Author: Max Hammersby

NFL Week 14: Patriots vs Rams predictions and pick

Posted on by Max Hammersby
NFL Week 14: Patriots vs Rams predictions and pick

NFL Week 14: Patriots vs Rams predictions and pick

NFL Week 14 is here and looking at the opening odds is the first thing to do each week if you are going to bet on football. The first game that catches your attention is the Thursday night football game and this week it is a good one. Cam Newton and the New England Patriots spent some extra time in California and will go up against the LA Rams in the weekly primetime marquee event. The Patriots vs Rams predictions may seem easy to make but think again.

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Super Bowl LIII Rematch

The story that everyone will focus on is that this game is a rematch of Super Bowl LIII. While the Rams and Sean McVay remember this game, this is not a rematch as both teams have changed. The Patriots have changed dramatically since Cam Newton replaced Tom Brady as the leader of the Pats. The Patriots opened up as 6.5 point underdogs and that number plummeted as 53 percent of the bets are on New England. This is a textbook overreaction.

Rapid React

The Patriots crushed and dominated the LA Chargers a week ago. They won 45-0 and the offense, special teams, and defense all played admirably in the victory. This type of win brings football bettors back to the day when the Patriots would dominate on any given Sunday. The Patriots also thrive as underdogs with an 11-4 straight up record (12-3 ATS) in the last 15 games as an underdog. Do not fall for this trap!

Sunday Night Football free pick and preview: Steelers vs Bills>>>HERE

 Ready-Made Rams

The Rams are a serious Super Bowl contender and sorry New England, the Patriots are not. Aaron Donald will be a problem for the Patriot’s offense. This is a defense that ranks second in NFL total yards allowed and is third against the run. This will put pressure on the Patriots to throw the ball and this is a problem. Newton has five touchdowns and nine interceptions on the season. He is only completing 61 percent of his passes. Asking Newton to carry a team with his arm is a tough task.

Patriots vs Rams predictions and pick

The road team on a short week is a tough bet to make. Bill Belichick will make sure this team is ready, but they are overmatched in this game. Don’t make the mistake of comparing past results between these two teams. The Rams are an incredible 6-2-1 ATS as a home favorite and they are 6-1-1 ATS I December. This team heats up late in the year because they have a top-notch coaching staff. The Rams will be thrilled to push the Patriots to the brink of elimination with a double-digit home win.

Rams -5

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NFL Week 13 Picks Against the Spread for Every Game

Posted on by Max Hammersby
NFL Week 13 Picks Against the Spread for Every Game

NFL Week 13 Picks Against the Spread for Every Game

College football is heading towards the playoffs and that is a sure sign that the NFL season is winding down. This year is like no other in the National Football League. The person that is going to bet on the game has to examine more than injuries and the betting odds. They have to compile all of the information possible if they want to make winning NFL Week 13 picks against the spread for every game.

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NFL Week 13 Picks Against the Spread for Every Game

Here all of the games for week 13 with the latest odds, betting previews, and a free pick against the spread. Check back often as games are updated with the latest information and analysis, leading up to game time! Bet responsibly and enjoy the Bookie Blitz!

Saints vs Falcons

1:00 PM EST Spread Total Money Line
New Orleans [BETNOW] -2.5 46.0 -150 
Atlanta [BETNOW] +2.5 +130 

It’s easy to want to bet on the Saints in this game. After all, the Falcons are having a horrendous season and they were just dominated by the Saints in the last meeting, which was only a few weeks ago. This is not good news for New Orleans. When teams meet two weeks after their first matchup, the team that won the first game is awful at 7-18-1 against the spread (ATS) in the rematch.

Raheem Morris has improved this Atlanta squad and they have covered four of the six games ATS that he has coached. After getting humiliated a few weeks ago, the Falcons will have a better game plan. The defense now has more film on Taysom Hill and the Saints game plan. The Saints are cocky and will get a big surprise this Sunday in the ATL.

Free Pick: Atlanta +3

Bengals vs Dolphins

1:00 PM EST Spread Total Money Line
Cincinnati [BETNOW] +10.5 42.0 +420
Miami [BETNOW] -10.5 -525

The Dolphins and the Bengals are two teams headed in opposite directions. The Dolphins are looking at the playoffs and the Bengals are looking at the draft. With injuries to players like QB Joe Burrow and RB Joe Mixon, the Bengals have no motivation to win this game. Head Coach Brian Flores has the Dolphins winning and cashing in at the betting window. Since he took over the helm, the Dolphins are 17-10 ATS.

Five of the Bengals losses have come by one score, but that can be attributed to Burrow and how he kept the team in every game. Dolphins can win this game with defense. Cornerback Xavien Howard leads the NFL with seven interceptions and will be all over Bengals QB Brandon Allen who had two turnovers a week ago. Cincinnati has not won a road game since 2018 and they will fade late in this game.

Free Pick: Dolphins -10.5

Lions vs Bears

1:00 PM EST Spread Total Money Line
Detroit [BETNOW] +3.0 44.5 +145
Chicago [BETNOW] -3.0 -165

If you want to inspire a team all you have to do is fire a coach that is not well-liked. Enough information has been “leaked” out of Detroit that makes it very clear that the Lions players were not upset about the firing of head coach Matt Patricia. Darrell Bevell takes over and the motivation will be to win a divisional game, something the Lions have yet to do this year. Yet, it’s not easy to back a Lions team that is 1-13 straight-up and 4-10 ATS in the last 14 divisional games. This will make it easier.

The Bears are awful on offense. Granted they have an incredible defense, but that defense is getting worn down from being on the field for a long period of time. Betting on a team that has lost five in a row is not a good thing. In the five wins that the Bears do have, they have only been able to win by an average of four points. The Lions upset the Bears with the outright victory.

Free Pick(s):  Lions +3 AND +145 to win the game

Jaguars vs Vikings

1:00 PM EST Spread Total Money Line
Jacksonville [BETNOW] +10.0 51.0 +380
Minnesota [BETNOW] -10.0 -470

This is the time of the year when it is easy to identify the teams that have given up. The Jaguars look like they are that sort of team. The Jaguars have lost 10 straight games and are a bad bet over that span. But they do have James Robinson one of the best young running backs in the game. If you are looking to bet on an underdog, look somewhere else.

The Jaguars allow at least 24 points in the last ten games that they have played. The Vikings announced that they want to ease the workload on running back Dalvin Cook. Kirk Cousins will take over and go up against a Jacksonville secondary that is very bad. WR Justin Jefferson needs 82 yards to become just the fifth rookie to reach 1,000 receiving yards in the first 12 games. Since 2014, Mike Zimmer is a cover machine, cashing in at 66-40-1 ATS. The Vikings are motivated and there is no reason for the Jaguars to show up for this game.

Free Pick(s): Vikings -10 and OVER 51

Browns vs Titans

1:00 PM EST Spread Total Money Line
Cleveland [BETNOW] +5.5 53.0 +200
Tennessee [BETNOW] -5.5 -240

Derrick Henry has to once again be considered an MVP candidate. But the Browns have some serious motivation to slow him down. The Browns rank No. 1 in the NFL in rushing percentage at 50% and they have made it clear that they want both of their running backs, Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt to eclipse 100 yards. Last year the Titans went out of their way to make sure Henry beat Chubb in the rushing category and that did not sit well with the Browns.

This is a game where the rushing attack will dominate. This means it will be a low scoring game and getting points is too hard to pass up. I hate to say it, but this is the game that Baker Mayfield proves that he is a real starting quarterback in the NFL.

Free Pick: Browns +5.5

Raiders vs Jets

1:00 PM EST Spread Total Money Line
Las Vegas [BETNOW] -8.0 46.5 -370
NY Jets +8.0 +300

The Raiders are playing the Jets and there is no reason the Jets are going to finally get a win this season. However, there is one problem. The Raiders are not consistent. Can you trust a Raiders team that not only failed to beat Atlanta, but were embarrassed by the Falcons? Maybe the better question is, can you bet on the Jets?

Jets quarterback Sam Darnold has no passing TDs in each of his past four starts, but he is banged up and has only had a few games with all of his big-named wide receivers. The Jets are not a pretty team, but they have covered in three of the last five games. Don’t give up on Darnold just yet. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six games in this series and the Jets are the best bet to make in this game.

Free Pick: Jets +8

Colts vs Texans

1:00 PM EST Spread Total Money Line
Indianapolis [BETNOW] -3.0 51.0 -164
Houston [BETNOW] +3.0 +144

The Colts are the frontrunners for the AFC South but they cannot afford to lose a game. The Colts will get running back Jonathan Taylor back and will hit the road to Houston to claim another victory. The Colts have some incredible numbers that are impossible to ignore. The Colts defense ranks fifth in total yards allowed, sixth against the pass, seventh against the run, and eighth in Football Outsiders DVOA. With that being said, the best bet is the Texans and it might be the best bet of the week.

The Texans will get David Johnson back and that will improve a running game that ranks last in the NFL. Coaching makes a difference and the Texans, who are on a winning streak, believe in their coach. Sure, they lost Will Fuller to a suspension, but it is the next man up approach for this team. The Texans have won two straight and covered three in a row and this is a sign of how well the team is playing together.

Before you bet blindly on the Colts remember how bad of a road favorite they are. They lost in week 1 to the Jaguars.

Deshaun Watson is 5-1 ATS in his last 6 games with extra rest after a Thursday game and the Texans win this game.

Free Pick(s): Texans +3 and +144 to win the game

Rams vs Cardinals

4:05 PM EST Spread Total Money Line
LA Rams [BETNOW] -3.0 48.5 -145
Arizona [BETNOW] +3.0 +125

In the most contested division of the year, the Rams vs Cardinals game is a big one. Every win is important and this one, speaks volumes.

The Rams have had some issues against mobile QB’s this year, most notably Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills. It is easy to see where they may have similar issues with Cardinals running superstar Kyler Murray. Murray has a shoulder issue that is a concern that needs to be addressed before betting on this game.

The Cardinals have extra incentive in this game as Coach Sean McVay is 6-0 straight up and 5-1 ATS against the Cardinals. But Arizona does have a few numbers in their favor. The Cardinals lead NFL in yards per rush, rank fourth in rushing yards per game and sit at second in run block win rate. Those numbers indicate that this game will be close. Nothing like betting on a divisional dog to get the win on any given Sunday.

Free Pick: Arizona +3

Giants vs Seahawks

4:05 PM EST Spread Total Money Line
NY Giants [BETNOW] +11.0 47.0 +440
Seattle [BETNOW] -11.0 -560

The Seahawks are one of the best teams in the NFL. The Giants are not, but they still have a chance to win the NFC East. However, if they are going to get a miraculous win this week in Seattle they will have to do it without quarterback Daniel Jones.

Despite missing Jones, the Giants are surging thanks to the running back play of Wayne Gallman. The Giants have a 6-1-1 ATS run in their last eight games and they have covered nine of their last 10 road games. Gallman has had a TD on the ground in five consecutive games which will be important to take the pressure off Colt McCoy. The Giants are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and they can keep this game close.

Free Pick: Giants +11

Patriots vs Chargers

4:25 PM EST Spread Total Money Line
New England [BETNOW] +1.5 47.0 +105
LA Chargers [BETNOW] -1.5 -125

The Patriots are a hard team to figure out. When you expect them to lose (Ravens) they win, when you expect them to win, they lose (Broncos). So what do you expect this week? Everyone is focusing on coaching and there is no doubt that the Patriots have the edge. The Chargers also have to travel across the country, so the odds seem to be stacked against LA.

How can anyone trust the Patriots right now? Newton has four passing touchdowns and nine interceptions this season and he is on the road. Tom Brady is gone and the new-look Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Stop betting on Bill Belichick, he no longer has the talent he needs to win.

Free Pick: Chargers -1

Eagles vs Packers

4:25 PM EST Spread Total Money Line
Philadelphia [BETNOW] +8.0 49.0 +325
Green Bay [BETNOW] -8.0 -405

It’s not easy to buy into the Eagles with the way that they have been playing. Especially when he is going up against Aaron Rodgers looking to achieve a milestone. He needs three touchdown passes to reach 400 for his career. Although the Eagles are 1-4 ATS on the road this season, this is a good spot for this team.

QB Carson Wentz spoke to the team and took responsibility for his poor play. The team also made this public. That is a good move as the team will now rise to the occasion to keep Wentz protected. Everyone is betting on the Packers and this spread has skyrocketed!! It opened as Packers -6.5 and it is now as high as nine points! The value is gone on the Packers and the edge belongs to the Eagles in this game

Free Pick: Eagles +9

Broncos vs Chiefs

8:20 PM EST Spread Total Money Line
Denver [BETNOW] +13.5 51.0 +670
Kansas City [BETNOW] -13.5 -950

Sunday night football is always one of the most wagered on games of the week. If sports bettors are not winning on the day, they will use this game to make up. For those who are winning, they will use this game to add to piles of profits. Wherever you stand going into the late game, we got you covered.

Full Betting preview here>>>

Monday, December 7th, 2020

Washington vs Steelers

5:00 PM EST Spread Total Money Line
Washington [BETNOW] +7.0 44.0 +265
Pittsburgh [BETNOW] -7.0 -315

A battered and bruised Pittsburgh team hosts the Washington Football team in the early game of an unexpected MNF doubleheader. Washington has extra rest and the spread is moving as money comes in on this game. See the one stat that you have to know before betting on this game and get the free pick when you click HERE. 

Bills vs 49ers

8:15 PM EST Spread Total Money Line
Buffalo [BETNOW] +1.0 47.0 +100
San Francisco [BETNOW] -1.0 -120

The Bills make a second trip to the desert to play the 49ers in the new home. The sharp bettors are putting some serious “smart” money on this game. See who they are betting on and get the free pick for the Monday Night football game when you click HERE. 

Tuesday, December 8th, 2020

Cowboys vs Ravens

8:05 PM EST Spread Total Money Line
Dallas [BETNOW] +9.0 45.0 —
Baltimore [BETNOW] -9.0 —

The Cowboys and the Ravens may not be the best matchup of the week, but who doesn’t like Tuesday night football? Lamar Jackson and the Ravens look to get back on track and all eyes will be on Dez Bryant as he faces his former team. Get the free pick against the spread HERE. 

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Wednesday NFL Predictions: Ravens vs Steelers Picks

Posted on by Max Hammersby
Wednesday NFL Predictions: Ravens vs Steelers Picks

Wednesday NFL Predictions: Ravens vs Steelers Picks

Finally, game day is here for the Baltimore Ravens and the Pittsburgh Steelers. We have been down this road before, we covered the updates and the changes, but finally, it is game day. For those that want to bet on football, this may be the hardest game to handicap all season. We are trying to make sense of it all for you as we make our Ravens vs Steelers picks for the special Wednesday afternoon NFL game.

Line Watching

If you have watched the spread of this game you have enjoyed a roller-coaster ride. As Week 13 odds came out, this remained on the board. As the dust settles and it is official (for now) that Robert Griffin III is the starter, the Steelers are (-10.5) point favorites in this mid-week matchup. This is an interesting move for multiple reasons.

The news keeps breaking so if you do decide to bet on this game, do it at your own risk. For example, the Ravens found out they had more positive tests on the flight to Pittsburgh!

 

The Line Tells a Story

The point –spread in this game tells a tale about this game. The Steelers are getting all of the love at the betting window because the Ravens will be without Lamar Jackson and they have been limited in practice. Yet, the Steelers are also in a difficult situation. The players are upset, RB James Conner will be out of this game and they have had to deal with changes in the schedule.

Ravens vs Steelers Picks

So who wins? Normally, this game is a pass, but a mid-week NFL rivalry game will attract plenty of betting action. Therefore, we have to give a pick to all of the people who will be betting on this game.

In the first meeting, the Ravens were able to run against the Steelers. That gameplay will be very effective in this meeting. RGIII is mobile and he can use the run-pass option to open up the Steelers defense and slow down the aggressive Steelers defense. The Ravens are a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last four games as an underdog and 11-5 ATS in the last 16 games against the AFC.

The Ravens may not win this game, but they can keep it close. This inflated spread is overblown due to public perception and Baltimore is the best bet.

Ravens +10.5

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NFL Week 13 Odds: Sharps vs Squares Betting Action Report

Posted on by Max Hammersby
NFL Week 13 Odds: Sharps vs Squares Betting Action Report

NFL Week 13 Odds: Sharps vs Squares Betting Action Report

The NFL is nearing the end of the season and there are only a few more chances to place a winning bet. The sharp and savvy sports bettors will be watching the lines early to take advantage of any value on the betting board. But with COVID-19 teams can lose players or have games postponed at any moment. In our Sharps vs Squares betting action report, we post more than consensus numbers. We examine the NFL week 13 odds and discuss who is betting on what early in the week and why.

NFL Week 13 odds and sports betting bonuses

Below is the schedule of games to be played this week.

  1. Click on the teams to get the latest betting preview and a free pick against the spread.
  2. Click on the odds and Mystery bonus box to get great promotions and bonuses like this one.
Matchup Time Spread Over/Under
Cowboys at Ravens 5 p.m. ET Monday OFF [BONUS] OFF
Lions at Bears 1 p.m ET Sunday Bears -3.5 [BONUS] 45
Bengals at Dolphins 1 p.m. ET Sunday Dolphins -11.5 [BONUS] 43
Colts at Texans 1 p.m. ET Sunday Texans +2.5 [BONUS] 55
Jaguars at Vikings 1 p.m. ET Sunday Vikings -9.5 [BONUS] 51
Washington at Steelers 1 p.m. ET Sunday Steelers -10 [BONUS] TBA
Raiders at Jets 1 p.m. ET Sunday Jets +7.5 [[BONUS] 46.5
Saints at Falcons 1 p.m. ET Sunday Falcons +3 [BONUS] 47.5
Browns at Titans 1 p.m. ET Sunday Titans -4 [BONUS] 53
Giants at Seahawks 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday Seahawks -9 [BONUS] 48.5
Rams at Cardinals 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday Cardinals +2.5 [BONUS] 49
Eagles at Packers 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday Packers -7 [BONUS] 49
Patriots at Chargers 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday Chargers -1 [BONUS] 48.5
Broncos at Chiefs 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday Chiefs -13.5 [BONUS] 49
Bills at 49ers 8:15 p.m. ET Monday 49ers +3 [BONUS] 47.5

Teams on bye: Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Carolina Panthers

Odds courtesy of  BetUS

Who is the public betting on?

The public usually does not win when they bet on football. However, they did have a good win over the holidays. On Thanksgiving, they cashed in by betting on the Texans to beat the lowly Lions. However, if you bet against the public plays we feature in this report you would have a 6-3 against the spread record over the last three weeks. The public is betting early in Week 13 and here is who they are betting on.

Matt Patricia is no longer the head coach in Detroit but that is not stopping the public from betting on the Lions this week. The Bears flopped on Sunday night football and that is the last impression in the public’s mind. So they have no problem betting on Detroit +3 at Chicago.

The Kansas City Chiefs are a public darling. They love to bet on this team every week. They are favorite once again as the Broncos come limping into Kansas City.

Here are the teams the public is betting on this week: Lions, Chiefs, and the Packers. [BET NOW]

Who are the sharps betting on?

The sharps are the smart NFL bettors looking for an edge by betting early in the week. If you followed our plays in this report your record would be 12-5 ATS for a hefty profit. The sharps did not shy away from the games this week and here is who they are betting on.

The sharps are making an early play on the New England Patriots. Cam Newton did not play well, but the win over Arizona is impressive enough. The public is not buying in on the Pats on a west coast trip. Over 65% of the bets in this game are on the Chargers. Although the Bolts are getting the public bets the big money is on the Patriots driving the line from LA -2 to a pick ‘em at most shops.

They also believe that the Falcons will get quick revenge against the Saints in the quick-turnaround rematch. The Saints opened at 3.5 and has been bet down to 3, although 58% of the bets are on New Orleans.

Here are the teams the sharps are betting on this week: Patriots, Falcons, and the Jets. [BET NOW]

Sunday Night Football Predictions: Bears vs Packers Picks

Posted on by Max Hammersby
Sunday Night Football Predictions: Bears vs Packers Picks

Sunday Night Football Predictions: Bears vs Packers Picks

The Chicago Bears and the Green Bay Packers have a storied history. They are considered to be one of the best rivalries in the National Football League. Many claim that the title now belongs to the Steelers vs Ravens, but it is the Packers hosting the Bears that will get the Sunday night spotlight this week. Sure it could have been, Chiefs vs Bucs, but this game will do. The Week 12 odds have been changing on this game so read between the lines before making Bears vs Packers picks.

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Beat Down Bears

The Bears have lost four straight games after getting beat down by the Vikings. The main problem for this team is an offense that only gained 149 total yards of offense in that loss. Nick Foles is suffering from an injury and so is Mitchell Trubisky, leaving the starting QB a question mark leading up to kickoff. Foles took over in week 3 and over that time span, he has tossed 8 interceptions in 287 pass attempts. Lucikly for the Bears, it looks like he will be sidelined and Mitch Trubisky will get the start.

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Boost to the Bears Offense

The Bears did get some good news when they found out that running back David Montgomery is cleared for a return. He is the best running back on this team, but they still have issues running. The Bears rank 31st in yards per carry (3.6), 32nd in rushing yards per game (78.2), and runs less often (33.7% of its plays) than anyone in the NFL. Montgomery only averages 3.6 yards per carry and since entering the league he is last in the NFL in that category.

Packers Special Problems

The Pacers are having an incredible season led by QB Aaron Rodgers, but they still have some issues, especially on special teams. In the last five outings, the special teams have allowed a blocked punt, punt-return touchdown, and turned the ball over. The Bears Cordarrelle Patterson is a special team’s deadly weapon, who returned a kickoff for a TD last week.

Bears vs Packers Picks

It’s almost impossible to bet the Bears. The Bear’s defense is incredible, but it wears down with no help on offense. The Bears are 1-6 against the Packers on Sunday night football and have lost the last four meetings. The Bears are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 road games and 7-15 ATS in the last 22 games overall. And at Lambeau Field when playing against an NFC North opponent Rodgers is a stellar 22-12 ATS. The favorite is 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings and the Packers win big again.

Packers -8.5

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NFL Week 12 Odds: Sharps vs Squares Betting Action

Posted on by Max Hammersby
NFL Week 12 Odds: Sharps vs Squares Betting Action

NFL Week 12 Odds: Sharps vs Squares Betting Action

NFL Week 11 is in the books. It was another week of great games, winning wagers, and bad beats. The smart bettors always put the previous week behind them. They realize that the only good winner is the next one. That is why we could not wait to review the NFL Week 12 odds. The public is already betting on Thanksgiving. I will make sure to assist you are games and the sharps are moving lines with big money. Let’s get started and look ahead to week 12 in the NFL.

More Free PIcks: Would you like to get free picks against the spread for every game? Consider it done. Get all of the picks here.

These are the latest NFL Week 12 spreads. Click on each matchup in the table below to get updated in-depth information on the opening lines, sharp money, public betting, and odds movement as we get closer to kickoff.

Matchup Time Spread Over/Under
Texans at Lions 12:30 p.m. ET Thursday Lions +2.5 [BONUS BET] 51
Washington at Cowboys 4:30 p.m. ET Thursday Cowboys -3 [BONUS BET] 48
Ravens at Steelers 8:20 p.m. ET Thursday Steelers -3.5 [BONUS BET] 46
Raiders at Falcons 1 p.m. ET Sunday Falcons +1 [BONUS BET] 55.5
Cardinals at Patriots 1 p.m. ET Sunday Patriots +3 [BONUS BET] 49.5
Giants at Bengals 1 p.m. ET Sunday Bengals +4.5 [BONUS BET] 43
Browns at Jaguars 1 p.m. ET Sunday Jaguars +7 [BONUS BET] 46.5
Panthers at Vikings 1 p.m. ET Sunday Vikings -4 [BONUS BET] 49
Titans at Colts 1 p.m. ET Sunday Colts -3.5 [BONUS BET] 49.5
Chargers at Bills 1 p.m. ET Sunday Bills -5 [BONUS BET] 53
Dolphins at Jets 1 p.m. ET Sunday Jets +7 [BONUS BET] 46.5
Saints at Broncos 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday Broncos +5.5 [BONUS BET] 45.5
49ers at Rams 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday Rams -6.5 [BONUS BET] 46.5
Chiefs at Buccaneers 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday Chiefs -3 [BONUS BET] 53
Bears at Packers 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday Packers -7.5 [BONUS BET] 45.5
Seahawks at Eagles 8:15 p.m. ET Monday Eagles +5.5 [BONUS BET] 52

Odds courtesy of  My Bookie and the Turkey Day Free Play and the Thanksgiving prop sheet.

Why Track the Sharps and the Squares?

Generally speaking, you do not want to bet on the same side as the public. More often they not. The same thing cannot be said for the sharp side. The sharps are betting on the teams that win. That is the side you want to be on. Since it is not always easy to tell who is betting on what, we break it down for you in an easy to use format. If you followed this free advice over the last two weeks your betting record is at 11-1 against the spread (ATS). With that being said, let’s check in with the public and the smart money for Week 12 in the NFL.

Who is the Public Betting on? 

Last week we posted the plays that were getting bet early by the public. The public did not disappoint as they failed once again loading up on the Chiefs and the Dolphins. Using the early picks posted here you would have gone 2-1 last week and 5-1 ATS in the last two weeks going against the public. The Texans are the most popular play on Thanksgiving, but the public is really pounding two other games this weekend.

The Raiders are one of the most popular plays on the board this week garnering over 70 percent of the early betting action as three-point road favorites against the lowly Falcons. This is a reaction to how well the Raiders played on national television against the Chiefs, who are considered one of the best teams in the league. It does not help that the Falcons are having a down season and were trounced by the Saints without Drew Brees.

The Raiders are popular but the most popular play by far is on Monday Night Football. Over 85 percent of the early betting is on the Seattle Seahawks to win and cover against the Philadelphia Eagles.

Teams the public is betting on: Seattle, Texans, Raiders, and Titans. [BET against the public with this 125% Bonus!]

 

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Who are the Sharps Betting on? 

The Sharps were at it again and our posted plays went 3-0 ATS for the second week in a row as Washington, Las Vegas, and Tennessee all cashed in for the smart players. The sharps have found a few more games that we have circled for the upcoming week.

Let’s start in Jacksonville where the Jaguars will host the surprising Browns. Jacksonville has played tough football against good teams and no one seems to believe in the Browns., except for the sharps this week. Although 55 percent of the bets are on the Jaguars the Browns have moved from -6 to -7, which is an indication that the Sharps are buying the Browns.

Josh Allen and the Bills are atop the AFC East with a promising season. The Chargers make a trip cross country for this game and the public is backing Buffalo with 55% of the wagers. Despite the public money, the line is dropping. The Bills were once 6 point favorites but now are just 5 point chalk. This means the sharps are backing the Bolts in this game and so should you.

Teams that the Sharps are betting on Browns, Chargers, and Vikings [BET with the sharps and collect this VIP Bonus!]

 

 

NFL Thanksgiving Picks: Washington vs Dallas Pick Against the Spread

Posted on by Max Hammersby
NFL Thanksgiving Picks: Washington vs Dallas Pick Against the Spread

NFL Thanksgiving Picks: Washington vs Dallas Pick Against the Spread

All of the games on the Thanksgiving holiday provide plenty of entertainment for families and friends gathering to celebrate. Betting on this sporting event has become a tradition. In order to be successful, you have to gather the latest information. This includes news, notes, trends, NFL Odds, and any angle needed to pick a winner. The Texans vs Lions kick things off and the Steelers vs Ravens game is in primetime, but this NFC clash is going to be a good one. We have put all the information in one place, so you can make a winning Washington vs Dallas Pick Against the Spread.

Schedule, Odds and Betting Bonus

Washington Football Team at Dallas Cowboys

Time/station: 4:30 PM EST, Fox

Washington-Cowboys Week 12 point spread: Cowboys 1.5

Washington and Dallas are off victories, but it’s the Cowboy win that is getting the most acknowledgments from sports bettors. The Cowboys started out as 1 point favorites but that number has ballooned to three points with the Cowboys bandwagon starting to fill up once again. Over 57 percent of the wagers are on Dallas in this annual game in Dallas.

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Washington Bringing the D

The Washington Football Team has a very good defense that will be on display in this game that will be a battle for first place in the NFC East. Chase Young provides the pass rush upfront and they are tied for third with 32 sacks in the season. The secondary is harassing opposing passing offenses. Washington ranks first in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game and they have nine interceptions on the year. Andy Dalton returned under center for the Cowboys and looked great against the Vikings, but he faces a step up in competition against Washington.

Betting Breakdown

The Cowboys got a boost to their offensive line by reshuffling upfront and inserting Zach Martin into the right tackle position. The results were seen instantly.

 

Thanksgiving has not been kind to the Cowboys of late as they have only covered 1 of the last nine games on Turkey Day. However, they have dominated Washington winning 11 of the last 15 meetings.

Washington vs Dallas Pick Against the Spread

Washington is well-coached and they are underrated especially on offense. Alex Smith is playing smart football and scoring points behind the dynamic duo of Terry McLaurin and Antonio Gibson. Washington currently holds the second-best sack per pass attempt percentage (10.39%) and will have constant pressure on Dalton all day long.

Predictions: Washington 20 Cowboys 17

Bet: Washington +3

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NFL Thanksgiving Picks: Texans vs Lions Pick Against the Spread

Posted on by Max Hammersby
NFL Thanksgiving Picks: Texans vs Lions Pick Against the Spread

NFL Thanksgiving Picks: Texans vs Lions Pick Against the Spread

All of the games on the Thanksgiving holiday provide plenty of entertainment for families and friends gathering to celebrate. Betting on this sporting event has become a tradition. In order to be successful, you have to gather the latest information. This includes news, notes, trends, NFL Odds, and any angle needed to pick a winner. Ravens vs Steelers or Washington vs Dallas may get all the hype, but there is another game to keep an eye on. We have put it all in one place, so you can make a winning Texans vs Lions Pick Against the Spread.

Schedule, Odds and Betting Bonus

Houston Texans at Detroit Lions

Time/station: 12:30 PM EST, CBS

Texans-Lions Week 12 point spread: Lions -1.5

This may not be the prettiest game on the schedule, but since it is the early game on the NFL Turkey Day schedule, it will be a popular event to wager on. The betting public paid attention to how poorly Detroit played and how impressive the Texans looked last Sunday. The Lions once a favorite in this game are now 3 point underdogs as over 65 percent of the betting action is on the road team in this game.

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Winning With Watson

The Texans had the best game of the year in the win over the Patriots. QB Deshaun Watson was impressive in the win as he is the driving force behind this team. He had 344 yards and did not throw an interception in this game. This is the fifth game in a row that he has avoided tossing a turnover, which is a big reason why this team is looking better on the football field.

Betting Breakdown

The Texans are just 3-7 ATS this season and 1-4 ATS on the road, but it’s hard to make a case for the Detroit Lions. This time looks as though they have given up on the season. Several key players are injured and it looks as though HC Matt Patricia is sitting on the hot seat. To make matters worse the Lions are 6-14 ATS in the last 20 games.

The Texans defense played very well against New England. Now they face a Lions offense that was shut out against Carolina. This is unusual for QB Matthew Stafford who has avoided a shutout in  162 career starts before posting a goose egg in this outing.

Texans vs Lions Pick Against the Spread

It’s hard to bet on Detroit. They have no home-field advantage and this team is all about done. The injury list deserves watching as this game gets closer. The Texans hope that LT Tunsil plays this week and Detroit will hope that RB Swift and WR Golladay will be available on this short week. The Lions have only won three times in the last 12 games against the AFC. If you are going to bet on Houston, get the line now since the Lions will be bet against all week.

Predictions: Texans 30 Lions 24

Bet: Texans -3

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NFL Tuesday Nov. 1 Picks: Ravens vs Steelers Pick Against the Spread

Posted on by Max Hammersby
NFL Tuesday Nov. 1 Picks: Ravens vs Steelers Pick Against the Spread

NFL Thanksgiving Picks: Ravens vs Steelers Pick Against the Spread

All of the games on the Thanksgiving holiday provide plenty of entertainment for families and friends gathering to celebrate. Betting on this sporting event has become a tradition. In order to be successful, you have to gather the latest information. This includes news, notes, trends, NFL Odds, and any angle needed to pick a winner. The day starts with Texans vs Lions and is followed up with Washington vs Dallas, but then it gets real. We have put it all in one place, so you can make a winning Ravens vs Steelers Pick Against the Spread.

Game Moved to Sunday….wait…..now moved to Tuesday

This game keeps on moving and the players that may suit up continue to change. It is in your best interest to keep coming back to see the latest updates and changes for this game.

Schedule, Odds and Betting Bonus

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

Time/station: 8:30 PM EST, NFL Network (Amazon)

Ravens-Steelers Week 12 point spread: Steelers -2.5

This rivalry game is the last one on the schedule and it will be a huge prime-time event. The Ravens look to get back on the winning track and the Steelers attempt to stay undefeated. The Steelers are getting nearly 60 percent of the action and this spread is jumping. The Steelers started out as 2.5 point favorites and that line is as high as 4.5 at the top sports betting sites.

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Ravens Battle COVID-19

News broke on Monday that the Ravens are dealing with COVID-19 yet again. They closed the facilities and this is news worth watching as we get closer to kick-off to see what players or coaches may miss the game.

Lamar is Out

Lamar Jackson is the latest causality for the Ravens who now will be missing a slew of players for the game against the Steelers. That is if the game is actually played.

Betting Breakdown

The Ravens are deep in the running backfield and they will be okay if the players mentioned above cannot suit up for this game. This will be the first time this year that the Ravens are underdogs and they are desperate for a win. The Ravens lost to the Steelers in the first meeting but it was Lamar Jackson giving away the game with four turnovers. He will be hard-pressed once again by a Steelers defense that has allowed the third-fewest points in the NFL.

Ben Roethlisberger deserves to be in the MVP conversation for the way that he has played this season. But the first meeting reveals that the Ravens outgained the Steelers 457-221 and had 29 more plays than Pittsburgh and that is something to take note of.

Ravens vs Steelers Pick Against the Spread

The Ravens respond on the road as they are 10-1 straight up and 7-4 ATS in the last 11 road games. They are also 5-1 ATS when getting 3 points or more. The Steelers are one of the best teams in the NFL. However, the Ravens have a point differential of (+73) which suggests that they are playing better than their record indicates. Finally, road underdogs off a loss are 73-50-5 ATS spread and the Ravens give the Steelers the first loss of the season.

***CHANGE NOV 27th****

The odds have now changed and the Steelers are -4.5 according to the latest sportsbooks. This game is currently rated as a pass. Although the over/under may be an option. Stay tuned for updates and changes.

Predictions: TBD

Bet: TBD

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NFL Week 11 picks against the spread for every game

Posted on by Max Hammersby
NFL Week 11 picks against the spread for every game

NFL Week 11 picks against the spread for every game

The NFL odds are out and a Thursday night winner is already in the books, but there is more work to do. Quarterback changes, injuries to key players, and marquee matchups are sprinkled about the schedule for this week. This page will be updated multiple times throughout the day as we post the latest information for the upcoming games. (or click here and get free picks for every game this week in the NFL)

If you are going to bet on the NFL and win, you have to do your research. That is why we provide NFL Week 11 picks against the spread for every game. But first, celebrate the holidays with this list of big bonuses for betting on the NFL this week.

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Cardinals vs Seahawks

This primetime game featured two teams with aspirations for a divisional crown, but it was Seattle who left with a W. our betting breakdown shows how the public focuses too much on the last game and why the Seahawks was the only play to make.  Read more here…

Eagles vs Browns

The Cleveland Browns are having a good year, but you may not know it with the scrutiny that this team is under. They go up against the lifeless Eagles and they will have to do it without their best defensive player.

Myles Garrett was placed on the COVID-19 reserve list and this is a big missing piece for the Browns. They have other injuries to be concerned with to include RG Wyatt Teller (calf) and LB Mack Wilson (hip) that will be game-changing decisions for this game.

The Eagles have had a tough season and Carson Wentz is one of the most-sacked QB’s in the league, but this team is getting healthy. They have a healthy Miles Sanders in the lineup and welcome back Alshon Jeffery who provides a veteran presence and another target for defenses to prepare for. The Browns offense is not clicking and they are 8-21 against the spread (ATS) in their last 29 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. They may be winning but they are not covering as they are 0-4 ATS in the last four games overall.

The Eagles coaching staff is focusing on this game as an opportunity to turn this season around. Expect a focused Eagles team that will get the early lead and never look back.

Eagles +3

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Steelers vs Jaguars

The Pittsburgh Steelers are on the way to an undefeated season, but they have plenty of landmines along the way. This includes a game this week against the Jacksonville Jaguars. With a Thanksgiving showdown with the Ravens, it may be easy for Pittsburgh to look past the lowly Jags.

Rookie QB Jake Luton will get his third start of the season, but he has never faced a pass rush like this one before. In previous games, he has faced lackluster pressure, but now he faces the best in the NFL. The Steelers will put pressure on the young signal-caller which will lead to mistakes that Pittsburgh can take advantage of.

The Steelers are 5-0 ATS against the AFC and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. HC Mike Tomlin is one fo the best in the business and he will get his team ready for this “trap” game. After coming from behind to beat the Cowboys, the Steelers are sick of hearing that they can’t beat bad teams. They come into this game focused and they blow the doors off Jacksonville.

Steelers -10

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Falcons vs Saints

This rivalry does not get enough credit. These two teams really get after it, regardless of the record and that will not change this week. The Saints have made a QB change and the Falcons will have Calvin Ridley back in the lineup. Don’t forget to watch the injury report as other star players may miss this game. Get the betting preview and pick against the spread here. Read more here…

 

Bengals vs Washington Football Team

When did the Bengals become good enough to be a small road underdog? Joe Burrow is looking like an All-Pro QB and they are impressive in certain facets of the game but are they that good? Running back Joe Mixon is already out for this game and the team is dealing with COVID-19 positive tests, that could sideline more players and coaches. This is a big problem. And you are still thinking about betting on the Bengals on the road? Think again.

Washington is not the best team in the league, but they have an incredible coaching staff. They have a QB in Alex Smith that is a true leader. This team will be able to exploit a very beatable Bengals defense. The Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games against a team with a losing home record and they will not keep this game close.

Washington opens up the offense this week and will get pressure on Burrow. Chase Young and a very talented front line on defense will have a field day. They cover the small number and they are one of the best bets this week in the NFL.

Washington -1.5

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Lions vs Panthers

We get it. Everyone wants a pick on every game, but this is a game to avoid in Week 11.

For the Lions, Stafford is hurt and Golladay and Swift are out. In Carolina, CMAC is out and Teddy Bridgewater is bruised and beaten. Putting money on a game with this many injuries is recipe for disaster. The spread in this game is slightly in favor of the home team and the sharps are staying away from this game. If you are looking for an angle, the Lions defense against the run is bad. They allow 141.6 yards per game on the ground and the Panthers will be able to establish the run if they have a passing game to support it.

I do not suggest betting on this game, but since the article clearly says picks for every game, here it is. The Lions are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and will be without the players they need to win. So, what the hell, bet the Panthers.

Panthers -1 

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Titans vs Ravens

People are starting to doubt the Baltimore Ravens and that is a big mistake. After losing to Pittsburgh and getting upset against the Patriots, the public is bailing on Jim Harbaugh and his Ravens. So much so that 64 percent of the wagers in this game are on the visiting Titans. And did we forget to mention the revenge angle?

 

The Titans offensive is explosive led by running back Derrick Henry, but the concern is on the defensive side of the ball. The Titans defense needs some help. They have allowed opponents to convert 53.2% of fourth downs, which ranks 31st in the NFL. They also are a disaster in the red-zone allowing touchdowns on over 74 percent of the time. The Titans rank among the worst in the NFL in third-down defense, and that means the defense folds on the most important plays of the game. To make matters worse, the Titans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

The Ravens are Ravens are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against the AFC. This is a focused football team ready to show the NFL world they are still dangerous.

Ravens -6

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Patriots vs Texans

Anyone else surprised by the spread in this game? The Patriots just upset the Ravens and although they are on the road, they play a struggling franchise in the Houston Texans. The Patriots actually were underdogs when the odds were put on the board. But after the public came to their senses the Patriots are now 2 point favorites against the Texans. But is it the right bet to make?

Houston QB DeShaun Watson is the X-factor. He has completed 205 of his 301 pass attempts so far this season for 2,539 yards, 18 touchdowns, and just five interceptions. In the past, he has piled up yards against better Patriots defenses. The Patriots are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight-up win. The home team is 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

The lesson here is simple. If it looks too good to be true, it is. Bet the Texans.

Texans +2

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Packers vs Colts

This may be the game of the day as two contenders with high profile stars clash. It was the Packers that started out as favorites according to the top-rated sportsbooks. The public piled on Green Bay with over 60 percent of the wagering, but somehow the spread has switched favorites and it is now the Colts that are small favorites. Is this an indication of smart money coming in on Indianapolis? We answer all of the questions in our full betting preview. Read more here…

Jets vs Chargers

The winless New York Jets travel to the West Coast to go up against the LA Chargers. Rookie Justin Herbert is making a name for himself as a young gun-slinger this week and he’s the tag of double-digit favorite this week. The Bolts are currently -10 vs the Jets, which is too much according to the public betting. Over 60% of the bets being placed believe that the Jets can keep this game close.

Herbert has thrown for 2,333 yards while completing 66.8% of his passes, with 19 touchdowns, and averaging 25 points per game. He will face a Jets defense that ranks 29th against the pass. The Jets are 17-37-4 ATS in their last 58 games as a road underdog and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. you always have to worry about the Chargers blowing a big lead, but not this time.

Chargers -8.5

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Dolphins vs Broncos

The Miami Dolphins are the hot team right now and Tua is the rookie QB that everyone loves to watch. So it only makes sense that nearly 60% of the bets are coming in on the Fins. However, the Broncos got some good news as Drew Lock will be able to play QB this week.

The Broncos are not a fierce opponent, but this lull in the schedule may be a “trap” spot for the Dolphins. The first game in the Mile-High air for Tua and the Broncos are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight-up loss. Broncos HC Vic Fangio knows how to confuse a young QB and he is very familiar with Brian Flores. This is the one game that no one is talking about which of course means that this is the one that may provide the biggest upset of the week.

Broncos +3.5 AND the money line

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Sunday Night Football

Chiefs vs Raiders

If you are not excited about Sunday night football this week, you are not a fan. The Kansas City Chiefs come in off a bye week and they are looking to avenge the only loss against the Las Vegas Raiders. The Raiders took a victory lap after the win and the Chiefs have taken notice. In the biggest Sunday night game of the year, all eyes will be watching and wagering on this game. That is why we had to break it down and give out a winner. Read more here…

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Monday Night Football: Rams vs Buccaneers

It doesn’t get any better than this. Tom Brady and the Buccaneers facing off against Aaron Donald and the Rams. This is must-see TV and if you are going to place a bet on this game (and you know you are) then you have to know all of the numbers. We have the numbers that you need to know for this Monday Night Matchup. Read more here…

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