The stage is set for Super Bowl XLVII in New Orleans as the Baltimore Ravens will face off against the San Francisco 49ers for the right to be called Super Bowl champions. The story of the two brother head coaches will be over hyped at a nauseating pace leading up to kickoff, so instead of looking at that we will cover the game and pick the winner. Before diving into the game let’s take a look at the odds.
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The odds for the big game opened up with the 49ers listed as (-5) favorites. That number has already been bet down to (-4) in several sports books as the Ravens are attracting public betting to the tune of 66 percent according to the sports consensus. Not all of this movement is based on public perception.
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The Wynn was the first in Vegas to post a line, San Francisco minus-5. Minutes later, the Las Vegas Hotel posted San Fran minus-4.5. In fact the early drop could also be attributed to the sharp bettors taking the Ravens plus the points while it still holds value. Both teams have had fantastic journeys littered with great storylines as they head into the Super Bowl.
The Ravens limped out of the regular season and were a longshot to get to the big game. Inspired by the retirement of linebacker Ray Lewis, the Ravens demolished the opposition to include knocking out AFC favorites Broncos and Patriots. Quarterback Joe Flacco has emerged as a (dare we say) elite quarterback in the NFL with a deadly deep ball. However the biggest quarterback story will be on the other side of the field.
The 49ers switched to rookie quarterback Colin Kaepernick amid some controversy, but it has been a genius move. The 49ers pistol attack has flourished since Kaepernick took over the starting gig and it has helped this team evolve and brought out the best in several players to include wide receiver Michael Crabtree.
The Super Bowl XLVII trends point to the 49ers as they have been a sports bettors dream all season long or at least since Jim Harbaugh came on board. The 49ers are 10-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last 13 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, 5-1 ATS in the last six games against a team with a winning record and 25-11-1 ATS In the last 37 games overall.
These teams seem evenly matched on paper. Both play tough physical defense and have incredibly efficient offenses. These teams have two great coaches in Jim and John Harbaugh and it will be interesting to see the chess match play out in the Super Bowl.
The 49ers are favorites for a reason. They have the edge in this game and it will show with the mobility of Kaepernick teamed up with a faster defense. The 49ers have the ability to rush the passer and hassle Flacco into making mistakes. This game will be close early but the 49ers pull away for the hard fought victory in Super Bowl XLVII.