2020 NFL Week 17 Picks Against the Spread and Best Bets
The last week of the NFL regular season may be the hardest one to handicap. Some teams are sitting out superstars and others have nothing to play for. It is up to the talented sports bettor to figure out where the value is. It was hard work that led to a very profitable week 16 and that is the same effort that is put into the 2020 NFL Week 17 Picks Against the Spread.
2020 NFL Week 17 Picks Against the Spread
The handicapper tends to focus on games that mean something in the last week of the regular season. The reasoning is that these games are easier to handicap, but that is debatable. The NFC East is up for grabs and although everyone thinks they know who will win, anything can happen.
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Here are the five best bets for NFL Week 17
Raiders vs Broncos
The Raiders are coming into this game with their heads hanging low after a last-second loss to the Miami Dolphins. It was the Raiders’ fifth loss in their last six games and it’s impossible to trust this team as a favorite. The Broncos are out of the playoff races. Although Denver has no shot at making the playoffs, they still play tough. The Broncos are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight-up loss and 7-3 ATS when they play against a team with a losing record. The wrong team is favored.
Titans vs Texans
The Titans were demolished on Monday night football. Now they have to turn around on a short week and play against the Houston Texans. The Titans can get in the playoffs with a win this week against the Texans, but it won’t be easy. DeShaun Watson wants to play and barring a last-minute change he will be in this game. Tennessee cannot get after the quarterback. The Titans recorded a sack for the first time in 15 quarters against the Packers, but this is still a glaring weak spot on this team.
The Titans are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 road games against a team with a losing home record and they have only covered one game in the last six meetings in Houston. Tennessee will win, but they won’t cover this number.
Steelers vs Browns
The Steelers are in the playoffs and the Browns have to win if they want to be in the playoffs. The good news for Cleveland is that Ben Roethlisberger will not be playing in this game. Pittsburgh announced that Mason Rudolph will start for the Steelers. The Browns will be ready to go as Jarvis Landry, Rashard Higgins, Donovan Peoples-Jones, KhaDarel Hodge, and Jacob Phillips should be off the COVID-19 list and ready to play.
The Steelers have announced that nearly all of their superstars will be out of this game.
— AroundThe412 (@AroundThe412) December 31, 2020
The Steelers have a reputation for laying down late in the season and that is why the Steelers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 17. The home team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the Browns are motivated to win big in the season finale.
Ravens vs Bengals
The Ravens have flipped a switch and they are playing great football. They need to win this week against the Bengals to make the NFL playoffs. Over 74 percent of the money coming in on this game is backing the Ravens as a double-digit favorite. However, it should be noted that the Bengals are also playing very good football.
Bengals QB Brandon Allen is very comfortable in this system. He has recorded 877 passing yards and has passed for five touchdowns. RB Samaje Perine ran for a season-high 95 yards and 2 TDs in the last outing and this offense is moving the football. The Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and they have covered 9 of the last 13 meetings between these teams. The Ravens may win, but it’s going to be close.
Dolphins vs Bills
The Bills had the best game of the season as they completely dismantled the Patriots. They have now truly staked their claim as the AFC East Champions. They had already clinched the title, but this win was important for this team on so many levels. You can expect a bit of a letdown for the Bills as they host a Dolphins team that needs to win if they want to make the playoffs.
The Miami Dolphins have won five of their last six road games and they will turn to Tua Tagovailoa once again. This time Tua will have to do it without a safety net.
From PM: Dolphins’ Fitzpatrick contracts COVID-19. The fallout, reaction and a flurry of roster moves: https://t.co/dccnmZqwqO
— Barry Jackson (@flasportsbuzz) January 1, 2021
The Dolphins are holding on to the No. 5 seed in the AFC playoff race, but they need a win or a loss by the Cleveland Browns, Baltimore Ravens, or Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs. The Dolphins are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog and they have covered 8 of the last ten games against the AFC. The Dolphins make the playoffs with a win in Week 17.