Expert NFL Week 1 Picks against the spread for every game

Expert NFL Week 1 Picks against the spread for every game

The NFL has made its grand return, and Week 1 is teeming with thrilling matchups. We’re here to dissect the games, offering insights and expert picks against the spread to elevate your betting game. No more waiting—let’s dive right in!

Lions vs Chiefs

Thursday night’s game is in the books, but you can catch our winning pick from the opening night in the full article.

Panthers vs Falcons

The Carolina Panthers are about to kick off the Bryce Young era, but they face a formidable challenge on the road against the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons boast an impressive lineup on both sides of the ball, with significant defensive improvements. Our pick? The Falcons will cover.

Bet: Atlanta -3.5

Texans vs Ravens

Lamar Jackson returns as the Ravens’ quarterback, but he’ll be missing the services of TE Mark Andrews due to injury. Meanwhile, the Texans introduce rookie CJ Stroud against one of the league’s top defenses. Interestingly, NFL Week 1 underdogs have historically performed well. Our prediction? The Texans will keep it close.

Bet: Texans +9.5

Jaguars vs Colts

The Colts are giving rookie Anthony Richardson the nod in their home opener against the Jaguars. After a rocky start last year, the Jaguars are determined not to repeat the same mistakes. With Trevor Lawrence at the helm and an arsenal of offensive weapons, including the newly acquired Calvin Ridley, we foresee a blowout for the Jaguars.

Bet: Jaguars -4.5

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Bengals vs. Browns

The Bengals are banking on Joe Burrow’s talents as they aim for a Super Bowl run. However, the Browns have revamped their offense around Deshaun Watson, promising a high-powered attack. Burrow’s struggles against the Browns are a cause for concern, holding a 1-4 record in their last five meetings. It’s worth noting that home divisional underdogs have excelled, boasting a remarkable 21-4 ATS record in Week 1 since 2009.

Bet: Browns +2.5

Buccaneers vs. Vikings

The Vikings are expected to dominate a rebuilding Tampa Bay team. However, the Vikings’ defense raises questions, having allowed more points than their offense scored last year. Despite heavy betting favoring the Vikings, this point spread remains below a touchdown. Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers boast a better defense. Kirk Cousins, with a lackluster 10-16 ATS record at home, doesn’t inspire confidence. While we’re not calling for an upset, Justin Jefferson and the Vikings tend to win close games.

Bet: Buccaneers +6.5

Titans vs. Saints

The Saints, welcoming Derek Carr to New Orleans, have a solid supporting cast. So, why are they only a field goal favorite at home? The Titans possess the league’s best running back in Derrick Henry and can control the game’s tempo. Coaching favors the Titans, and they have what it takes to keep this game close and potentially pull off the upset in Week 1. DeAndre Hopkins is poised to make an impact.

Bet: Titans +3

49ers vs. Steelers

The 49ers have a history of slow starts, going 1-5 ATS in Week 1. Last year, they struggled in Chicago to begin the season, and this year, Pittsburgh is likely to pose a similar challenge. Brock Purdy, recovering from surgery, faces the pressure to secure a win. Pittsburgh, boasting excellent health, especially on defense, is a well-coached team under Mike Tomlin. The Steelers shine as underdogs under Tomlin, with a 53-30-4 ATS record, and they thrive as home dogs, going 16-4-3 ATS. Look for the Steelers to rise to the occasion.

Bet: Steelers +2

Cardinals vs. Commanders

It’s evident that the Arizona Cardinals are undergoing a rebuilding phase this season, starting QB Josh Dobbs, who has been with the team for only a short time. Washington, on the other hand, is rejuvenated with new ownership and a young QB in Sam Howell. The Commanders will have their key players back for this game, but covering a touchdown in the NFL is never easy, particularly for a team starting a young QB. While we advise caution when betting against the Cardinals this season, tread carefully if you choose to lay the points with Washington.

Bet: Washington -7