Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Week 1 picks and predictions
The starters are announced for Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Week 1. Brian Flores announced that Ryan Fitzpatrick will be the day one starter with Tua Tagovailoa will serve as the backup. This is not a surprising move as Tua will be better off learning from Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick has had success against the Patriots and Bill Belichick in the past. This Sunday will be his 13th start against the Patriots, tying him for the second-most by a quarterback in the Bill Belichick era. When it comes to the week 1 picks against the spread, this is a game that stands out.
Fitzpatrick has three wins in his career vs. New England.
Only four QBs have 4+ wins vs. NE in the Belichick era.
Can you name them? https://t.co/a1te5cy2Q3
— Tucker Boynton (@Tucker_TnL) September 7, 2020
Buying Into the Buzz
The buzz around both teams heading into the season is palpable. The Patriots now have Cam Newton and all eyes will be on this offense when they first take the field.
The Dolphins are a team to watch this season. Many experts predict the Dolphins will go over the win total posted by the top sportsbooks. Peter King believes that they will win the AFC East and other analysts believe that this franchise has the potential to be a dynasty.
NBC’s Peter King picks Dolphins to win AFC East and be 4th seed, behind Baltimore, KC, Tennessee. And (if you missed this), CBS/NFL Net’s Nate Burleson said Dolphins have best chance of any team of becoming a dynasty excluding KC: https://t.co/dOm5zhhVkV
— Barry Jackson (@flasportsbuzz) September 7, 2020
What do the sportsbooks say?
The NFL betting line for this game opened up with the Patriots listed as (-7) point favorites and that line has slowly dipped lower with (-6.5) dominant the odds board. The football betting consensus shows that the public is split in this game. Over 54 percent of the wagers are on the Patriots with the public struggling to pick a team.
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Bet against Belichick?
It is hard to bet against Bill Belichick but everything you read suggests this team will have problems. The Patriots had many people opt out and they have to replace many quality players who left in the offseason. Many of those players went to Miami. If you want to make a successful pick against the spread you have to dig deeper than the headlines.
Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Week 1 picks and predictions
The Dolphins have added plenty of new faces and they will be impressive on defense. Yet, that offensive line could still have some serious issues.
The Miami Dolphins will have 2 rookies starting on their offensive line. Solomon Kindley and Austin Jackson
— DolphinsTalk.com (@DolphinsTalk) September 7, 2020
This will make it interesting in week one against a defensive-minded Patriots looking for vulnerabilities.
Bill Belichick remembers the week 17 loss. He also hears all of the stories of how Buffalo and Miami are ready to take over the AFC East. He has had plenty of time to prepare for this game and the offensive coordinator has had enough time to get this offense with Newton and some new wrinkles ready to go.
The Dolphins are slow starters and do not play well in New England. They are 1-7 against the spread (ATS) in the last eight meetings in New England and they are 0-5 ATS in the last five games in September. The Dolphins are getting all of the hype and that is usually the best time to bet against the bandwagon. The home team is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings and the Pats win big.