Falcons vs Packers predictions: Win or season over for Atlanta
When you make your list of the NFL picks against the spread for every game, you have to look at the Monday night football game. The Atlanta Falcons are in a must-win situation when they head to Green Bay to take on the Packers. The Falcons are losing and losing ugly by giving up big leads late in the game. This game may end the season for Atlanta if they don’t get a win. Time to get to the Falcons vs Packers predictions for this big game.
Falcons at Packers (MNF)
Point spread: Packers -7
Point total: 58
Moneyline: Falcons +280, Packers -340
The Green Bay Packers beat the New Orleans Saints and the NFC know realizes that Aaron Rodgers is leading a contender. On the other side of the field, the Falcons keep finding ways to lose.
The latest disaster for the Falcons came in the last outing when the defense folded allowing the Bears to come back from a double-digit deficit. The Falcons have managed to score 90 points and still don’t have a win. They have a 48% conversion rate on third down and can put up points. Yet they are still not winning. They are breaking records but not in a good way.
The Falcons are the first team in NFL history to have back-to-back games in which they blew a 15+ point fourth-quarter lead and lost.
— Stats By STATS (@StatsBySTATS) September 27, 2020
For as bad as they have looked, they have value against the Packers this week. The betting public has bailed on Atlanta and this line keeps getting higher and higher and it has lost all value. If there is a spot where the Falcons excel, it’s as an underdog. The Dirty Birds are 6-1 ATS as an underdog and they are 5-0 ATS as a road underdog.
Green Bay is a very good team, but they are just 3-7 ATS as a favorite of more than seven points. The Packers may win, but they cannot cover this big of a number.
Falcons +7.5
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Line Move
Late on Monday night, the line is moving on this game. This is happening for two reasons. The Packers announced that Davante Adams will not be playing tonight and because the Falcons are the right play in this game. The sharp players got this game at over a touchdown, but no others are jumping on. They may not get value, but they still get the winner.