NFL Picks Week 11: Underdogs That Will Win

NFL Picks Week 11: Underdogs That Will Win

Underdogs are barking this year in the National Football League. Up to this point in the season the underdogs have cashed 57 percent of the time. If you blindly bet $100 on every underdog this season you would have been up to over 13 units. Underdogs may be winning but they are not always easy to find. Our NFL picks week 11 have two dogs that will bark. Here are the great picksunderdogs that will win, and teams that will absolutely cover this week.

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The Minnesota Vikings Will Win

Last week, we successfully predicted that the Vikings would win and they delivered with a big win. We are back with the Vikings again to beat Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. One of our favorite angles to bet is an underdog that wins outright and they are an underdog again at home the following week.

The public will blindly follow Aaron Rodgers and that is why almost 80 percent of the bets are on the Packers this week. But the Vikings have a knack for keeping games close this season and they are 4-1 ATS as an underdog this year. Aaron Jones is out and although AJ Dillon has impressed, the Packers will need everyone if they hope to beat the Vikings. Minnesota is 19-6-1 ATS as a home underdog and they beat the Packers this week.

Vikings +1

The Las Vegas Raiders Will Win

The Las Vegas Raiders are left for dead. After a humiliating loss against the Kansas City Chiefs on national television, everyone is writing off the Raiders. Meanwhile, the well-rested Cincinnati Bengals gained ground within the division on a bye week. However, the Bengals are 0-5 ATS after a bye week and are not comfortable as a favorite. In fact, the Bengals have only covered twice in the last eight games as a favorite.

Raiders QB Derek Carr passed for 261 yards last week, which equals his lowest of the season. That will change against a Bengal’s defense that is inconsistent at best. Look for a rebound at home and a big win for the Silver and Black.

Raiders +1.5


NFL Picks Week 10 2021: Bet These Underdogs to Win

NFL Picks Week 10 2021: Bet These Underdogs to Win

Last week was a banner week for underdogs. There were major upsets all over the NFL schedule, leaving fans stunned. Big teams like the Cowboys and the Rams, both fell victim to the upset. Will that trend continue this week? Our NFL Picks Week 10 2021 have uncovered two underdogs that will win. We have a full list of great picks, underdogs that will win, and teams that will absolutely cover this week.

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The Philadelphia Eagles Will Win

Eagles QB Jalen Hurts is improving on a weekly basis. His bond with wide receiver Davonte Smith has carried over to the pros and Smith scored last week. Denver is at home and after upsetting the Cowboys, the sports betting public believes that this will be an easy win. So why are the Broncos only a small favorite? Broncos QB Teddy Bridgewater is great as an underdog but just 3-6 ATS as a favorite. In fact, the Broncos are just 4-10-1 ATS as a home favorite and that signals a play on the Eagles.

Eagles +1.5 and +105


The Minnesota Vikings Will Win

The Vikings do not get the credit that they deserve. Despite the drama around Dalvin Cook, this is a well-coached team that plays great football on a weekly basis. One can argue that the Vikings should be favored in this game. Minnesota has the better defense and the better special teams. The Chargers are the worst team in the NFL against the run and that will allow the Vikings to keep the ball away from QB Justin Herbert and the Chargers offense. The Vikings are an incredible 32-16-1 ATS after a loss under Mike Zimmer and 7-3 ATS in the last ten games as an underdog. The Chargers are 5-11-1 ATS as a home favorite and they don’t have the defense to defeat the Vikings.

Vikings +3 and +145


NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 10: Teams That Will Absolutely Cover

NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 10: Teams That Will Absolutely Cover

Picking winners in the NFL takes some serious skill. But if you want to bet on teams that will absolutely cover, you really have to put in the work. Last week we went 2-0 against the spread (ATS) with our selections in this article and we have now covered four straight. The NFL Picks against the Spread Week 10 have two more teams that stand out as best bets. We have a full list of great picks, underdogs that will win, and teams that will absolutely cover this week.

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NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 10

The Dallas Cowboys Will Absolutely Cover

The Cowboys were exposed a week ago in an ugly home loss to the Denver Broncos. Now the public is surprisingly bailing on the boys. Dallas is -8 against the Falcons, but only 36% of the bets are on the Cowboys. The Falcons will have some letdown after beating their hated rival on the road. Meanwhile, the Cowboys will be focused after the embarrassing defeat.

The Falcons are just 9-25 ATS after allowing more than 250 yards in the last game. Despite the loss, the Cowboys are 5-1 ATSS at home and 7-1 ATS in the last 8 overall. Lay the points with the Cowboys in what will be an ugly blowout.

Cowboys -8


The Washington Football Team Will Absolutely Cover

Tom Brady and the Buccaneers are one of the best teams in the league and they always get public dollars at the betting window. On the other hand, everyone that is not a fan of the Washington Football team has given up on the future of Washington Football. That will change this week. Washington is 1-7 ATS this season, so no one wants to bet on this team right now. With that being said, Tampa does not play well on the road and is just 0-4 ATS this season away from Tampa. The Bucs are 0-5-2 ATS against the NFC East and Washington will get revenge for the playoff loss a year ago. Washington is getting better defensively and they will keep this game close.

Washington +10


NFL Predictions Week 9

NFL Predictions Week 9: The Cowboys, Rams, and Jordan Love

The NFL may be at the midseason point, but this may have been the biggest news week of the season. Dak Prescott is back for the Cowboys, Derek Henry s out for the Titans and Aaron Rodgers is out for the Packers. It’s time to make sense out of all of this madness with some picks against the spread in these big three games. We have a full list of great picks, underdogs that will surprise, and teams that will absolutely cover this week. We cover all the NFL Predictions Week 9 and that includes the biggest games of the week.

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Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys

Dak is back and that is very good news for the Dallas Cowboys. They played well without him a week ago, but it is clear he is needed. The people who like to bet on football were excited about the news as well. Over 80 percent of the wagers for this game are on Dallas and that is not surprising considering that they are the only team to cover every game this season (7-0 ATS).

The Broncos do have Teddy Bridgewater and he loves the underdog role. Bridgewater is 18-3 ATS as a road underdog and 7-1 ATS when he is an underdog of more than a touchdown. Von Miller may be gone, but the Broncos are prepared for life after Von. This inflated point-spread is because Dak is back and Von is gone. Dallas is better, but this is just too many points to give.

Broncos +10


Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs

The Aaron Rodgers story is a nightmare for Green Bay. Once it was announced that Rodgers was out and that Jordan Love is starting, the point spread shifted. Currently, the packers are now +7.5 underdogs against a Chiefs team that is on a short week and struggling to win football games.  The public instinct is to bet against the Packers without Rodgers, but the value is on the Packers.

The Chiefs are not a good team right now. They are inconsistent on offense, have too many turnovers, and cannot stop anyone on defense. The Chiefs are last in the league and allow over 6 yards a play and rank 22nd against the rush. The Chiefs are just 4-15 ATS in the last 19 games and that makes it tough to back Mahomes as a big favorite. This will allow the Packers to use Aaron Jones to help Love find open receivers with play action. Love has a full week of practice so watch for RPO’s that will lead to big plays and big points. Packers head coach Matt LaFleur is better than you think at preparing for a game and he is 7-2 ATS as an underdog.

The overreaction to the Packers without Rodgers is just too much. The Packers are 4-0 ATS in the last four road games and they are the best bet in this game. If you think the distractions were big last week, wait until you see what happens when Love plays well against the Chiefs.

Packers +7.5


Tennessee Titans vs LA Rams

The Titans are considered a contender and this Super Bowl rematch is one of the biggest games of the week. Yet, it lost some luster when it was announced that Titans running back Derrick Henry was out for the season. The line adjusted as everyone assumes that the Rams will run away with this game.

The Titans bring in Adrian Peterson to try and fill the void, but it just won’t be enough. Von Miller has one job, to get the quarterback. Without a strong running game, Miller will get multiple sacks in his debut after being reenergized with a change of location. The Rams are locked in against an emotionally drained team off a big win against the Colts and dealing with the loss of Henry. The Rams have covered 7 out of the last ten games against teams with a winning record.

This is a blowout game and the Rams will send a signal to the rest of the league that they are the Super Bowl favorites.

Rams -7


NFL Picks Week 9

NFL Picks Week 9: Two Underdogs To Bet On Now

Betting on underdogs in the NFL is fun. The handicapper that can predict underdog winners always gets respect. In week 9 there are a few that stand out. We have a full list of great picks on big games, underdogs that will surprise, and teams that will absolutely cover this week. We cover all the NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 9, starting with two underdogs you have to bet on now.

Last Week Recap

Last week, we had the best of both worlds. We had an incredible upset as the Saints beat Tom Brady and the Buccaneers. However, we got crushed by thinking that the Detroit Lions can actually win a game this season.

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NFL Picks Week 9

This week we once again look at divisional games and focus on one underdog that no one will see coming in perhaps the biggest game of the year.

The Atlanta Falcons Will Win

The Atlanta Falcons were distracted last week when Calvin Ridley left the team suddenly. Matt Ryan had his worst game of the season and the Falcons fell flat. After getting beat by the Carolina Panthers at home, the public is staying far away from this team. The Saints beat the Buccaneers so that makes New Orleans a very popular pick this week.

The Saints bring back Taysom Hill this week but the team will start Trevor Siemian this week. This is an adjustment that will take some time. They don’t have that kind of time in a letdown game against a division rival. Atlanta rebounds well after a game. The Falcons are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. This is a solid play on Atlanta.

Falcons +6


The Carolina Panthers Will Win

In our weekly article about survivor picks, we warned you about trusting the New England Patriots. The Pats had a huge win against the Chargers but now play in the second road game in a row. The  3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite and 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a win against the spread.

The Panthers won outright as an underdog on the road and will get their best player back this week in running back Christian McCaffrey. The Panthers are a perfect 3-0 ATS with him in the lineup and he is a game-changer.

The underrated Panthers’ defense can keep this close and don’t be surprised if they win this game outright.

Panthers +4


NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 9

NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 9: Teams That Will Absolutely Cover

Picking NFL games against the spread that will “absolutely cover” is an art. It takes patience, money management, and hard work. We have a full list of great picks on big games, underdogs that will surprise, and teams that will absolutely cover this week. We cover all the NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 9, starting with two underdogs that will win outright.

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Last Week Recap

Last week, we were lucky enough to go 2-0 with two very easy winners. But it is time to go back to work this week and find two more solid bets.

NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 9

Every week our two picks that will absolutely cover are our best bets of the week. They often change based on news and recent spread movements, so stay updated.

The Cleveland Browns Will Absolutely Cover

The Browns are a tough team to decipher this year and have an interesting matchup with the much improved Cincinnati Bengals. Cleveland parted ways with Odell Beckham Jr. this week and that will take a distraction out of the Cleveland clubhouse.

This is a big game for the Browns. They currently reside in the basement of the AFC North, but they are only one game out of first place. The Bengals were exposed a week ago against the Jets, especially on defense. Cincinnati has problems tackling and that will be emphasized against Nick Chubb and a strong running game. The Browns have covered four of the last five games as a road underdog and they beat the Bengals on Sunday.

Browns +2.5


The New York Giants Will Absolutely Cover

It has been a tough week for the Las Vegas Raiders. Hell, it’s been a tough year. They lost their coach under some pretty difficult circumstances. Now they have lost another player due to tragic circumstances. Although the Raiders had a bye week, anyone would have a difficult time focusing on a game after everything they have been through. Now they have to travel east to take on a Giants team that is underrated. To make matters worse, the Raiders are just 2-6-1 ATS in the last nine games as a road favorite.

The Giants play a very solid defensive game and if they can execute on offense they can beat any team in team in the league. This will be a close game and the home team and the points are the only way to go.

Giants +3


Eastern Michigan vs Toledo Predictions

Eastern Michigan vs Toledo Predictions and Pick Against the Spread

Good news college football fans, the MAC is back and if you like midweek MACtion, you are a happy fan. This week the MAC is hogging the spotlight early in the week and it all begins on Tuesday with a game between Eastern Michigan and Toledo. If you are betting on football you will be making Eastern Michigan vs Toledo predictions as you attempt to kick the week off with a winner!

Eastern Michigan at Toledo

Kickoff: Tuesday, Nov. 2 at 7:30 p.m. ET


Spread: Toledo -9

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Odds and Trends

Just because the MAC is not as popular or as talented as the SEC, it does not mean it will not provide an opportunity to make money. Toledo is the favorite in this game and the sportsbook made the Rockets a 9.5 point favorite. The Eagles are big underdogs despite this trend. They are 20-6 against the spread (ATS) in the last 26 road games as an underdog.

Toledo Troubles

The Rockets are led by head coach Jason Candle and have a 4-4 record, but the schedule shows that they have had a tough stretch. This Toledo team gave Notre Dame all they could ask for and are one of the best teams in the conference. The offensive line is a weakness as they have allowed 29 sacks and cannot create running lanes. This is a cause of concern as they cannot control the clock or protect the passer. This is a team that is just 1-4 ATS as a home favorite, which is a daunting trend considering how big this spread is.

Eastern Michigan vs Toledo Predictions

Eagles QB Ben Bryant can put up the points. Under his guidance, the Eagles have put up at least 30 points in his four starts. He leads the MAC in quarterback rating and will be able to keep this game close. The Eagles are 24-9 ATS in road games and have revenge after being dominated in years past. This is just too many points to give up considering that Toledo is 5-12-1 ATS at home against a team with a winning road record. Back the Eagles and kick off the college football week with a win!

Eastern Michigan Eagles +9.5


NFL Predictions Week 8

NFL Predictions Week 8: Best Bets on Halloween

The costume parties are over and the kids are busy eating candy from weekend trick or treating. Now it’s all about the NFL and a busy weekend of great games. We have a full list of great Halloween picks, underdogs that will surprise, and teams that will absolutely cover on Halloween! Here are the best bets against the spread for Halloween!

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Colts Are Back In the Race

The Indianapolis Colts have had a slow start to the season. Early adjustments, a tough schedule, and injuries sidelined this team for the first few weeks. That has changed and this team is ready to show the league they are back. They get a big chance at home today in a rematch game against their division rivals.

The Titan’s defense can be beaten on the ground and the Colts young RB Jonathan Taylor has averaged 126 rushing yards over the last two weeks. The Colts have covered four straight games behind a revitalized Carson Wentz who is clicking on offense. The Colts win a close game and cover the number.

Colts -2.5

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Patriots Out To Prove Something

Who are the Patriots? We really don’t know yet. They have looked good against bad teams and have failed to finish against good teams. They get another chance today with a coast-to-coast trip to take on Justin Herbert and the Chargers.

Throw out all of the trends with Tom Brady on the team and the Patriots are still a respectable 6-5 ATS as a dog. Bill Belichick knows how to confuse young quarterbacks and the Chargers of some injury issues that are concerning. There are two things to watch in this game.

The Patriots are much better than the Chargers on special teams and Hunter Henry will be facing off against his former team. The Chargers are 3-11 ATS at home against a team with a losing record. The Patriots will control the ball and will have the Bolts on upset alert.

Patriots +4.5


Minnesota is For Real

The big story about the Sunday night game is the health of Cowboys QB Dak Prescott. It won’t matter if he plays or not. The Vikings have the better team. They are better on defense and on offense. It is smart to bet the Vikings now and then if Dak plays and the spread flips again you can look for more value.

Kirk Cousins is easily the most underrated QB in the NFL. People may point out his poor record in primetime games, but he is actually 5-2 ATS on Sunday Night Football. The Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings against the Vikings and 1-5 ATS in Minnesota. Dallas is the only undefeated team against the spread (6-0) but that ends tonight.

Vikings -3


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NFL Picks Week 7

NFL Picks Week 7: Which Underdogs have the Best Shot at the Upset?

Betting on NFL games is never easy. On any given Sunday a team can fall flat. Before you place a wager on any game it is vital to get every bit of information possible. It is very difficult to pick underdogs that will pull off the upset, especially when looking for teams that will absolutley cover. However, our NFL Picks Week 7 has found three dogs that you will want to bet on.

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Washington Football Team +9

Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers are rolling right along and there is no reason to believe that they will not win again this week against the Washington Football Team. However, the Packers are not a team that is built to cover a nine-point spread. Over 85 percent of the public is betting on Green Bay, but that is misleading. Washington is well-coached and they will play to the end. The Football Team are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team with a winning home record and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a double-digit loss at home. This dog has some bite. Bet on the Washington Football Team.

Philadelphia Eagles +3

The Eagles are traveling coast-to-coast to take on the Raiders, yet they are only three-point underdogs. The Raiders beat down the Broncos in the last outing and they may seem like they are the better team, but they are not. Jalen Hurts and the offense are starting to click and expect a heavy dose of Miles Sanders running the ball. The Raiders are only 1-5 against the spread (ATS) as a home favorite and they are on upset alert on Sunday.

Detroit Lions +16

The media will tell you that this is a revenge game for Matthew Stafford. In reality, it is the Lions QB Jared Goff that is out for revenge. Goff remembers how the Rams dealt with the trade. Goff is now being questioned on his ability by his own head coach. If there is anyone that has anything to prove it is Jared Goff. The Lions are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a double-digit loss at home and they face a confident Rams team. The Rams are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight-up win of more than 14 points. That all adds up to a play against the Rams on Sunday.


Monday Night Football Bills vs Titans Pick

Monday Night Football Bills vs Titans Pick Against the Spread

The Monday Night Football game is a huge game in the AFC. The Buffalo Bills are quickly becoming the best team in the AFC. Meanwhile, the Titans are trying to figure things out after an up and down start to the season. The Monday Night Football Bills vs Titans predictions have to take into account many factors before picking the winner.

MNF Odds and Trends

Our Week 6 picks proved that you have to watch the odds if you want to succeed. The Bills are the obvious favorite in this game. Sportsbooks have the Bills at -5.5 in this game.  It is very clear that the public is backing Buffalo in this game. Nearly 90 percent of the bets are on the Bills to cover this number against the Titans. This is because the Bills have played very well this season. To add to that public push is the fact that the Bills have covered six straight road games. The Bills have the best cover margin in the league at +15.3 points per game.

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Taking on the Titans

It may be difficult to take the Titans, but at home, under the Monday night lights, anything can happen. Home teams have covered four out of the five games on Monday this year. Titans QB Ryan Tannenhill has had some success against the Bills in the past. In the most recent meeting, he torched the Bills defense in a blowout win. But in order for that to happen the Titans will have to protect their quarterback. This is something they have failed to do since they have allowed 20 sacks this season, the most in the league.

Monday Night Football Bills vs Titans Pick Against the Spread

The Titans are not a bad play at home. But that offensive line is the X-factor. If Derrick Henry cannot run and they cannot protect Tannenhill it’s nearly impossible to take Tennessee. The Titan’s defense has been torched for big plays all season and that is scary against this Josh Allen-led Bills offense.

Allen is hitting deep passes of 20 or more yards at a 50 percent rate and he spreads the ball out to multiple receivers. The Titans may keep this game close early, but in the end, the Bills will win and cover this number.

Bills -5.5

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