2021 NFC Conference Championship Picks: Buccaneers vs Packers Predictions
The NFL Championship weekend is here and handicappers are scrambling to gather information and make selections on the two games. Smart bettors will look at the odds and watch the injury report (especially in Kansas City) before making 2021 NFC Conference Championship picks.
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Public Pushing the Packers
The Packers were flat out embarrassed in the first meeting against Tom Brady and the Buccaneers. That public is willing to put money on Aaron Rodgers as 57 percent of the public is taking the home team in this game. Our weekly betting report suggests that the wise guys are betting early and often.
The Buc Stops Here
If the Packers are going to beat the Bucs they are going to have to find a way to run the ball. The Bucs are the league’s top rushing defense in the regular season holding the opposition to 80.6 yards per game. This will allow the Tampa defense to stay in a dime look to protect against Davante Adams and the passing game. That run defense gets a boost with the return of defensive tackle Vita Vea.
— Frank Pastor (@FrankPastor66) January 19, 2021
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Revenge in the Rematch?
All the talk about this game is the last meeting and it does have some importance. In those nine games, the team that won during the regular season has gone 7-2 in the title game rematch. Of course, that didn’t’ work in the Saints vs Buccaneers game. But this is the playoffs.
The Bucs will be short-handed in this game which is not a giood thing.
#Bucs WR Antonio Brown (knee) is out for Sunday, per Bruce Arians.
— Tom Pelissero (@TomPelissero) January 22, 2021
In six of the past seven years, the home team has won the NFC Championship. And this is not just any home, it’s Green Bay. Rodgers is 62-35-4 ATS at Lambeau Field. Adams was coming off an injury in the first meeting and will be ready to go for this game.
2021 NFC Conference Championship Picks
If the spread dips below 3 points, the Packers are an easy pick, but that won’t happen. The sportsbooks want to keep even action on the game. The home team has the edge in this game and if not for multiple untimely turnovers for the Saints, they may have beaten the Bucs. I respect Brady, but this is the end of the road.
Rodgers and the offense will adjust to the defense and have a different gameplan. The Packers have covered 11 of 15 ATS when playing a team with a winning record and they are 7-2 ATS in the last nine playoff games. This is the best team that the Packers have had in a while and it will show on Sunday.