2021 NFL Playoffs Predictions: The Bills Will Lose to the Colts
The NFL playoffs are about to begin! The best part of the playoffs is predicting what will happen and betting on the results. Everyone looks at the odds, fills out brackets, and makes best bets for the postseason. But only the sharp handicappers can uncover the best bets and the upsets in the first round and we have found one. Our boldest of the 2021 NFL Playoffs Predictions is that the Bills will lose to the Colts.
Betting Against the Bills
Betting against the Buffalo Bills is not a good idea. They are one of the hottest teams in the National Football League and they are on a hot streak. QB Josh Allen jumped into the MVP conversation and Stephon Diggs is arguably the best receiver in football. They have won six straight games and all of the wins have been by ten points or more. So why bet against the Bills? The Colts play better against teams with a winning record and are 15-7 against the spread (ATS) in that role. But there is more.
Count on the Colts
Outside of the opening loss to the Jaguars, the Colts have only lost to playoff teams. They have a credible head coach and an experienced quarterback in Phillip Rivers. The public is pounding Buffalo is the most popular play on Saturday. (Yes more popular than Tom Brady) Finally, the Colts defense is better than the teams that the Bills have faced down the stretch. The Bills faced a banged-up Steelers defense and a wounded 49ers defense. This will be the best unit that they have faced all season. The Colts play well on the road with a 4-1 ATS record in the last five home games.
The Game plan
Allen is the key to the Bill’s offensive game plan. He has been responsible for 76% of their offense and the Colts can get after him by shutting down the run. The Colts will use bracket coverage which is essentially a design that puts two defenders on one receiver. That will keep Diggs in check.
2021 NFL Playoffs Predictions
The Colts have the experience of playing in the postseason. This line is incredibly inflated. It should be 3.5, but it opened up at 7 and now it has dropped to 6.5. The public is on the Bills, but the spread is dropping which is a clear indication that the smart money is on Indianapolis. That is all I need to know that the Colts will cover and win on Saturday.
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