2020 NFL week 4 picks against the spread for every game

2020 NFL week 4 picks against the spread for every game

This week in the NFL will be different from any other week that we have seen. Unfortunately, COVID-19 is now a bigger story in the NFL as one team has positive results. These positive results will send a ripple through the league that could ultimately postpone games. At a minimum, it will alter the way that teams prepare for the games ahead. These are just a few of the things that have to be considered before making the NFL week 4 picks against the spread for every game. We will update this article daily with the latest information and betting trends. Check back often for the latest updates.

See all of the NFL betting odds for this week with comparisons from each sportsbook so you bet the best line.

NFL week 4 picks against the spread for every game

Broncos vs Jets (TNF)

Point spread: Broncos -2.5

Point total: 40

Moneyline: Broncos -136, Jets +112

The early game is an ugly one that features two teams that have multiple injuries to key personnel. The New York Jets and the Denver Broncos are two of the worst teams in the league. However, since it is the NFL and the only game on primetime it will get plenty of folks looking to bet on it. So, hold your nose and get ready as we make our Broncos vs Jets pick against the spread in this betting breakdown.

Colts vs Bears

Point spread: Colts -2.5

Point total: 44.5

Moneyline: Colts -136, Bears +112

The biggest news coming out of the Windy City is not that the Bears are 3-0, but they are making a change at quarterback. Coach Matt Nagy announces that Nick Foles will be the starter for Week 4 against the Colts. Foles led the team to victory and the change is for the better. This video gives just one example of how the Bears will benefit from having Foles under center.

Colts QB Phillips River is looking comfortable in Frank Reich’s offense, but he did not have to do much work against a lifeless Jets team. He completed over 80 percent of his passes, although they still have some issues on offense in the red zone. The Colts went run-only in the 4th quarter for the game out of hand. The challenge will be greater this week as Rivers will be tested against a ferocious Bears defense.

The betting public does not believe in the Bears. The point spread moved from Colts PK to Colts -3 at some of the top sportsbooks. This is puzzling since the Colts are 0-3-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 4 road games. They are also 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

The Bears are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog and they are the best bet in this game.

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Jaguars vs Bengals

Point spread: Bengals -3

Point total: 44.5

Moneyline: Jaguars +138, Bengals -167

This game may be overlooked by many, but it will be fun to watch. The teams may not have the best records, but they have young quarterbacks and offenses that can put up points.

Joe Burrow can throw the ball. The Bengals have already called a league-high 164 pass plays this season. Against Philadelphia, they did miss some opportunities in the red zone, but a tie for this team is a victory. The Bengals do have to provide better pass protection if they want to keep Burrow upright all season.

The Jaguars come into this game with extra rest after playing on Thursday night. Gardner Minshew has something to prove after an ugly outing against the Dolphins. Minshew was three-of-10 on third downs and he had two interceptions. After a great start to the season he looked average at best. The offensive line allowed four sacks and the Dolphins shut down this offense.

The Bengals are in a unique spot this week as they are favorites for the first time with Burrow as quarterback. They have momentum from the last outing against Philadelphia and the offense is starting to click. The Jaguars have failed to cover the spread in four of the last five games as underdogs and favorite is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Now is the time to bet on the Bengals to win and cover.

Bengals -3

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Browns vs Cowboys

Point spread: Cowboys -5

Point total: 55.5

Moneyline: Browns +180, Cowboys -225

When the Browns and the Cowboys take to the field, it will be the tale of two different teams. The Cowboys possess a high flying offense, while The Browns are a ground and pound team that prefers to run. The Browns are calling pass plays on 49% of its offensive snaps, which is second-lowest in the NFL.

The Browns have had a solid ground game led by Nick Chubb who became the first Browns back to get over 100 yards and score two touchdowns in over 50 years. This is a remarkable feat, but the Browns have faced inferior opponents. They will get a challenge this week against Dallas.

The Cowboys are not winning, but they have played well offensively. Unfortunately, it’s because the defense plays so poorly the offense has to play catch up. The Cowboys have a leak on the offensive line with the unspectacular play of Brandon Knight. They also have problems with clock management which leads to missed opportunities. The Cowboys received bad news on the injury front this week as well.

The problems of the Cowboys will be magnified this week. The Browns will be able to put up points and the run game will allow clock control. The Browns have a better front seven which will continually put Prescott under pressure and lead to turnovers.

The Cowboys are 2-8 ATS against teams with a winning record and just 1-4 ATS as a favorite. The right side to bet is the Browns.

Browns +4

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Saints vs Lions

Point spread: Saints -3.5

Point total: 54.5

Moneyline: Saints -200, Lions +175

The talk surrounding Drew Brees and his fall from grace will continue to get louder and louder. After losing badly to the Packers the talk around the water cooler is that the Saints leader is past his prime. In reality, it was the Saints defense that led to a loss on Sunday night football. The good news for the Saints is that they may have the services of their best player for the game against the Lions.

Detroit was in a slump to start the season, but a big win against Arizona is just what this team needed. Powered by a defense that claimed three turnovers this team returns home, ready to go. On offense, the team was thrilled to see the return of Kenny Golladay, Matt Stafford’s trusty target, who hauled in a touchdown.

One of the favorite betting angles that we like to bet on is active in this game. Bet on a home underdog after an outright win the week prior. The Saints are only giving four points and that looks too good to be true. The Saints defense is giving up more than 6.75 yards per attempt through the air and the Lions are 7-3 ATS at home in games against weaker defenses.

Saints continue to crumble and the Lions keep it close.

Lions +4

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Steelers vs Titans

Point spread: Titans -1.5

Point total: 47.5

Moneyline: Steelers +102, Titans -124

As noted above, the Titans are dealing with COVID-19 and this may put this game in jeopardy. As details emerge we will return with more information. If the game is played we will add a pick and prediction for this game.


The Steelers vs Titans game has been POSTPONED and will be played later in the season.

Seahawks vs Dolphins

Point spread: Seahawks -7

Point total: 55

Moneyline: Seahawks -315, Dolphins +255

Russell Wilson is cooking and that has led the Seahawks to nothing but success this far in the season. After a big win over the Cowboys, the Seahawks will have to pay close attention to the injury report this week. The status of  Chris Carson(knee), Jamal Adams (groin), Quinton Dunbar (knee), and Jordyn Brooks (knee) is something to monitor if you plan on betting on this game.

The Dolphins have extra rest for this game and are powered by the magic of Ryan Fitzpatrick. Against Jacksonville, started red hot with an 11-for-11 start and two touchdowns. Although he is older, he is the leader of the team and still runs the ball. After watching the improvement of the defense in the last game, this team is underrated on the betting odds board.

For as good as the Seattle offense has been the defense is very bad, especially through the air. The Seahawks defense is the only squad to ever allow more than 1,200 passing yards through three weeks. This will allow the Dolphins to keep it close. Seattle is just 1-6 ATS in the last seven meetings with Miami and the Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.

Dolphins +6.5

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Chargers vs Buccaneers

Point spread: Bucs -7

Point total: 45.5

Moneyline: Chargers +260, Bucs -335

The Chargers have yet to decide on the quarterback for the game against the Buccaneers this weekend. Justin Herbert has played admirably in his starts for the injured Tyrod Taylor. Herbert has made some rookie mistakes, but he has found his security blanket target in Keenen Allen. He connected with Allen 13 times in the loss against the Panthers. He has had tow 300 = yard passing games and is the future of this franchise.

The Buccaneers beat Denver last week, and they are quietly starting to play well as a unit. Brady posted a great day passing and the team played well on both sides of the ball.

The downside to betting on the Bucs is that they are a very popular team. Tampa was a (-4.5) point favorite at the opening and that number jumped to -7 with early betting coming in on the Bucs. The value is now with the Chargers.

This team travels well and are 11-4-2 ATS in the last 17 road games. Tampa Bay is not a good bet at home with a 1-6-2 ATS record at home. If you can still buy the Bucs below 7 points,   they are the way to go. However, at a touchdown or more, the safest bet is the Bolts.

Chargers +7

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Ravens vs Washington

Point spread: Ravens -13.5

Point total: 47

Moneyline: Ravens -900, Washington +600

Things are not setting up well for the Washington Football team. They were clobbered by the Browns and now they face an angry Ravens team off a humiliating loss on Monday night football.

Washington QB Dwayne Haskins tied a career-high with four turnovers. There is no need to overreact to this performance, but if the Ravens can jump on him early it may rattle the young quarterback.

If you want to handicap this game, just look at the last game. Washington faced a decent defensive team that can control the clock by running the ball. This week they face the Ravens who are a better defensive team that can control the clock by running the ball.

The Ravens do have trouble after a straight-up loss (0-6 ATS) but they are 8-3 ATS as a favorite and they will be focused on Washington this week. Washington is 3-8 ATS as an underdog and 1-5 ATS in the last 6 games overall.

Ravens -13

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Cardinals vs Panthers

Point spread: Cardinals -4

Point total: 51.5

Moneyline: Cardinals -200, Panthers +163

The Panthers fit in the same spot as the Lions (see above. They win on the road as an underdog and they return home as an underdog. The Cardinals lost and everyone will flock to the betting window to bet on this team to rebound and cover the number, but that is a mistake. Kyler Murray looked “normal” in the loss to the Lions. He may have been reading his own headlines and that loss will bring him back to earth.

The Cardinals are not worthy of the road favorite status. They have covered just one of the fast five games in which they were favored. The team has lost four straight games against the spread in Carolina and the home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Do not fall for this small line trap and instead bet on the Panthers.

Panthers +4

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Vikings vs Texans

Point spread: Texans -4

Point total: 52

Moneyline: Vikings +155, Texans -195

The Vikings played against the Titans last week. Since the Titans have played infected with COVID-19, they have to proceed carefully. Once there is an announcement about the game this week we will add additional information.

This game will go on, but it has to be difficult for the Vikings to get ready with such short notice. They had to stay away from the facilities all week and it will be difficult for this team to be ready this week.

Texans -3.5 

Giants vs Rams

Point spread: Rams -11.5

Point total: 48

Moneyline: Giants +440, Rams -590

I’ll say it………..the Rams were robbed in the loss against the Buffalo Bills. The horrible call against the Rams cost them the game. Now they get a chance to take it out on the pathetic New York Giants. Daniel Jones is the only bright spot on the Giants team that is floundering to get anything going on the football field.

Against the 49ers, the Giants could not finish offensive possessions, were putrid on third-down defense and they had no rushing attack. Now they have to travel across the country to play the Rams.

The Rams are 4-0-1 ATS off a straight-up loss and 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 games against the NFC. It is not strongly advised to give double-digits in the NFL, but it would be difficult to bet on Big Blue right now.

Rams -12.5

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Patriots vs Chiefs

Point spread: Chiefs -7

Point total: 54

Moneyline: Patriots +260, Chiefs -320

This game is all over the place. They have rescheduled it to Monday night and we have you covered. It starts with the big news.

The game with betting breakdown and the pick against the spread is all for you – right here-.

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Bills vs Raiders

Point spread: Bills -2.5

Point total: 49.5

Moneyline: Bills -136, Raiders +112

The Bills are rolling right now and Josh Allen is playing like a MVP. He is not your average quarterback. He is mobile and makes some throws that can scare the average fan, but he is getting the job done. They did get the benefit of a bogus penalty late in the game, but regardless they are undefeated.

Now they head to Sin City to take on the Las Vegas Raiders. They had the opportunity to beat the Patriots but three turnovers cost this team a victory. They led the Patriots in yardage 103-38 in the first quarter and could not take advantage on the scoreboard.

For as good as the Bills have played this year, the defense is beatable. The Rams exploited Buffalo in the second half and were bailed out by a penalty. This is a defense that allowed nearly 500 yards a week ago and is exploitable in this game.

The Bills are winning but they are not covering. Buffalo is 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games overall. The Raiders are a deadly home underdog that has cashed in in 7 of the last nine home games as an underdog and they will beat the Bills this Sunday.

Raiders +3

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Eagles vs 49ers (SNF)

Point spread: 49ers -6.5

Point total: 43

Moneyline: Eagles +240, 49ers -305

The Sunday night game focus will be on the medical report as both teams are limping into this game with key personnel missing.

Although they were playing the Giants, the 49ers were able to respond with a big victory despite missing key offensive players in nearly every position. The defense is also banged up but they responded by holding the Giants to 231 yards and no touchdowns. The opponent this week for the 49ers may be even worse on offense.

The Eagles also have injuries and they are having a hard time scoring the football. They recently lost DeSean Jackson and Dallas Goedert and it will be difficult to beat the 49ers on a west coast road trip. The Eagles are burning bankrolls and are 0-4 ATS in the last four games overall.

The 49ers have covered five of the last six games as a favorite and they will be happy to be home.

49ers -6.5

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Falcons vs Packers (MNF)

Point spread: Packers -7

Point total: 58

Moneyline: Falcons +280, Packers -340

The Green Bay Packers beat the New Orleans Saints and the NFC know realizes that Aaron Rodgers is leading a contender. On the other side of the field, the Falcons keep finding ways to lose.

The latest disaster for the Falcons came in the last outing when the defense folded allowing the Bears to come back from a double-digit deficit. The Falcons have managed to score 90 points and still don’t have a win. They have a 48% conversion rate on third down and can put up points. Yet they are still not winning. They are breaking records but not in a good way.


For as bad as they have looked, they have value against the Packers this week. The betting public has bailed on Atlanta and this line keeps getting higher and higher and it has lost all value. If there is a spot where the Falcons excel, it’s as an underdog. The Dirty Birds are 6-1 ATS as an underdog and they are 5-0 ATS as a road underdog.

Green Bay is a very good team, but they are just 3-7 ATS as a favorite of more than seven points. The Packers may win, but they cannot cover this big of a number.

Falcons +7.5

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