NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 11: Teams That Will Absolutely Cover

NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 11: Teams That Will Absolutely Cover

The holiday season is here and that means time off from work and plenty of great football to bet on. No need to wait until Thanksgiving, the NFL has a huge slate for week 11. Before you bet our NFL picks against the spread Week 11 showcase two teams that will absolutely cover. Here are the great picksunderdogs that will win, and teams that will absolutely cover this week.

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The Carolina Panthers Will Absolutely Cover

Last week we loved the Washington Football team and they delivered with a big win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. However, this week it is time to fade Washington. First of all, Washington is off a huge win, so letdown is expected, but the true motivation is on the other end of the field.

Cam Newton injected this team with some energy and enthusiasm and the Panthers made him the starter for this week. Newton has often reached out to Ron Rivera to get back into the league but has been passed over. Now he gets a chance to show Ron that he made a mistake. Taylor Heinicke leads Washington but he is 3-7 ATS in his career. The sportsbooks know that this is a mistake and that is why the Panthers are a favorite in this game.

Washington will play without Chase Young and that is a crucial blow to a defense that is struggling this year. Washington is 1-4 against the spread in the last five road games and overall. Back the Panthers at home to win and cover.

Panthers -3.5 [BET THIS GAME NOW]

The New York Jets Will Absolutely Cover

I know what you are thinking. How on earth can the Jets be the best bet this week? Well, a few things happened. First of all, the Miami Dolphins pulled off the biggest win of the year. They trounced the Baltimore Ravens and although they have extra rest, they are still going to have some letdown. Now they head to the Big Apple as road favorites. The Dolphins do not have the right to be rod favorites against anyone.

Joe Flacco is the starter and many believe that this is a mistake. On the contrary, this is a genius move by the coaching staff. They let Zach Wilson get healthy and they bring in a veteran that will give the Jets a chance to win. Flacco can read defenses and handle pressure.

The Dolphins are off a big win but they have an offensive line that is last in pass block rate and 29th in total yards. It is hard to back the Dolphins since they are 1-5 ATS as a road favorite.

Jets +3.5

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Dallas Cowboys vs. Kansas City Chiefs Matchup Preview

Dallas Cowboys vs. Kansas City Chiefs Matchup Preview (11/21/2021)

By Max Heering

I hate to say it, folks, but the Kansas City Chiefs are back. They had a slow start but returned to form last week against the Las Vegas Raiders. When you really think about it, quarterback Patrick Mahomes returned to form last week. He threw for 406 yards and five touchdowns. Mahomes sprayed the ball around the field, hitting eight different targets. Travis Kelce, Darrell Williams, Tyreek Hill, and Byron Pringle were his favorite targets. They combined for 28 receptions for 349 yards. The most surprising part of the game is that Patrick Mahomes, a prolific runner, did not rush once in their 41-14 win.

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The Dallas Cowboys are really good this year and easily the best team in the NFC East. After a tough 30-16 loss two weeks ago to the Denver Broncos, they rebounded in a huge way. They beat the Atlanta Falcons 43-3 with a balanced attack. Dak Prescott was efficient, completing 24/31 passes for 296 yards and two touchdowns (both to CeeDee Lamb). Ezekiel Elliot only rushed for 2.9 yards per carry, but found the end zone twice. The Cowboy’s defense also had a great game with three interceptions. They only allowed the Falcons to get 214 total yards.

Cowboys vs. Chiefs Predictions

These are two excellent teams, but I do not think the Chiefs can be stopped now. The Chiefs are also playing at home, and that gives them a huge advantage. I really do not like the Chiefs, so it makes me sad to say this, but they’re back. Bet on the Chiefs.

My Prediction: Chiefs 31, Cowboys 24.

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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Los Angeles Chargers Matchup Preview

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Los Angeles Chargers Matchup Preview (11/21/2021)

By Max Heering

I will admit that this is an interesting pick for Sunday Night Football. These two teams were supposed to be better than they are but have fizzled out recently. The 5-3-1 Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off a 16-16 tie to the winless Detriot Lions. Mason Rudolph started that game in the absence of Ben Roethlisberger. He threw the ball 50 times but only had 242 passing yards. He did throw one touchdown, but he also threw one interception. Running back Najee Harris was also heavily depended upon in that game. He rushed 26 times for 105 yards but did not find the end zone.

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The 5-4 Los Angeles Chargers are coming off a 27-20 loss against the Minnesota Vikings. The Chargers had a couple of chances to put that game away, but could not execute. Justin Herbert had an uncharacteristically quiet game with 195 passing yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Larry Rountree II rushed for his first career touchdown, and Austin Ekeler caught one touchdown. The Charger’s offense struggled with 253 total yards.

Steelers vs. Chargers Predictions

Both of these teams are dealing with quite a few injuries, but the Steeler’s injuries are a little more notable. The Steelers will be playing without Ben Roethlisberger, T.J. Watt, Joe Haden, Minkah Fitzpatrick, and Juju Smith-Schuster. 

The Steelers also do not have a home-field advantage. I think the Steelers are too shorthanded against a Chargers team that can be really good. This game will either be a Chargers blowout or similar to last week’s Steeler’s game against the Lions.

My Prediction: Chargers 24, Steelers 17.

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Utah Jazz vs. Sacramento Kings Matchup Preview

Utah Jazz vs. Sacramento Kings Matchup Preview (11/20/2021)

By Max Heering

The 10-5 Utah Jazz and the 6-9 Sacramento Kings have distinctly different styles of play. The Jazz are a little more experienced and have strong shooting and defense. However, they also do not push the pace of play very much. On the other hand, the Kings are young and will try to run any team they are playing out of the gym. They also do not play much defense.

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The Utah Jazz are coming off a 119-103 win against the Toronto Raptors. Rudy Gay played in his first game of the season and wasted no time. He had 20 points in 18 minutes off the bench. Donovan Mitchell also had 20 points, and Rudy Gobert had a 14 point, 11 rebound double-double. The Jazz had an embarrassing 23 turnovers but hit 55% of their shots from the field and 12/13 free-throws.

The Sacramento Kings are coming off a 107-97 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves. De’Aaron Fox had 28 points, and Buddy Hield threw in another 16 off the bench. The Kings outrebounded the Timberwolves 47-36  but could not make shots. They only hit 36.6% of their shots from the field.

Jazz vs. Kings Prediction

This is not a hard call to make. The Jazz are now playing as a completely healthy team. The Kings are also completely healthy, but they do not have the pieces that the Jazz have. They will easily handle this young Kings team and show why they are one of the best in the league. Watch out for a blowout.

My Prediction: Jazz 115, Kings 98.

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Philadelphia 76ers vs. Portland Trail Blazers Matchup Preview

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Portland Trail Blazers Matchup Preview (11/20/2021)

By Max Heering

The 9-7 Philadephia 76ers will be playing the 8-8 Portland Trail Blazers on the road on Saturday night. The shorthanded 76ers are coming off a 103-89 win against the Denver Nuggets. Five players scored double-digit points, but Tyrese Maxey led all scoring with 22 points. The 76ers struggled from the free-throw line, only hitting half of their free throws, but they had no issue from the field; they hit over half of their field goal attempts.

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In their last game, the Portland Trail Blazers beat the Chicago Bulls 112-107 to push their record to 8-8. Damian Lillard had a 22 point, ten assist double-double, and Jusuf Nurkic had an 18 point, 12 rebound double-double. The Trail Blazers got to the free-throw line an incredible 28 times and hit 27 of their free throws.

76ers vs. Trail Blazers Predictions

If the 76ers were playing at full strength, I would give them the upper hand. They have many injured players, including Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons, and have had to use a short rotation as a result. On the other hand, the Trail Blazers are healthy. The Trail Blazers are also playing at home. I have to give them the edge for mainly those reasons. They are also on a two-game winning streak and picking up momentum. Bet on the Trail Blazers.

My Prediction: Trail Blazers 110, 76ers 100.

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2021 Week 12 College Football Best Bets and Predictions

2021 Week 12 College Football Best Bets and Predictions

This is the time when college football teams have to put up or shut up. Bowl bids, coaching jobs and playoff aspirations are all on the line. This provides a bounty of information to look at when considering what teams to bet on. Our weekly quick picks provide a snapshot of the 2021 Week 12 college football best bets.

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Michigan State at Ohio State

It is pretty tempting to take the Spartans and the double-digits considering that they are the No. 7 team in the country. However, Ohio State is playing their best football right now and they realize a big win at home will cement their stake to a playoff spot. The Buckeyes have covered four straight in this series and the Spartans fade down the stretch with a 5-12 ATS record in November since 20218. Back the Buckeyes.

Ohio State -19.5 [BET NOW]

Arkansas at Alabama

In another battle of top-25 teams, the SEC features the Razorbacks vs the Crimson Tide. Alabama is the better team and they are 9-1 ATS as a home favorite but don’t count out the scrappy Hogs. This will be the first time Alabama QB sees the type of defense that Arkansas runs. That will lead to confusion and turnovers early. The Razorbacks will try o run and control the clock which will make for a lower-scoring game. The Razorbacks are 6-2 ATS as a road underdog and they keep it close.

Arkansas +20.5 [BET NOW]

Washington at Colorado

The Huskies are in a tailspin after losing a big game and watching their coach get fired. They will have little motivation for a game in Mile High air against a CU team that is improving every week.  The Huskies are 2-10 against the spread when playing a team with a losing record and the Buffaloes are 7-3 ATS as a home dog.

Colorado +6.5 [BET NOW]

Oregon at Utah

This is always a popular betting spot. The lower-ranked team is a favorite at home against a higher-ranked team. Utah has covered 14 of their last 21 games as a home favorite and this is a game that can put this football team in the top ten. Utah is a top team defensively leading the conference in sacks. They will harass the Oregon offense all night long. The Ducks are 3-7 ATS as a road underdog and they are knocked out of the playoff picture.

Utah -3 [BET NOW]

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Chicago Bulls vs. Denver Nuggets Matchup Preview

Chicago Bulls vs. Denver Nuggets Matchup Preview (11/19/2021)

By Max Heering

This will be one exciting game to watch. The 10-5 Chicago Bulls are third in the Eastern Conference and one of the surprises of the NBA. However, the Bulls are coming off a 112-107 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers. Zach Lavine had 30 points and seven rebounds in 37 minutes. DeMar DeRozan also had 22 points, but Alex Caruso had the most impressive stat line with his near triple-double. He finished with 12 points, ten rebounds, and nine assists. The Bulls shot 16/20 from the free-throw line, but the Trail Blazers hit 27/28 of their free throws.

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The 9-5 Denver Nuggets have been playing well in the absence of Jamal Murray. Nikola Jokic has returned to last year’s form and is averaging 26.1 points, 13.8 rebounds, and 6.3 assists per game. The Nuggets are coming off a 111-101 loss to the Dallas Mavericks. Jokic had 35 points and 16 rebounds in that game. Monte Morris also played well with 17 points and eight assists. Unfortunately, the Nuggets were outshot from the three-point line, and that is why they lost.

Bulls vs. Nuggets Predictions

 

The Bulls may be playing without defensive spark plug Alex Caruso in this game. They have been playing without starting center Nikola Vucevic in their last few games, and their defense has suffered because of it. I expect the Bulls to keep it close, but the Nuggets are tough to beat at home. So I have to give the Nuggets the edge in a game that will go down to the wire.

My Prediction: Nuggets 102, Bulls 98.

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Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns Matchup Preview

Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns Matchup Preview (11/19/2021)

By Max Heering

The 9-5 Dallas Mavericks will be facing the 11-3 Phoenix Suns on the road for the second game in a row. The Mavericks kept it close against the Suns in their last game but lost 105-98. They were playing without Luka Doncic, and his absence was noticeable. Tim Hardaway Jr. ended up leading the Mavericks in scoring with 22 points, but Jalen Brunson had a much more significant impact. Brunson had 18 points, nine rebounds, and nine assists. Kristaps Porzingis also had 21 points. The Mavericks shot the ball well but only made it to the free-throw line six times.

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The Suns took full advantage of Luka Doncic’s absence in their last game. Devin Booker led the Suns in scoring with 24 points, but the bigger story was Chris Paul’s passing. Paul only had seven points, but he played as a true point guard with his 14 assists. At the end of the third quarter, the Suns were down 73-68 but outscored the Mavericks 37-25 in the fourth quarter to win it by seven.

Mavericks vs. Suns Predictions

It is unclear whether Luka Doncic will play in this game. But, if he does, he will probably not be at full strength. Over these past few seasons, Doncic has proved himself as the most pivotal piece to the Mavericks and one of the top players in the NBA. The Suns, on the other hand, have no notable injuries. They are also a top-three team in the NBA, on a ten-game winning streak, and have home-court advantage.

This will be another close game. I see the Suns winning again, especially if Luke Doncic does not play. Either way, it should be exciting, and I would recommend watching it.

My Prediction: Suns 108, Mavericks 103.

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2021 Patriots vs Falcons Predictions: Revenge For the Dirty Birds?

2021 Patriots vs Falcons Predictions: Revenge For the Dirty Birds?

This Thursday night the New England Patriots will travel to Atlanta to go up against the Falcons. It’s impossible to see a game between these two teams without conjuring memories of perhaps the greatest Super Bowl to ever be played. However, that game will not mean anything when you make the 2021 Patriots vs Falcons predictions for this game.

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Falling Falcons

The Falcons are a tough team to figure out. They have brilliant moments like the win against the rival Saints. Then they follow that up with a big dud against Dallas. Quietly Matt Ryan is having an incredible season and you know that he wants to win this game. It doesn’t help with Calvin Ridley being out of the lineup.

The defense is also vastly improved. They have yet to allow a 300-yard passer this season. That streak will stay in fact, although Pats rookie QB Mac Jones is starting to make a name for himself.

The Mac Attack

The Patriots are once again considered a contender and it is due to the instant success of quarterback Mac Jones. During the win against the Brown, Jones set career highs in completion percentage, passing touchdowns, and passer rating. The Patriots are a meager 5-11-1 ATS after a straight-up win. The offense is balanced with a strong running attack and an efficient passing game. However, this team will be tested as a road favorite in a short week.

Patriots vs Falcons Predictions

The Patriots are 6.5 point favorites in this game and the public is pounding the Pats at the betting window. Over 82 percent of the bets are on Bill Belichick to win and cover this week. But don’t count out the Falcons. They are at home and the Patriots will have to travel on a short week, something that is difficult for any team. The Falcons respond well after a bad performance. The birds are 26-12 ATS after scoring less than 15 points and 20-7-1 ATS after gaining less than 250 total yards.

The Dirty Birds get their revenge on Thursday night and beat the Patriots.

Falcons +6.5 [BET THIS GAME]

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Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns Matchup Preview

Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns Matchup Preview (11/17/2021)

By Max Heering

The 9-4 Dallas Mavericks will face the 10-3 Phoenix Suns on the road on Wednesday. The Suns are second in the Western Conference, and the Mavericks are third in the Western Conference, but they are not receiving much media coverage. The Suns are coming off a 99-96 win against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Neither team shot well; Both hit less than 40% of their shots. Devin Booker led the Suns in scoring with 29 points, and Chris Paul had 21 points and eight assists. Deandre Ayton may have been their most impactful player with a 22 point, 12 rebound double-double.

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The Dallas Mavericks are coming off a 111-101 win against the Denver Nuggets. Kristaps Porzingis led the Mavericks in scoring with 29 points and also had 11 rebounds. Luka Doncic was two rebounds away from a triple-double with 23 points, eight rebounds, and 11 assists. The Mavericks shot the ball a little better than Nuggets from the field and behind the three-point line in this game, which is why they won.

Mavericks vs. Suns Predictions

This will be a close and exciting game. These teams have almost the same record, but the Suns have a lot of momentum right now from their nine-game winning streak and will be playing at home. I cannot underestimate the momentum that the Suns have right now. They have not had the most challenging schedule, but winning nine games in a row is a feat no matter what.

I do not speak so highly of the Suns to bring down the Mavericks. They are also an excellent team, but they are not riding a high from a nine-game winning streak. Bet on the Suns.

My Prediction: Suns 111, Mavericks 106.

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