NBA Finals Game 3 Suns vs Bucks Picks: Must-Win for Milwaukee
The Milwaukee Bucks are one of the best teams in the NBA. But up until now, they have looked average against a Phoenix Suns team that is rolling through the NBA Finals. But, as you will hear time and time again, it’s not a series until someone loses at home. The Bucks will get a chance to defend their home court against the Suns in game three. We have made our series selections for the NBA Finals and we are not hedging from that pick (just yet) and tonight in game 3 we will focus on the over/under.
NBA Finals Game 3 Odds and Trends
How important is a home-court advantage in the NBA Playoffs? The Bucks are giving 4.5 points to the Suns. This number is rising from the opening line of 3.5. The over/under started out as 222.5 and has dipped to 221 as we get closer to tip-off. Online sportsbook, BetUS has all of the odds and hundreds of props to bet on for game 3 *HERE*.
The Sun’s games have gone over the total in four games to include the first two games of the NBA Finals. But that will change in the underdog role since Phoenix has scored under the closing total in 4 of the last 5 games as a road underdog.
On the other side, Milwaukee has the under at 6-2-1 as a playoff favorite and 7-3 in the last ten games.
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Suns vs Bucks Picks
Chris Paul and Devin Booker have had their way with the Bucks up to this point. But when the Bucks are at home, they play better defense and that will be the thing to watch in this game. In a closely contested game, anything can happen, so we are going to bet on the total.
Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton are under fire for bad play in the Finals. Playing at home will increase the intensity and will allow the Bucks to defend the perimeter better. And don’t worry about the Suns getting extra free throws tonight.
Scott Foster is officiating Suns-Bucks Game 3.
Since 2014, when Foster is a referee, Chris Paul’s playoff teams have gone 1-11 SU and 1-11 ATS per @Bet_Labs.
Does this make any Suns bettors nervous?
— John Ewing (@johnewing) July 11, 2021
When the Suns have met in Milwaukee the Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings. The defense will be better and a low-scoring game is expected.