with two in the AFC and two in the NFC. Many NFL betting experts have weighed in on the games with different opinions and picks, but no one has yet to release the NFL Wildcard best bets. So here they are in order of game time, the 2018 NFL Wildcard best bets for this weekend in the National Football League.

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

Everyone is overestimating the Kansas City Chiefs. They have some great home field advantage, but the Titans and Marcus Mariota have won here before. The Chiefs also have a problem winning in the preseason under Andy Reid as his record is just awful. Don’t be surprised if Mariota moves more with his legs and opens up the field with his passing game. The Chiefs struggle against the pass and that will allow this field to open up for Derrick Henry and the running game. As far as the public betting goes, this is the most lopsided game of the weekend. The public is wrong and therefore my best bet in this game is the Titans plus the points.

Best Bet: Titans (+9)

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Atlanta Falcons vs LA Rams

The Falcons have been to the Super Bowl before and they go up against a young coach with an unexperienced quarterback and they are six point underdogs? That has led all the sheep to the sportsbooks slobbering to put money on the Falcons to advance this weekend. DeVonta Freeman is not healthy. The Falcons offensive line will not be able to stop Aaron Donald from getting Matt Ryan and the Rams can score against anyone. Like some other NFL experts I like the Rams, but the best bet in this game for me is on the total. Everyone is talking about high scoring, but Dan Quinn is a defensive guy and the defense is mostly healthy on both sides of the ball. The under is 19-6-1 in Falcons last 26 games on grass and the under is 10-3 in Rams last 13 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The smart money is on the under and so am I. The best bet in this game is that it will not go over the 48 points.

Best Bet: UNDER 48

Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars

The Bills are a great story but you have to respect the fact that the Jags have an awesome defense. As noted by other NFL experts, the points have jumped in this game as the public is betting on the Jags. I do respect the few NFL handicappers that like the Bills, but I respectfully disagree. This could be for good reason as LeSean McCoy is not 100% and he is responsible for 33% of the offensive plays on this team. Doug Marrone and Marcel Darius will have extra motivation to win this game as they both used to be with the Bills organization. All the stats favor the Jags in this game as they are No .2 in the league at plus-80 yards per game, No. 2 red zone conversion rate and they gather sacks by the dozens as every player on this defense can get after the quarterback. The Jags are 4-1 against the spread in the last five home games and win this game with ease.

NFL Wildcard Best Bets and Picks Against the Spread

NFL Wildcard Best Bets and Picks Against the Spread

Best Bet: Bills (+9)

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

Of course my NFL Wildcard best bets have to include a pick in this game. Everyone is talking about how the Saints are looking to sweep a three game series with the Panthers, but I don’t care about that. I do care that the Panthers can stop the run as they have the No. 6 run defense in the league. The Saints offense needs to be balanced to win. If they can’t run the ball, this could be a problem. On the other side of the field the Panthers can and will run against the Saints. Jonathan Stewart is healthy and Newton will run in this game, a lot. The Saints have big problems covering big points. They are 1-3 ATS as a favorite of a touchdown or more.

Best Bet: Panthers (+7)