Super Bowl picks against the spread: Eagles or Chiefs?

Super Bowl picks against the spread: Eagles or Chiefs?  

The biggest game of the year is Super Bowl LVII. The Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles are two teams worthy of being in this spotlight showcase. However, if you are betting on this game it is important to do your research and be confident when you make your Super Bowl picks against the spread.

Big game, but not a big amount

It may be the biggest game of the season, but it does not mean that you have to bet big on the game. There are hundreds of prop bets and fun wagers to make at a lower level to keep you entertained all game long (coin toss, anyone?). But, if you are going to bet on a team, make it count.

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Coaching counts

The Super Bowl gets millions of viewers every year and the pressure is immense. That is why experience and coaching matter. Chiefs coach Andy Reid knows how to make the most out of his time. He is 28-4 after a bye week and he has the edge in this big game. Eagles coach Nick Sirianni is having an incredible season but will be clearly outmatched in this game. The Eagles are also in danger of losing assistant coaches who are spending Super Bowl weeks conducting interviews. With this distraction and experience of Reid give the edge to the Chiefs.

Hurts vs Mahomes

Both teams have excellent quarterbacks. Jalen Hurts is making super strides as a starter in this league. He uses an RPO and always keeps the defense guessing. With lethal weapons in AJ Brown and Miles Sanders, this offense can put points on the board.

Patrick Mahomes is an underdog for the first time in his playoff career. And he comes into this game with a high ankle sprain injury. Although he has time to rest, Mahomes will have to be healthy if they want to win this game. To make matters worse the Chiefs wide receiving core is banged up and limping into this contest.

Consensus and trends

The public is on the Eagles. That is obvious because of the odds move and the numerous injuries that the Chiefs are dealing with. The Chiefs are 3-8-1 against the spread (ATS) in the last 12 games, but now they are an underdog and that changes everything. Underdogs are an overwhelming 10-5 ATS in the last 15 Super Bowls. It’s time to make the bet for the Super Bowl.

Super Bowl picks against the spread

The Chiefs have injuries, but they are the better team. They have a more experienced team and a better coach. They have a clutch kicker that can pay off down the stretch and Mahomes has a big chip on his shoulder as an underdog for the first time in his playoff career. The Chiefs make great strides in becoming the best dynasty in NFL history with another Super Bowl victory.

Bet on the Chiefs +2

 [BET NOW and secure the bag]

Kyrie Irving trade? It’s time to retire

Kyrie Irving trade? It’s time to retire

Just when you thought the Super Bowl was going to dominate the news, Kyrie Irving shocked the NBA world by demanding a trade. The Brooklyn Nets have days to trade a disgruntled player with a bunch of baggage. Irving put the Nets in a bad spot by demanding a trade, but he is talented and he can change the dynamics of a team. The Kyrie Irving trade is hard to watch because Kyrie holds all the cards. Or does he?

Timing is everything

Kyrie Irving requested this trade with a purpose. He will be a free agent this summer. If the Nets don’t trade him, he will give up on the season. If Irving does not go to the team he prefers he will make things difficult for Brooklyn. Irving has one goal. Get traded to another team (that he chooses) and in the meantime, destroy Brooklyn.

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NBA trade rumors: Where does Kyrie go?

Kyrie Irving is an incredible basketball player, but he does come with some baggage. The biggest connection is the LA Lakers. LeBron James knows Kyrie and there is every reason to believe that LeBron can make this happen. But, there is no need to overshadow the accomplishments of LeBron by making Kyrie the headline. Irving has burned bridges with the best players in the league. Although he has an opportunity to select where he will play, many of the contenders don’t want to bring Irving into the fold.

The perfect trade

The perfect trade for Kyrie Irving has nothing to do with Irving. It has to be the perfect combination of players and teams that are willing to make the market move. The Toronto Raptors, Atlanta Hawks, and Minnesota Timberwolves are all teams that have the players and the assets to get Irving. But will Irving want to go to those teams or do those teams want him?

It’s all about Irving

Irving put the Nets in a tough spot. Brooklyn has to take a bad deal and get rid of him or wait until the end of the season and lose Irving with nothing in return. There will be a team that will trade or sign Irving, but that is a mistake. Although talented, Irving is not a team player and he hurts every team he plays for.

 It’s time for Irving to retire.

Bengals vs Bills playoffs and prediction

Bengals vs Bills playoffs and prediction

The focus of the NFL playoffs is squarely on the divisional round and the best game on the schedule is easy to see. The Buffalo Bills will host the Cincinnati Bengals in a battle of Super Bowl contenders looking to advance to the championship game. The Bengals vs Bills in the playoffs are what everyone will be watching. Although both teams struggled in the opener, this game will not disappoint.

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Public backing the Bills

In what is a highly debated topic, the Bills will host the Bengals in this game. Because of the location, Buffalo opened up as a small favorite according to online sportsbooks. The Bills have been a favorite in every game this season and are -3.5 for this game. But look at all of the different sports betting outlets, because some places have the Bills at -5. If you believe the Bengals can pull off the upset, they are +166 on the Moneyline to win in Orchard Park. The betting total in this game is 49.5 since both offenses can light up the scoreboard.

Beat up Bengals

The Bengals will likely enter this contest missing three starters including left tackle Jonah Williams and right guard Alex Cappa. If Williams is out of the game look for Jackson Carman to fill in. Carman played against the Ravens and that was his first start at the position. This is not good news for quarterback Joe Burrow who seems to be running for his line on a weekly basis. Despite the pressure Burrow and the Bengals is a gold mine at the betting window this year posting a 12-4 against the spread (ATS) record. They enter this contest on a 9-game winning streak.

Bengals vs Bills playoffs and prediction

The Bills will be hard to stop at home, especially if they can get to Burrow. The Bengals secondary looked suspect against the Ravens and now they face a more explosive offense led by Josh Allen. The Bills are 10-4-2 ATS after a loss against the spread and the Bengals will not be able to beat Buffalo at home.

Bet on the Bills -3.5  [BET NOW]

Wildcard NFL Picks: Giants vs Vikings

Wildcard NFL Picks: Giants vs Vikings

The NFL playoffs are off to a great start as the games have been very entertaining and have included an epic comeback by the Jacksonville Jaguars. On Saturday the best game of the day may be the clash between the New York Giants and the Minnesota Vikings. When it comes to Wildcard NFL picks the Giants have become a popular underdog.

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What to watch

Can the Vikings respond to all of the disrespect?

Kirk Cousins and the Vikings have a negative scoring differential and have been considered a weak team all season long. But they posted double-digit wins, won the close games, and played very well at home.

Are the Giants ready for the challenge?

The Giants are having an incredible year and quarterback Daniel Jones is finally living up to the hype. Big Blue played well in Minnesota and with a small point spread, the majority of the bets are on the Giants to advance in the playoffs.

Giants vs Vikings Picks

The key to this game is Dalvin Cook. This Vikings offense can control the clock and put up points against a formidable Giants defense. The Giants are well-coached and can run the ball with Saquon Barkley but Kirk Cousins have playoff experience. The favorite in this series has covered six of the last seven games and the Vikings know how to win a close game.

Bet on the Vikings -2.5

Thursday Night Football: Cowboys vs Titans Picks

Thursday Night Football: Cowboys vs Titans Picks

The Dallas Cowboys and the Tennessee Titans face off in a Thursday night football game that everyone will watch and many will bet on. But in reality, it means nothing. This is the kind of game you must be wary of when wagering. The Cowboys vs Titans picks are not easy to make, especially this Thursday.

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Thursday night football: What to watch

The only thing you need to watch about this game before it starts is the news. The Titans are sitting everyone and the Cowboys are also trying to rest their best players.  This game is best to be treated like a preseason game.

Cowboys vs Titans Picks

Betting on this game is scary. It seems like a game that the Cowboys will lead early and will not cover because the upstart rookies for the Titans will play hard and get the cover. This is also the game that the defenses tend to sit back and watch and not play hard. In what is essentially an exhibition game, the bet is over the total.

Bet on the over 39.5

2022 NFL Week 6 Best Bets and Picks against the spread

2022 NFL Week 6 Best Bets and Picks against the spread

After looking at the odds for this week in the National Football League, it is time to post the best bets and picks against the spread for the week. The schedule this week has many big games, so let’s get things started with the 2022 NFL Week 6 best bets.

2022 NFL Week 6 Best Bets

There are five games that jump off the schedule this week from a betting perspective. Here are our best bets, but first, take advantage of the betting bonus for this week in the NFL.

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Atlanta +5.5 (BET NOW)

The Falcons are just like the Lions from a year ago. They play hard and they keep games close (5-0 ATS). That makes Atlanta a solid investment against the spread. The 49ers will play their second road game in a row with travel to the East Coast. The Falcons are 7-3 ATS after a loss and they upset the 49ers on Sunday.

Ravens -5.5 (BET NOW)

Everyone is buying in on the Giants, but they are not at the level of the Ravens. The Ravens are the more talented team and the better-coached team. Lamar Jackson knows how to win (and cover) on the road with a 17-7-2 ATS record on the NFL highway. Teams that come back from London are just 3-4 ATS and the Giants will fall flat after a big win against the Packers.

Saints +1.5 (BET NOW)

This one is scary. The Saints are missing weapons on offense, especially at wide receiver with Olave joining Thomas as a sidelined player for this week. However, the Saints can get after the QB and the Bengals are still having issues protecting Joe Burrow. The Saints are 38-14 ATS in October and they scare the league with a big win at home.

Seahawks +2.5 (BET NOW)

The Arizona Cardinals are not a good football team. Meanwhile, Geno Smith and the Seattle Seahawks have a surprising offense. Smith ranks 4th in QBR and leads the No. 1 offense in DVOA. The defense needs to catch up with the offense, but the home-field advantage will help with that. Pete Carroll is 1807 ATS as a home underdog and will win on Sunday.

Bills -3 (BET NOW)

Of course, we had to pick a big game and we are backing Josh Allen and the Bills. This is a revenge game and yes we know that this is the first time that Patrick Mahomes is a home underdog, but it just doesn’t matter. Allen is 20-10-2 ATS on the road in NFL games and the Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in the last five conference games.

2022 NFL Week 5 Best Bets against the spread

2022 NFL Week 5 Best Bets against the spread

Here we go again. Another great week in the National Football League. We have had several great winning weeks and the plan is to keep it going with five best bets for this week. The 2022 NFL Week 5 Best Bets include favorites, underdogs and the one team you did not see coming. Before you bet, check out this big bonus from our sponsor. 

 

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2022 NFL Week 5 Best Bets against the spread

 

Commanders +2.5

Say what? the Commanders are bad and Carson Wentz is not getting the job done, but this week is different. Brian Robinson is back in the lineup gives this team a spiritual boost. The Titans are in letdown mode after a divisional win. The Titans are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 road games against a team with a losing home record and fall flat on Sunday.

 

Vikings -7.5 

If you follow my picks, you know I hate favorites, but this makes sense. The Bear’s offense is awful and the Vikings play better at home. Justin Fields is turnover prone and the Bears have covered just 3 of the last 16 games in the division. The Vikings troll with a big one and Justin Jefferson has a monster day.

 

Cowboys +5.5

Why are the Rams favored here? Sure they are at home, but the Cowboys are playing good football. The Rams can’t protect Matthew Stafford and that is what Dallas does well. Cooper Rush will win again. Yes, there is a QB controversy in Dallas.

 

Saints -5.5

The Saints have the best defense in the NFL, there I said it. Seattle has one of the worst. Once the Saints put up points, and they will, the Seahawks will be forced to pass. This will make it easy for New Orleans to get to Geno. Lay the points with confidence. The Seahawks are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight-up win, that’s all you need to see.

 

Panthers +6.5

This is it for Baker Mayfield and Matt Rhule. If the Panthers don’t fight now, they are going to fold it up. That means coaches will get fired and they will start tanking. That will motivate this team to play hard today. The 49ers are off a big win and will come in here lazy with a long trip. The 49ers are 1-4 ATS in the last five games in Carolina.

 

 

 

2022 NFL Week 5 Survivor Pick: The upset to avoid

2022 NFL Week 5 Survivor Pick: The upset to avoid

One of the most frustrating contests in the NFL is the survivor contest. The rules are simple because all you must do is pick one team to win a football game. However, it is never as easy as it looks. One mistake and you are booted out of the contest and if a popular pick loses, the whole contest can be turned upset down. It is not easy this week and here is the 2022 NFL Week 5 survivor pick to avoid.

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Popular Picks

The most popular pick is usually the game with the highest point-spread. This week the Buffalo Bills have the highest spread (-14) against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Bills will be a popular pick against a rookie quarterback in Kenny Pickett making his first start of his career. However, the Bills have the Chiefs on deck and may be looking ahead to that big game.

The Packers will be another popular pick against a Giants team that is decimated by injuries. However, this game is in London and that will bring plenty of distractions for each team. The Patriots showed that a good defense can keep the game close and Big Blue does have a good defensive squad.

Other popular picks will include the Jaguars and the Buccaneers.

Surprise Picks

Survivor contests are fun because you can only pick a team once during the year. This will cause some contestants to make “surprise” picks. The goal is to pick a team that will still win but avoid the popular picks in case of a major upset. This week teams like the Vikings and the Saints fit the bill as teams that should win but will not be the most popular picks of the week.

The Upset to Avoid

There is another game that can be considered a “trap” game on the schedule, but the pick to avoid in survivor is Tennessee. Derrick Henry is a monster, and the Commanders are struggling to do anything right this season. But beware taking the Titans in this game.  Washington is at home and well-cached. This game is a “must-win” and desperate teams at home tend to play harder. Avoid the Titans at all costs as the upset to avoid in Week 5 of the NFL.

2022 NFL Odds Week 5 and finding the “trap” game

2022 NFL Odds Week 5 and finding the “trap” game

Week 4 is over, and all bettors are now eyeing the fifth week of the NFL season. It all starts with a quick look at the 2022 NFL odds Week 5 and instantly games stand out. The important factor to consider when looking at the early point spreads is what games provide value and what games to avoid. The game that you want to avoid usually comes in the form of a trap game.

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What’s a trap game? 

A “trap” game is a game that looks too good to be true. It looks so easy to bet that you want to run to your betting website and quickly put in the wager. That bet usually loses and it leaves the player confused and searching for answers. Last week we pointed out the “trap game” and it paid off if you bet the other way.

 

Here is the complete 2022 NFL odds Week 5

 

Matchup Time Spread Over/Under
Colts at Broncos Thurs, 8:15 p.m. ET Broncos -3.5 43.5
Giants at Packers* Sun, 9:30 a.m. ET Packers -7.5 41.5
Steelers at Bills Sun, 1 p.m. ET Bills -14 47
Chargers at Browns Sun, 1 p.m. ET Browns +3 47.5
Texans at Jaguars Sun, 1 p.m. ET Jaguars -7.5 44.5
Bears at Vikings Sun, 1 p.m. ET Vikings -6.5 44
Lions at Patriots Sun, 1 p.m. ET Patriots -2.5 46.5
Seahawks at Saints Sun, 1 p.m. ET Saints -5.5 45.5
Dolphins at Jets Sun, 1 p.m. ET Jets +3 43
Falcons at Buccaneers Sun, 1 p.m. ET Buccaneers -8.5 48.5
Titans at Commanders Sun, 1 p.m. ET Commanders +2.5 42.5
49ers at Panthers Sun, 4:05 p.m. ET Panthers +4.5 39
Eagles at Cardinals Sun, 4:25 p.m. ET Cardinals +5 49.5
Cowboys at Rams Sun, 4:25 p.m. ET Rams -4.5 45.5
Bengals at Ravens Sun, 8:20 p.m. ET Ravens -3 48
Raiders at Chiefs Mon, 8:15 p.m. ET Chiefs -7.5 51

The Trap Game

This week there are several games that look too good to be true. Like the Packers against the Giants or the Jaguars over the Texans, but the one line that stands out to me is in a different game.

The 49ers just beat up the Rams and now they are small -4 favorites against the Carolina Panthers. Baker Mayfield and the Panthers look miserable this year and everyone will run to bet on San Francisco. Be careful. The 49ers are on a short week and they are coming off a big win against the Rams. This is a letdown spot and the point-spread is low for a reason. This is the trap game and maybe a game you want to avoid this week.

2022 NFL Week 3 Picks against the spread for every game

2022 NFL Week 3 Picks against the spread for every game

The third week of the NFL season is here and there are incredible games on tap. We have assembled the 2022 NFL Week 3 picks against the spread for every game in the form of one-liner quick hits.  Trying to ride the momentum of last week’s winning slate, we offer up this bevy of bets.

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Chiefs vs Colts

The Colts are at home and they need a win if they have any hope of going to the playoffs. Everyone is fading the Colts and that’s when you bet on them. Patrick Mahomes has been sacked 8 times in two starts against the Colts.

Colts +5.5

Bills vs Dolphins

The game of the day will prove if Miami and Tua are for real. The Bills will be without Micah Hyde and they have a slew of injuries to the secondary. Tua is 9-3 against the spread (ATS) at home and Buffalo is on upset alert.

Dolphins +5

Raiders at Titans

Both teams have yet to win and something has to give. Hard to understand why the Raiders are favorites considering they are 1-8 ATS as a road favorite. This is a chance to take another home dog to get it done.

Titans +2.5

Lions at Vikings

Everyone is high on Detroit, but their defense gets crushed against good pass catchers, and that sets up a great matchup for Justin Jefferson. The Vikings are a much better team at home. The Vikings are an NFL-best 41-21-2 ATS after a loss.

Vikings -6

Ravens at Patriots

The wise guys are backing the Patriots who are 17-3 in home openers. Lamar Jackson is dealing with a sore throwing arm and the Patriot’s defense is better than people think. Bill Belichick loves the underdog role and cashes in at 15-5 ATS in the last 20 games as an underdog.

Patriots +3

Bengals at Jets

The Bengals are struggling to protect Joe Burrow who has been sacked 13 times already. But the Bengals are the much better team and the Jets are 2-12 ATS in the month of September.

Bengals -6

Eagles at Washington

The Eagles bandwagon is loaded with rabid fans that believe Philly can win it all. That’s the perfect time to bet against a team on a short week and to back the divisional dog. Carson Wentz is overlooked so far although he ranks first with seven touchdown passes. Wentz is 5-1 ATS as a dog and the Commanders get the win at home.

Washington +6.5

Saints at Panthers

The Saints are very bad at putting pressure on the QB and even Baker Mayfield can have success with no pressure. Winston is hurt and throwing interceptions. 0-2 teams are 46-29-1 ATS when facing a team that won in the previous week.

Panthers +3

Texans at Bears

There is nothing to like about this game unless you are a fan of either club. If that’s the case, you have had a tough few years. This is a pass for me, but since we are picking every game…

Bears -2.5

Jaguars at Chargers

The Jags are the trendy dog which usually means to bet the favorite. However, Justin Herbert is hurt and is a true game-time decision. If he plays, the Chargers are the play.

Chargers -7

Packers at Buccaneers

Two Hall of Fame QB’s going up against each other with injured pass catchers may make for a snooze fest. Brady is 3-1 ATS Rodgers and Tampa Bay can pressure the QB. The Packers are 0-4 ATS in the last four road games and they will lose this game.

Buccaneers -2.5

49ers at Broncos

Jimmy G is back and now the 49ers are considered Super Bowl contenders again. Meanwhile, the Broncos look sloppy and have made some questionable coaching calls. But Denver is 3-0 ATS in the last 3 as an underdog at home and 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan is 15-24-2 ATS as a favorite.

Denver +1.5