2020 NFL week 1 picks against the spread for every game

Posted on September 6, 2020September 12, 2020 by Max Hammersby

2020 NFL week 1 picks against the spread for every game

This may be the highly anticipated NFL season of the year. With a worldwide pandemic and an ever-changing world, football is exactly what we need right now. College football is great, but nothing beats the NFL. There is nothing better than watching and betting on the NFL. To celebrate this wonderful occasion, we proudly present our NFL week 1 picks against the spread for every game. (And di I mention we also have our free best teaser bet of the week? )

NFL odds, matchups for Week 1

All point-spreads are provided by the best betting line that we were able to find using the NFL odds provided by our Top Ten Sportsbooks.

Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5, 54)
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-6, 43)
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-8, 48.5)
New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (-6.5, 39.5)
Las Vegas Raiders at Carolina Panthers (+2.5, 47.5)
Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons (+1.5, 49)
Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins (+6, 43)
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (-3, 43.5)
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars (+7.5, 45)
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (-2.5, 46)
Los Angeles Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals (+3, 44)
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (-7, 49)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (-3.5, 49.5)
Dallas Cowboys at Los Angeles Rams (+2.5, 51.)
Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Giants (+4.5, 47.5)
Tennessee Titans at Denver Broncos (-1.5, 41)

NFL Week 1 picks against the spread for every game

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs

The defending champions get the spotlight on opening night as the Kansas City Chiefs will host the Houston Texans. The Chiefs are favorites to repeat as champions, but in the NFL you can always expect the unexpected to happen. Since it is opening night we needed more room to share our insight, so the entire article with sports betting information, trends, and our free pick, can be found here.

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens are expected to make a push for the Super Bowl. Do you hear that coming out of Cleveland? It’s nothing. Baker Mayfield, OBJ, and all of the players are quiet. That’s a sign of good coaching and the difference between this year and last year. For as good as the Ravens have been at home, they have been a bad bet. The Ravens are 5-11 against the spread (ATS) at home and the Browns have covered 7 of the last ten games in Baltimore. Don’t like betting a bad team? Since 2005, teams that won six or fewer games the previous year are 152-140-8 (52.1%) against the spread (ATS) through the first three weeks of an NFL season. The Browns stun the Ravens in week one and have a realistic chance of winning this game. (But take the points to be safe)

Browns +8.5 [Bet now at BetOnline and join the $250,00 NFL Mega contest!]

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills

The Bills sign Stefon Diggs in the offseason and with Tom Brady out of town; the Bills believe they can win the AFC East. The Jets may not seem like formidable opponents, but don’t underestimate this offense. Le’Veon Bell has a chip on his shoulder after a bad showing last season. Now with a bolstered backfield that includes Frank Gore, the running lanes will be open. This will allow Sam Darnold some time to throw. I am not dismissing the Bills. Josh Allen is highly criticized, but a good young quarterback. The Bills are the much better team, but this still a divisional rivalry. One in which the road team (4-0 ATS) as fared well. The underdog has covered 8 of the last 10 games and the Jets keep this game to a field goal.

Jets +6.5 [Bet now at My Bookie and double your first deposit!]

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Las Vegas Raiders vs Carolina Panthers

The Raiders will play their first game since moving to Las Vegas, but they start things off on the road. The Panthers have a new quarterback, a new head coach, a new offensive coordinator, and a new defensive coordinator. With that in mind, why are the Raiders only (-2) point favorites on the road in this game? The full breakdown with a preview, trends, and pick against the spread is located here.

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

The Bears did it. They named Mitch Trubisky the starting quarterback. This will be a make-or-break year for the Bears and it will be interesting to see what happens if Mitch struggles. It won’t take long. The Lions are vastly improved on defense and will have one of the better offenses in the NFL. They signed Adrian Peterson and that gives them depth and leadership on this team.

The Bears are thin at running back and all of the pressure will be on Mitch. The Bears are 1-4 ATS in the last five games as an underdog. Chicago is also 0-6 ATS in the last six road games and the home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings. The Lions win big and the quarterback controversy starts in week one.

Lions -2.5 [Bet now at Wagerweb and get a 100% free play or CASH up to three times!]

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

This game is covered in storylines. Cam Newton joins the Patriots and everyone wonders if they can win without Tom Brady. Down at South Beach, the Dolphins drafted a hot=shot rookie and they are now considered by some to be a contender to surprise this year in the NFL. Bill Belichick and the Pats host the Dolphins after the embarrassing, but remarkable week 17 win a season ago. Who wins? more importantly who covers the spread? With so many storylines we had to provide a full breakdown of this game with our pick against the spread.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Football Team

The Eagles are in trouble with as many injuries as they have to start the season. The offensive line is one big Band-Aid and key positional players come limping into this game. The difference in Washington is Ron Rivera and his difference will be felt in week one. The Eagles always start slow at the betting window covering just one of the last seven games that they have played in September. The Eagles have a strong defensive line but are mediocre at linebacker. If Washington QB Dwayne Haskins can break the first line he is off to the races.

Doug Pederson says Carson Wentz will be ready for week 1, but how healthy will he be? More importantly how safe will he be behind a battered offensive line? There are too many questions to be a favorite of this magnitude on the road.

Washington Football Team +6 [Bet Now at My Bookie and enter the $300,000 pick ’em contest!]

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

If you follow me on Twitter (@bookie_blitz) you know that I am a big fan of the changes that the Colts made in the offseason. They have vastly improved on both sides of the ball. As a result, they are a solid bet to win the AFC South. The Jaguars are not. They have dumped their best players and will be big underdogs in every game this year. The public has already started betting against the Jags. This line opened at -6.5 and has been bumped as high as 8.5 at several sportsbooks.

The Colts have a strong focus on the opener because they want to buck a very ugly trend. Overall they are 1-9 in season openers and Indianapolis has lost 7 straight openers on the road. The team is very aware of this.

“It’s important because every year . . . just talking to Mr. Irsay,’’ Frank Reich said. “He stresses to me the importance of the opener.

This focus will translate to execution on the field. The Jags are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 games as an underdog. The only play to make in this game is the Colts.

Indianapolis Colts -7.5 [Bet Now at GT Bets and get a 150% bonus and free points added to the spread!]

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Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have had a very difficult offseason. Since the draft, the team, management, and their quarterback have all been under scrutiny. Many believe that this team will not make the playoffs. The game against the Vikings is days away and the Packers still have not revealed who will be starting on the offensive line.

The Vikings are quietly having an incredible offseason and are flying under the radar as a possible Super Bowl contender. They added Yannick Ngkoue to a defensive-minded team that will be hard to beat. On offense, Kirk Cousins will have more freedom to throw with a change at offensive coordinator. This will lead to a high scoring offense that will not skip a beat, although they lost wide receiver, Stefon Diggs. NFL betting trends point to the home team since the Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 1 and 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 home games. Vikings start off by beating down the Packers.

Minnesota Vikings -3 [Bet Now at BetOnline and get a Free $10,000 NFL Survivor Contest entry!]

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons

The battle in the South between Seattle and Atlanta is attracting plenty of bets from the public. In fact, it is one of the most bet on games in the first week of the NFL season. Russell Wilson and the Seahawks are projected by many to be Super Bowl-bound, but the Falcons are not getting the same respect. With so much on the line in this very popular game, it deserved its own full-length breakdown. Read the full preview and get all of the Seahawks vs Falcons predictions here.

LA Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals fan base will be very excited about the debut of rookie quarterback Joe Burrow. The young gun will be in charge of turning this franchise around, but it won’t be easy. Despite some serious injuries to the secondary, the Chargers defense allowed the sixth-fewest total yards and the six fewest passing yards per game last season. The Chargers are underrated after losing Phillip Rivers and Melvin Gordon on offense, but they won’t skip a beat. Tyrod Taylor is vastly overlooked and can run and WR Keenan Allen loves his deep ball.

Chargers HC Anthony Lynn is familiar with Taylor and he will use his legs as a weapon. In 2016, with Lynn as Taylor’s Offensive Coordinator, the Bills rushed for 2,630 yards and 29 touchdowns. Over that same time span, Taylor was able to complete 62.2% of his passes for 8,857 yards, 51 touchdowns, and 16 interceptions.

The Chargers are 10-4-2 ATS in the last 16 road games and they will rattle the rookie. Bet against the Bengals who are 3-11 ATS in the last 14 home games and not ready to take that next step just yet.

LA Chargers -3 [Bet now at Wagerweb and get a 100% free play or CASH up to three times!]

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

This is a game that will test every sports bettor.

Do you believe in the hype surrounding Kyle Murray and back Cardinals and buy into the Super Bowl hangover? Or do you believe the 49ers are for real and will start this year like they ended last year? If you look at the ATS record of Super Bowl losers in the first game of the season, it is not great, but that is usually when that team is on the road. Not to mention that the Cardinals seem to be the favorite pick of NFL “experts” looking for an early upset.

The Cardinals offense may be improved but they have a defense that was one of the worse in the league a year ago. The 49ers offense is the focal point of this team and they will exploit a Cardinals defense that is still missing quality players and depth. San Francisco has the better coach and that is why the 49ers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 1.

You always want to avoid the popular underdog in the sports betting business and that can only mean one thing. The 49ers win by double-digits and cover the spread.

San Francisco 49ers -7 [Bet Now at My Bookie and enter the $300,000 pick ’em contest!]

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Dallas Cowboys vs LA Rams

The Cowboys are going to win the Super Bowl. This is what you hear if you read almost any sports site but look at the NFL betting odds. If the Cowboys are that much better than the Rams, why are they three-point favorites on the road? That indicates that that game will be very close. The Rams have covered 12 of the last 16 games ATS against the NFC and they are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 games in September.

This game will go down to the wire and although the Rams will have no home-field advantage, the best bet is to take the underdog.

LA Rams +3 [Bet Now at BetOnline and get a Free $10,000 NFL Survivor Contest entry!]

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

This is by far, the biggest game of the week. All eyes will be on the Buccaneer’s new-look offense led by Tom Brady. Brady will have a multitude of weapons at his disposal to include some new additions in Rob Gronkowski, Leonard Fournette, and LeSean McCoy. Drew Brees is heading into his last year and his goal is to win a Super Bowl. Although New Orleans will not have a loud crowd for the opener, it is still difficult to play in the Big Easy. With the magnitude of this game, it had to have its own breakdown. This is how to bet on the Buccaneers vs Saints on Sunday.

Monday Night Football

Tennessee Titans vs Denver Broncos

This game was going to about the resurgence of the Tennessee Titans and the improved offense of the Denver Broncos. Unfortunately, most of the news surrounding this game is off-the-field. For Denver, it’s all about injuries as defensive standout Von Miller is out for three months or more and wideout Courtland Sutton is dealing with a sprained C Joint.

The Titans issues stem from a highly drafted rookie. OL Isaiah Wilson was arrested on Friday night and the Titans are aware of the situation.

BREAKING: #Titans OL Isaiah Wilson Arrested Friday Night (via @BuckReising) https://t.co/8BwMY6PUfJ

— AtoZSports Nashville (@AtoZSports) September 12, 2020

On the field, the Titans have Derrick Henry who once again is going to be the bell cow for his offense. Many of the NFL prop bets at sportsbooks suggests that he has a very good chance to lead the league in rushing. On defense, newly acquired Jadeveon Clowney will see his first action. His task is simple; get Drew Lock.

With the Mile High air, the Broncos will still have a home-field advantage especially if the Titans lack conditioning. The Broncos have won seven straight home openers and they are 22-3 in its last 25 home openers. To make matters worse for the Titans, they are just 1-6 ATS when playing Denver.

Drew Lock and this new offense will be impressive and will surprise the Titans. The odds have moved and the value now lies with the home team.

Denver Broncos +3

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The rest of the games are coming soon!

Bookmark, refresh, and check back often to get every pick against the spread for every game in the first week of the NFL season!

2020 NFL Kickoff: Texans vs Chiefs predictions

Posted on September 3, 2020September 9, 2020 by Max Hammersby

2020 NFL Kickoff: Texans vs Chiefs predictions

All eyes will be on quarterback Patrick Mahomes as the Kansas City Chiefs look to defend their title and repeat as champions. It won’t be easy. The Chiefs will have a target on their back and sportsbooks have the Chiefs as the prohibitive favorite to win the Super Bowl. The Chiefs have the highest over/under betting total in the league at 11.5. But, it’s a long season.

It all starts in Houston with a matchup against the Texans. The Texans are powered by Deshaun Watson and his goal is simple. Start the year with an upset victory. There are many things to consider before making the Texans vs Chiefs predictions for the kickoff of another season.

Like this article? Get free picks against the spread for every game in week 1, right here.

Do you believe in the betting lines?

The Chiefs are one of the most popular teams in the National Football League. After winning the Super Bowl they are also a popular bet again this season. Surprisingly enough that is not the case for the first game of the season. The Chiefs are getting just over 52 percent of the bets coming in on this game. As we get closer to kickoff that number will likely increase. The Chiefs opened as (-9.5) point favorites, but according to trusted sports betting sites, that number can be found as high as (-10). The over/under for this game is between 53.3 and 55 depending on where you look. Sharp bettors are already hitting this game.

[Check out the current betting line for Texans vs Chiefs]

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Texans turning the page

The biggest news coming out of Houston in the offseason is the team parting ways with DeAndre Hopkins. They added David Johnson and Brandin Cooks to try and boost this offense, but it is going to be impossible to replace Hopkins. The Texans finished 16^th in DVOA at 0.4% and then traded the best offensive player. That is going to make things very difficult for Bill O’Brien who is obviously on the hot seat.

On defense JJ Watt, when healthy, is a beast. But he can only do so much. If he does not put pressure on the opposing quarterback, the secondary will get torched.

Fantasy football findings

It’s Deshaun Watson or nothing on this squad. Watson 16 game averages are as follows: 4,091 passing yards, 30 passing touchdowns, 519 rushing yards, and six rushing touchdowns. Other players like David Johnson and Brandin Cooks have potential. Cooks is looking to prove people wrong, but he has a long history of injuries. Ultimately Watson is the bell cow for the Texans from a fantasy standpoint.

Chiefs keep getting better

The Chiefs spent the offseason paying all of the prime time players. Now they enter the season happy and focused on the mission at hand. Last year this explosive offense was fun to watch and they were not healthy. Mahomes and Hill were hurting for most of the season and now both are healthy and ready to go.

On defense, a ton of credit needs to be heaped on the defensive coordinator, Steve Spagnuolo, who changed the complete culture of a defense that was the weak link of the team. Now with Tyrann Mathieu and Frank Clark, this defense has an identity and a purpose. They get stronger as the game goes on and during the late part of the year they allowed an average of 16 points per contest. The defense will have to play without Bashaud Breeland who is serving a four-game suspension, but that will allow the rest of the defense to gain valuable in-game experience.

Fantasy football findings

Where do you start? Mahomes? Hill? Kelce? They are all more than viable options, but one player is getting all of the attention and he is a rookie. All eyes will be on rookie Clyde Edwards-Helaire who is getting incredible hype leading up to the season. Damien Williams opted out of the season and everyone is drafting Edwards-Helaire as high as the first round. It will be interesting to see if his performance matches the hype.

Texans vs Chiefs predictions: Over or Under?

The initial instinct for football bettors will be to bet on the over in this game. Both teams have explosive offenses and the Chiefs arguably will have one of the most dominating offenses in NFL history. Early in the year, the defense has the edge over the offense and since the NFL preseason was canceled, it may be more obvious.

The defending champions have started off slow at home (3-9-1 to the under) and 1-6-1 to the under on Thursday night games over the last five seasons. The Texans are notorious for starting the season slowly on the offensive as the under is 11-4-1 in the last 16 games in September for the Texans. Finally, the under is 41-20-1 in Chiefs last 62 games as a home favorite. It will be a scary bet, but this game will be lower scoring than expected.

Bet the under.

Under 54.4

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Texans vs Chiefs predictions: Who wins?

The Chiefs have a great home-field advantage, but how much will that change this year? The Chiefs did announce that Arrowhead stadium will have a reduced capacity of 22 percent this season. That is great to hear, but the home-field advantage will be watered down at best.

It won’t matter.

The Chiefs are that good. The defense will shut down a Texans offense that is now limited without playmakers. Don’t look for a Super Bowl hangover from the Chiefs. The Super Bowl champions are 13-6-1 ATS in the first game of the season, which makes the Chiefs an appealing bet.

That is just the start of the positive trends that are backing the Chiefs in this spot. The Chiefs are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite, 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite, and 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. They are a money-making machine for bettors early in the season. The Chiefs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games in September and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1.

The defense of the Chiefs will put up a valiant effort and they win big.

Kansas City Chiefs -9.5

Final: Chiefs 30 Texans 17

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College football week 1 predictions and picks against the spread

Posted on September 3, 2020September 3, 2020 by Reggie Brown

College football week 1 predictions and picks against the spread

Finally, college football is back!

Although the big named teams have yet to take the field, it is just good to be talking football once again. In the first week of the season, it is important to take your time looking for value. Choose the best sportsbook and make informed wagers when you make your College football week 1 predictions and picks against the spread. Remember, patience and money management will make for a profitable season!

South Alabama vs Southern Mississippi

All eyes will be on the Thursday night football game showcasing South Alabama vs Southern Mississippi. Although another game has already been played, this is technically the first game of the season. Southern Miss is the better team which is why sportsbooks have listed this team as a double-digit favorite. However, they are going to miss key players like end Jacques Turner, linebacker Racheem Boothe and safety Shannon Showers who all opted to transfer this season. The Golden Eagles are sloppy with the football and always turn the ball over. It is difficult to bet on a team that can’t hold onto the ball, especially if they are double-digit favorites.

The smart money came in South Alabama. Steve Campbell starts his third season as the coach of the Jaguars and this is a very well-coached team. They can run the ball as they were 54^th in the nation in rushing offense last season. This beefy offensive line will be able to open up lanes against a tough Golden Eagles run defense. Running the ball successfully is key to this game and it will take time off the clock.

The Golden Eagles are 1-5 against the spread (ATS) in the last six games on Thursday night football. The Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in the last five games as an underdog and in the last five games overall.

South Alabama Jaguars +13.5

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Middle Tennessee State vs Army

Watching the service academy football teams can be a bit boring, especially if you are not a fan of running the football. That is what you can expect when the Army Black Knights tussle with the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders on Saturday. Army will have an edge in this game on the ground.

The Blue Raiders do not return a starter on defense, that plays in the front seven. This team allowed over 190 yards rushing per game last year which equates to over five yards a carry! They have to replace seven of the top tacklers from last year and that is hard to do and be ready for the opener. They have had plenty of time to prepare for the triple-option that the Black Knights will run. The problem is that you have to be defensively disciplined if you want to stop this type of offense. That does not happen with very young players.

Army will control the clock and tire out the Middle Tennessee defense. Army has success early in the season as the Black Knights are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September. The Blue Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Army wins this game.

Army Black Knights -3.5

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BYU vs Navy

Another service academy will play a big game in the first week of college football. The Navy Midshipmen will have a tough task as they face the BYU Cougars on Monday night. This will be a contrast of offenses as Navy loves to grind it out on the ground and BYU prefers a wide-open passing attack.

BYU is very experienced and they have a solid defense that can match up against the run. They are very deep at linebacker and will have the reserves to avoid getting tired against the constant ground game. On offense, the Cougars received bad news when tight end Matt Bushman was lost for the year due to injury. Zach Wilson leads the team at QB and this will be his third year. He is comfortable with this offense and will be protected behind a deep and talented offensive line.

The Midshipmen are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five versus Independent teams and will have to replace a quarterback that led the team in rushing. This is a disciplined team and this game will be close, but in the end, the Cougars will win.

BYU Cougars -1.5

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College football week 1 predictions and picks against the spread

South Alabama Jaguars +13.5

BYU Cougars -1.5

Army Black Knights -3.5

Raptors vs Celtics Game 3 Pick against the spread

Posted on September 3, 2020September 3, 2020 by JT Dutton

Raptors vs Celtics Game 3 Pick against the spread

What is happening to the defending NBA Champions? The Toronto Raptors are down 2-0 to the Celtics and if they lose again today it will only be a matter of time before they are eliminated. The Raptors have been in this spot before. They were in a similar situation last season against the Milwaukee Bucks. But can they do it again? The sports betting public believes that they will.

Basketball consensus bets

The numbers show that over 65 percent of the wagers coming in on this game are backing Toronto. The sportsbooks have barely shifted the point spread from the first two games. The Raptors opened up as a slim one-point favorite and the line has yet to move. Basically, if you are going to bet on this game all you have to do is pick a winner.

NBA Odds to Win Series

Toronto: +360
Boston: -500

Shutting down Siakam

The Raptor’s half-court offense is miserable and Pascal Siakam is not helping. After going just 5-for16 from the floor in the first game, he slumped again in game two finishing 6-for-16. The team overall is struggling offensively shooting just 26 percent from behind the 3-point line.

Boston has a better bench

The Boston bench is the difference in this series. The Raptors left the starters in longer than usual and that resulted in tired legs late in the game. The Celtics depth allows a tougher defensive presence and the ability to switch on defense when needed. The Raptors can play better on offense, but they just don’t have the depth to sustain pressure against the Celtics.

Raptors vs Celtics Game 3 Pick against the spread

The Raptors are getting betting attention due to the fact that they are defending champions. The Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Conference Semifinals games and 1-5 ATS in the last six games against the Celtics. The Celtics are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog and they are the better team. Take Boston to win again in game 3.

Boston Celtics +1

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Top 10 2020 NFL over under bets

Posted on September 1, 2020 by Bookie Blitz

Top 10 2020 NFL over under bets

One of the best things about the National Football League is making predictions. It’s fun to try and pick who will win the Super Bowl, winners in week 1, upsets, and of course how each team will finish on the season. After looking over the numbers we proudly provide the Top 10 2020 NFL over-under bets. If you do not know what an over/under is, this is a quick tutorial to read before making a wager.

The top 10 2020 NFL over under bets

(All the odds listed below come from our list of the top 10 best sportsbooks)

No. 10 Carolina Panthers over 5.5 wins

The public will be betting against the Panthers who let Cam Newton walk and have a rookie head coach in Matt Ruhle. Although the coaching staff is changing they have quality hires at every position and are implementing systems, especially on offense, that key players have familiarity with.

Teddy Bridgewater has the smarts and mobility to overcome an average offensive line. Bridgewater ranked in the top five in adjusted completion rate from a clean pocket as well as under pressure. Don’t look for a playoff push, but the Panthers can get six wins and it all starts with a stunning upset in week one of the NFL season.

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No. 9 Miami Dolphins over 6 wins

You have to give head coach Brian Flores credit. In just a few short years he has changed the culture of this franchise and is attracting players to South beach. He smartly recruited veterans on both sides of the ball like defensive back Byron Jones and linebacker Kyle Van Noy on defense and running back Jordan Howard on offense. If the young players in the trenches can play well in year one, this is a playoff team. This is a team that finished with a record over .500 in the last nine games of the season.

With a watered-down AFC led by the New York Jets, the Dolphins have a chance to finish above six wins this season.

No. 8 Pittsburgh Steelers over 9 wins

The Pittsburgh Steelers are ready for a return to glory. Ben Roethlisberger is back under center and feeling like a kid again. Minkah Fitzpatrick is a perfect fit on a defense that ranks among the best in many important categories a season ago, including sacks (54) and turnovers (38). Dueling in the division with the Baltimore Ravens is never easy, but overall this team boasts the fifth easiest schedule which bodes well for at least a 10 win season.

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No. 7 Philadelphia Eagles under 9.5 wins

The Eagles have talent on both sides of the ball and incredible coaching staff, but the one problem that always seems to haunt this team is injuries. It is happening again this year and the impact is hard to ignore. Quarterback Carson Wentz is sitting out of practice with a soft tissue injury, RB Miles Sanders is week-to-week with a lower-body injury, rookie WR Jalen Reagor will miss 4 weeks and the start of the season, and the offensive line is in shambles. The Eagles are shuffling the offensive line and will be ready for the start of the season, but they won’t be at their best. Many experts were predicting this team to go far, but with the injuries, the under is the better bet.

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No. 6 Green Bay Packers under 9 wins

The Green Bay Packers don’t respect Aaron Rodgers, but sportsbooks do. This is why they have a target of nine wins this season. They will have a hard time getting nine wins and will miss the playoffs. The management missed the opportunity to draft players that were needed now and bet on the future with QB Jordan Love.

Head coach Matt LaFleur is already complaining about sloppy practices which make you wonder if the team is buying in. This is a team that finished 8-1 in one-score games and that will be a number tough to repeat. Every other team improved in the division and the Packers play New Orleans, San Francisco, and Indianapolis on the road. Sorry cheese heads, the Packers are going to finish with less than 9 wins this year.

No. 5 Baltimore Ravens under 11.5 wins

The Ravens are off an incredible season led by MVP QB Lamar Jackson. Jackson put up insane numbers last year. This includes putting up 3127 rushing yards and an NFL high 36 touchdowns and the most rushing yards (1206) by a quarterback in NFL single-season history. These numbers will be impossible to reproduce and if he is injured this team will be in big trouble. On another note, sportsbooks and football bettors alike always overvalue teams off a great season.

The acquisition of Calais Campbell is a perfect fit to address a weakness on this team. This team is still a playoff team and will have a great season, but will finish right around this projected number. A demanding schedule and the reemergence of the Steelers will make it difficult for this team to get 12 wins this season.

No. 4 Dallas Cowboys over 9.5 wins

The Dallas Cowboys are always a popular team that is attracting hype before the start of the season. This year they will live up to that hype. Not everyone is on this team, but they have improved in every category. Mike McCarthy may be the biggest improvement as coaching as cost this team wins in the past. Dak Prescott is poised to have his best year yet and has looked brilliant in the 2-minute drill. With Ezekiel Elliot healthy and newly drafted WR CeeDee Lamb to join forces with Amari Cooper, Prescott will have the most talent on offense that he has ever seen.

The Cowboys finished 0-5 in games decided by seven or less, a number that will improve with this improved defense. It ranked 11th in points and ninth in yards per game last season and will only be better. The defense will be one of the best in the NFL and there is no doubt that the Cowboys will eclipse 10 wins this season.

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No 3. San Francisco 49ers under 10.5 wins

The Super Bowl hangover is real. The Kansas City Chiefs beat the 49ers a season ago and it will be tough for this team to recover. Only eight teams have returned to the championship game the year after losing it during the Super Bowl era. Only three teams have gotten back to the Super Bowl the year after a loss and won. Kyle Shanahan has already addressed this issue and he ensures the fan base that the team will be up for the challenge.

This team has talent all over and can run the ball as well as any team in the league, but 11 wins in a tough division is asking too much. The defense will be without Deforest Buckner and the 49ers will not overcome that hole. Jimmy Garoppolo will miss Emmanuel Sanders and although I am not down on Jimmy G like other experts, this team will not be able to get 11 wins.

No. 2 Buffalo Bills over 9 wins

The Buffalo Bills are the clear-cut favorites to win the AFC East. With Tom Brady moving south they are hoping it’s easier. The Patriots are a threat with Cam Newton and for as bad as the Jets and the Dolphins can be, they play tough in the division. Outside of the division, the schedule is very difficult this season as the Bills face the defending champion Chiefs, Steelers, Seahawks, 49ers, and the Titans. The Bills also travel to Denver, which may be a letdown spot after playing on primetime against some difficult opposition.

This is a well-coached team that will be able to navigate those pitfalls. Josh Allen will benefit from the acquisition of the Stefon Diggs and will improve on his deep-ball accuracy. They add Zach Moss in the draft and return all five starters on one of the best offensive lines in the game. The Bills’ defense allowed 17 points or fewer in ten of their 16 games and only allowed seven passing touchdowns to wide receivers in the past. The Bills return to the top of the AFC East and they win over 9 games.

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No. 1 Indianapolis Colts over 9 wins

This is the best bet in the NFL futures market. The Colts drastically improved the team by bringing in Phillip Rivers at quarterback. He is comfortable with the coaching staff and brings an intense approach to competition that will be contagious. Rivers is now behind the best offensive line in football. He has and a 3-headed monster in the backfield he can be flexible on offense. Rivers never had this type of protection with the Chargers.

The biggest addition by GM Chris Ballard is Pro Bowl defensive tackle DeForest Buckner. He will harass opposing quarterbacks all year long. The Colts schedule looks easy with teams like the Jaguars (twice), Jets, Bengals, Lions, and Raiders.

The rest of the AFC South is in trouble as the Colts are ready and this team will win the division and get 11 wins this season.