Ohio State vs Penn State pick against the spread and predictions
One loss can ruin a season for a college football team. That is the case for the Penn State Nittany Lions who lost in an incredible upset in the first week of the season. The only thing that can make fans forget about a bad loss is a great win. They get that opportunity this week when they take on the top-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes. There is plenty to consider before making an Ohio State vs Penn State pick against the spread.
Indiana (+6.5) defeats No. 8 Penn State 36-35 in OT.
Hoosiers go for two and make it by maybe the nose of the football pic.twitter.com/2kddPcAu8l
— VSiN (@VSiNLive) October 24, 2020
Giving up on Penn State
When Penn State lost to an unranked Indiana team, the world gave up on the Nittany Lions. That also applies to sports betting fans. Ohio State opened up as 9.5 point favorites and that line jumped due to public support. This is not a surprise as Ohio State is a popular team. The Buckeyes are a covering machine, as they have covered 13 of the last 18 games against the spread (ATS). The public bets flooded in on the Buckeyes and they currently are 13.5 point favorites and this number may eclipse two touchdowns before kickoff on Saturday night.
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Finding Justin Fields
If Penn State has any chance of winning they have to stop quarterback Justin Fields. He connected on 20-of-21 passes in the win against Nebraska and he is the undisputed leader of this team. But he will have to play well because the Buckeyes are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings in this series. Ohio State will need to provide more protection since they allowed 3 sacks against a weak Nebraska pass-rushing squad.
Keep an eye on Clifford
The Penn State running game has been decimated due to injury, but quarterback Sean Clifford helps out by running the rock. The Buckeye’s defensive front is one of the best in the country, but they did show some mobility issues against Nebraska. This will give Clifford an opportunity to find holes, as he did against Indiana when he amassed 119 rushing yards.
Ohio State vs Penn State pick against the spread
Penn State will not benefit from having a rowdy home crowd to support the home-field advantage. They do play well against winning teams. Penn State is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 home games against a team with a winning record. After laying an egg in the opener, Penn State needs an impressive effort to get back in the national spotlight.
The Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight-up win and the home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Clifford will move the ball and the Penn State defense will get after Fields. This will make it tough for the Buckeyes to cover an inflated number.
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