49ers vs Patriots pick against the spread and betting preview
The NFL schedule for Week 7 is loaded with great games. The NFL odds are posted at the best sportsbooks and all that is left to be done is pick winners. Our full list of betting previews and free picks include sportsbook bonus, trends with predictions for each game. Next up on the schedule, is the 49ers vs Patriots pick against the spread.
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When the San Francisco 49ers travel east to take on the New England Patriots, the game is full of storylines. The 49ers have injury issues, the Patriots offense is under scrutiny and quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo makes his return to New England.
Jimmy G is not the answer
The Patriots traded Garoppolo and at the time it was surrounded by controversy. Since heading to the west coast the team has had success, but there are reasons to believe he is having problems.
He’s not bad. But on a big-money contract? There’s plenty of evidence to suggest Jimmy Garoppolo is not a true face-of-the-franchise talent. pic.twitter.com/smvsrJ1h9x
— Phil Perry (@PhilAPerry) October 23, 2020
Fortunately, for the 49ers, the Patriots offense is having problems that are much, much worse.
Patriots offense going backward
The Patriots offense is a genuine concern. They are without a big playmaker, have offensive line issues and Cam Newton is failing to meet expectations. Newton is always under pressure (4 sacks against Denver) he does not a pass-catching threat that can separate and they need trickery or QB runs to gain yardage. They need to establish the run game if they want to beat the 49ers.
Get ready to see this play from the #Patriots on Sunday against the #49ers: counter cross-lead weak. Puller kicks out the edge force while the FB leads to the WILL. Gets 4-on-4 to the weak side for the offense. Good run against SF’s 4-3 under front. pic.twitter.com/EOKtzI8tYg
— Evan Lazar (@ezlazar) October 22, 2020
The Patriots offense is slow to start games. The offense has yet to score in the first quarter in five straight games. Unless the offense gets better in just one week, they will have to rely on the defense to get the win.
Keeping Kittle in check
The Patriots have a knack for slowing down opposing tight ends. They have allowed just 200 yards to tight ends in five games and they have made the position invisible. They played against Travis Kelce, Darren Waller and none of them were impressive. Slowing down Kittle will be the number one priority for this defense.
49ers vs Patriots pick against the spread
This game is not about Garoppolo. The NFL odds show that the point-spread in this game moved from Patriots (-5.5) to (-2). This shows just how far that the Patriots have fallen off from previous years. Bettors have given up on the Patriots, for good reason. The Pats are 3-8-1 ATS in the last 12 games overall. Meanwhile, the 49ers are 5-1 ATS as road underdogs. San Francisco will get the early lead and use the strength of their rushing attack to hold on to the victory. Bet on Jimmy G to get his first win against his former team.