Patriots vs Chiefs Picks: Can the Pats win without Cam?
When we were going over our list of the NFL picks against the spread for every game, we had no idea how much this game would change. Cam Newton will not be playing in this big game and it has been rescheduled. Since Cam is out the top sportsbooks moved the point spread and everyone is scrambling to figure out their Patriots vs Chiefs picks for Monday night.
Patriots vs Chiefs
Let’s start with the schedule change. The Patriots and Chiefs were awaiting COVID-19 test results and the game was originally postponed. Now it has been moved and it will be the first game in a Monday Night Football doubleheader. The Patriots will start at 7 EST and the Falcons vs Packers will be the late cap on the schedule.
Monday night doubleheader….
Falcons-Packers 8:50 https://t.co/P2WD6xTCkK
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) October 4, 2020
Pushing the point-spread
Cam Newton is out and everyone knows that the point spread would move on this game, but no one knows by how much. The Patriots announced that Brian Hoyer will start this game and the top sportsbooks put a number on this game and it went to double-digits. For a team like the Patriots and a head coach like Bill Belichick, this is uncharted territory.
Before Cam Newton’s positive test, the Patriots were 7-point underdogs vs. the Chiefs. That number now is up to 11 points. It’s the most a Patriots opponent has been favored by since the Rams in Super Bowl XXXVI.
— Zack Cox (@ZackCoxNESN) October 4, 2020
Hope for Hoyer
The good news for the Patriots is that Hoyer is a veteran who will not wilt under pressure. The game plan will change since his mobility does not match up to Newton’s. But Belichick and the Patriots will have a gameplan to protect Hoyer and run the ball in big doses. The plan of attack will not change. Hoyer can manage the game and even throw it when needed.
On a short week after playing on Monday night football the Chiefs are just 4-3 ATS. The Patriots have a defense that can match up and disguise coverages when needed.
The Patriots gain momentum after a big win. They are 20-6-1 ATS in the last 27 games after a straight-up win of more than 14 points. This is a series that is always close and that is why the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
The Patriots may not win, but this team will have a chip on their shoulder as big underogs and they show up on Monday to play.
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