College football week 5 picks against the spread and predictions
This week it is best to tread very carefully when making your college football week 5 picks against the spread. If last week taught us anything, it’s that this may be one of the most unpredictable seasons that we have seen in a long time. With teams playing the conference schedule we have another great slate for the upcoming week and it starts on Friday with a big game. Let’s pick some winners!
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TCU vs Texas
The Texans Longhorns narrowly escaped a loss in overtime a week ago. They will not have time to regroup as they now host TCU. The Horned Frogs fell short in their game but showed a lot of fight and promise for this team.
TCU still has too many questions on both sides of the ball. The defense was gouged on the ground and the offense is inconsistent early in the season. To make matters worse, the Horned Frogs are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 conference games.
The Longhorns looked awesome at times on offense with Sam Ehlinger throwing for five scores, but struggled in many other areas. They had turnovers and lackluster play on defense. Although the Longhorns were not impressive in all areas, they leave this game with confidence on their side. It was an ugly win, but a great comeback and they will carry that motivation into this game. The Longhorns are 2-0 for the first time in four seasons under Tom Herman and will win this game easily. It’s not a bad idea to bet on the Longhorns to win its first Big12 title since 2009.
Auburn vs Georgia
Although both of these teams won last week, there is no doubt that both of these teams had issues.
Georgia had a tough time scoring on offense in the first half against the Razorbacks. They managed just a field goal and that may not be a surprise since they are down to the fourth QB. D’Wan Mathis started but was soon replaced with Stetson Bennett IV. The Bulldogs rallied behind Bennett but Kirby Smart got some good news on the quarterback front.
BREAKING: UGA QB JT Daniels has been cleared for this weekend’s game against Auburn.
HUGE, and I mean HUGE, news for Georgia 🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/ODqsu86KWx
— Georgia Sports Now (@GASportsNow) September 28, 2020
Auburn fared the same with a poor first-half followed by a second-half that won the game. However Auburn has some serious problems on defense. They were outgained against Kentucky 378-323 and they allowed eight first downs on 10 attempts by Kentucky in the first half. The only reason Auburn pulled away late was due to a turnover and a failed fake-punt by Kentucky. They won’t get that lucky against Georgia who is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after a game in which they failed to cover the spread.
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Texas A&M vs Alabama
With cupcakes to pad the early games of the schedule, the SEC has many great games this week. None may be bigger than the game between the Aggies and the Crimson Tide. The Aggies won the game, but HC Jimbo Fisher admitted there are plenty of mistakes that need to be corrected. Those mistakes included three fumbles and a penalty that resulted in a safety. To make things tougher the Aggies are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 road games against a team with a winning home record.
The Crimson Tide also won with many errors to include way too many penalties for a team coached by Nick Saban. Mac Jones passed for 249 yards and two scores in limited playing time. Saban will have no problem getting his team ready for this game and cleaning up the mistakes from the first game. A big number to swallow, but the Crimson Tide roll all over the Aggies
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UPSET SPECIAL: Oklahoma vs Iowa State
No loss was worse than the Oklahoma Sooners. They blew a double-digit lead and lost to a short-handed Kansas State team. That easily became the biggest upset of the week. The Sooners will try to regroup and rebound against Iowa State. Which may not be easy considering that the Sooners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Iowa State had a great rushing game in the win over TCU but looked sloppy on defense, which may be a sign of the different offseason that teams are adjusting too. Brock Purdy is 15-9 as a starter in Big 12 games but is still making bad mistakes. He admitted he made freshman mistakes in this game, something he cannot do against an angry Oklahoma team.
The defense fell apart for the Sooners and if they don’t correct some of those issues it could be another long day for OU. Freshman Spencer Rattler was a bright spot passing for nearly 400 yards and four scores, but he also turned the ball over three times. It’s hard to trust Oklahoma with a defense that is confused in the secondary and a young signal-caller that is prone to turning the ball over.
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BEST BET: Virginia vs Clemson
Clemson is one of the best teams in college football. But last week proves that no team is safe from the upset. If the Tigers want to avoid an upset they will have to beat the pesky Virginia Cavaliers. Luckily for the No. 1 team in the country, Clemson had a week off to prepare for this game.
Virginia avoided the letdown by stomping Duke. The victory included an impressive fourth quarter in which they outscored Duke 21-0. This team had 12 weeks to prepare for Duke and under head coach Bronco Mendenhall that is more than enough time. That chemistry and execution is not something that we have seen this year with the unique start to the season. This team will rise to the occasion against good teams since the Cavaliers are 12-4 ATS against a team with a winning record. The Cavaliers are not going to beat the Tigers, but they will keep this game very close. The best bet is Virginia.