Sunday NBA Picks Against the Spread for Every Game
The NBA playoffs are rolling right along and the Sunday slate is loaded with great games. At this stage in the post season betting on the favorites is the way to go. The Bucks have already extinguished the Heat and the Lakers have been dominating the Suns since game one of that series. Our Sunday NBA picks against the spread for every game will look at all of the games and deliver a winning pick.
Look at the Numbers
The favorites have been dominating in the early going. The team laying points is 18-8 against the spread (ATS) this season.
Favorites ATS: 18-8
Underdogs ATS: 8-18
Favorites ML: 19-7
Underdogs ML: 7-19
ATS when line is between:
-1 to -3 (5-3)
-3.5 to -5.5 (6-3)
-6 to -8 (5-4)
-8.5 to -10 (2-1)
-2, -5 & -8 all undefeated ATS
Favorites 15-3 on ML since game 1
— Dabangg Data (@DabanggData) May 30, 2021
This makes it very tempting to lay the points and take all of the favorites again on Sunday but think again. There are a few underdogs that will be barking today.
New York Knicks vs Atlanta Hawks
Odds: Hawks -4.5
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It may be hard to hear, but the Hawks are the better team in this series. They have confused and flustered Julius Randle and are on their way to winning the series. What really is helping the Hawks is how deep they are.
Nah that’s a bad take..
1. The Hawks roster is twice deeper than the Knicks and it’s not even close. The Knicks making the playoffs is already a surprise and pretty big performance imo.
2. Randle has been making poor decisions offensively and it’s not on Thibs. https://t.co/JhcFr6uPPG
— Lore’n’Spurs (@Lore_spurs) May 30, 2021
The Hawks are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite and they have covered four of the last five games. The Knicks are outmatched and will show again this afternoon.
Pick: Hawks -4.5
Phoenix Suns vs LA Lakers
Odds: Lakers -6.5
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The Chris Paul injury and the dirty play of Devin Booker, has put the Suns on the verge of elimination. Lakers superstar Anthony Davis is banged up, but everything points to Davis being on the court for this game.
Anthony Davis says there’s “no chance” he’ll miss Game 4. https://t.co/hEOjvwMx9l
— Hoops Rumors (@HoopsRumors) May 30, 2021
The Suns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog and the Lakers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. The Suns are desperate to get a win and will keep this game close.
Pick: Suns +6.5
Brooklyn Nets vs Boston Celtics
Odds: Nets -7.5
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Jayson Tatum powered the Celtics to the first victory in the series with a 50-point performance. Now the Celtics head into game four and will be backed by a full house at TD Garden for this game. Kemba Walker’s injury I concerning, but it’s the play of players like Marcus Smart and Tristian Thompson that have inspired this team. This type of hard-nosed devotion is contagious and players coming off the bench are giving more of an effort.
◇ JAYSON TATUM dropped 50 pts; 6 rbs; 7 ast; 2 stl; 1 blk; 5 3-pm; 53.3 FG
◇ MARCUS SMART – 23 pts; 3 reb; 6 ast; 1 stl; 5 3-pm; 72.7 FG
◇ TRISTAN THOMPSON – 19 pts; 13 reb; 1 ast; 61.5 FG
◇ EVAN FOURNIER – 17 pts; 5 reb; 2 ast; 1 stl; 4 3pm; 50.0 FG#Celtics #BostonCeltics pic.twitter.com/UaiAGquM2G
— Glissel Sarondo CelticLifePH (@GlisselMSarondo) May 30, 2021
The Celtics are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 Conference Quarterfinals games and 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games as a home underdog. The Celtics are worth a play on the money line as they will win and tie up the series in front of a packed house.
Pick: Celtics +7
LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks
Odds: Clippers -3
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If you are betting on this game, it comes down to the health of Mavericks superstar Luka Doncic. If he does not play, this is a much different team.
“I think he’s going to play,” Mavericks head coach Rick Carlisle said of Luka Doncic, “but we’ll see how he feels tomorrow.” Said he was pleasantly surprised to see Kleber is probable. #mavericks #NBA #sports pic.twitter.com/q7dr1liFst
— Stelios K. (@SteliosK24) May 30, 2021
Now is the time to bet on the Clippers, if you haven’t already. If Luka does not play the odds will jump and you will lose all value. If he does play, he will not be at 100 percent and that will give the Clippers the edge. The Mavericks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 playoff games as an underdog and 5-12 ATS in their last 17 Conference Quarterfinals games. The momentum is with LA. The Clippers are riding high after a double-digit win and will tie up the series with another big win.
Pick: Clippers -3