Saints vs Buccaneers pick against the spread and predictions
Week 9 of the NFL has many great games to look forward to, but none bigger than Sunday night football. The New Orleans Saints head to Florida to battle Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The NFL odds are out and there are free picks to be made, but this is the one game to watch, so it’s time to make the Saints vs Buccaneers pick against the spread.
Betting Odds and Line Movement
The Buccaneers are 4.5 point-favorites and that number has been stable for most of the week with some slight movement according to the top sportsbooks. However, over 55 percent of the wagers are on the Saints in this game as a live underdog. This may make sense to some since the Saints won the first meeting. They are also 20-6 against the spread (ATS) in the last 26 games as an underdog, but they have some concerning injuries heading into this game.
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The Saints have a storyline surrounding key players heading into this game. They recently traded for Kwon Alexander, but having him at full strength for this game is a reach.
NEWS | Kwon Alexander’s 5-day onboarding process for the Saints will begin tomorrow, though Sean Payton says it’ll be “difficult” to get him ready to play against the Buccaneers Sunday.
The goal is for Week 10’s game — and that’s vs. the 49ers.https://t.co/afQ4fpb4KD
— Amie Just (@Amie_Just) November 2, 2020
The biggest concern for the Saints in this game is the offense. Three of the best players are banged up and two of them may not play.
Sean Payton didn’t give a definitive answer on whether Drew Brees and Michael Thomas will play Sunday night: “We’ll see. I thought we had a good week of preparation. And we’ll wait ‘til game day.” … We’ll get the Saints’ official injury designations this afternoon.
— Mike Triplett (@MikeTriplett) November 6, 2020
Although Michael Thomas has yet to play all year, losing Drew Brees will be a big blow to this team in one of the most important games of the year. So far all signs point to both players playing on Sunday night.
— Dianna Russini (@diannaESPN) November 6, 2020
Time for Tampa to take the Crown?
The Buccaneers are motivated for this game. After losing in week one to the Saints, they are eager to show that they are the best in the division. It’s an all hands on deck situation for this team in this prime-time game. Antonio Brown is activated and will see action and Chris Godwin is expected to suit up for this game. The defense is the real unit to watch if you plan on betting on this game.
Saints vs Buccaneers pick against the spread
The Saints have played well, but without Thomas, in the lineup, they had to go to a short passing game. This will be a big problem against the Buccaneers defense. That problem will be amplified if they have to play without Brees. Betting on the Saints of late is a big mistake. They are 0-4 ATS when they play a team with a winning record and they are 1-5 ATS in the last six games overall.
The Buccaneers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. They have circled this game as a way to prove that they are true Super Bowl contenders. I will not bet against Brady in a big game.