Month: September 2020

2020 NFL Week 2 picks against the spread for every game

Posted on by Reggie Brown
2020 NFL Week 2 picks against the spread for every game

2020 NFL Week 2 picks against the spread for every game

After week one of the NFL season, many fans were left stunned by some of the upsets. Teams that were expected to win easily like the Indianapolis Colts and the San Francisco 49ers failed miserably in their season debut. That shows just how unpredictable this sport can be. It’s never easy making picks against the spread as many of us found out in week one, but that won’t stop us from making NFL Week 2 picks against the spread for every game

Browns vs Bengals

Point spread: Browns -6

Point total: 45.5

Moneyline: Bengals +220, Browns -278

This is an interesting matchup for Thursday night football. Joe Burrow played admirably in week one and should have won his first game. Now he plays a desperate Cleveland Browns team that needs a win. With all of the betting angles and storylines, we have to give this game its own write-up. Read it here.

49ers vs Jets

Point spread: 49ers -6.5

Point total: 43.5

Moneyline: 49ers -286, Jets +230

Both of these teams put up disappointing first weeks. The 49ers fell asleep in the second half and the Jets never showed up at all. The 49ers will be eager to get into the win column, but they will have to do it without their best player.

This is the theme of this year for a 49ers team that is riddled with injuries. The offense is in shambles with missing key pieces to include Kittle, two of the top pass-catching targets, and injuries at the center position.

The 49ers play down to their competition at the betting window as they are 0-4-1 against the spread (ATS) in the last 5 games against a team with a losing record.  The Jets, despite, the ugly loss last week have cashed 4 out of the last 5 games as underdogs. The overreaction against the Jets in this game gives us value by betting on the green team.

New York Jets +6.5

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Bills vs Dolphins

Point spread: Bills -4

Point total: 41.5

Moneyline: Bills -210, Dolphins +170

The Bills are riding high after an impressive win over the lifeless Jets in week one. The Dolphins did not show any offensive prowess against a Patriots team that continued to flex their domination in the division. The Bills are 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 road contests, Miami is 4-1 ATS in their last five contests overall. Bills QB Josh Allen owns the Dolphins and has played his best against Miami.

The problem with the above numbers is that is when the Dolphins were rebuilding. Now they are ready to go and will be able to provide more of a challenge for Allen. The Dolphins offense did not get a lot of time on the field, since the Patriots dominated time of possession with the running game.

The Bills will be without Matt Milano and Tremaine Edmunds, making this team thin at linebacker. This will allow the Dolphins to have better offensive possessions. The Bills are good ATS on the road, but not against losing teams. The Bills are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 road games against a team with a losing home record. The Dolphins are 4-1 ATS as a home underdog and they are the bet as a live divisional home underdog.

Miami Dolphins +6

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Lions vs Packers

Point spread: Packers -5.5

Point total: 46

Moneyline: Lions +195, Packers -240

What happened to the Lions? This team is getting some love from betting experts that believe they can win the division. Yet in week one, they blew a big lead and dropped the game-winning touchdown. They don’t have too much time to recoup in week two.

The Packers were doubted by nearly everyone. This team and Aaron Rodgers responded with a resounding win. That momentum will not stop when they open the season in Green Bay. The Packers are 30-20-0 ATS as a favorite and 26-15-1 ATS as a home team, making this team poised to win big.

The Lions will be without WR Kenny Golladay and the offense will not be able to match the intensity of Green Bay.

Green Bay Packers -6.5

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Vikings vs Colts

Point spread: Colts -3

Point total: 46.5

Moneyline: Vikings +135, Colts -165

Two teams meet in week two that started off the year with high expectations. But after this game, either the Vikings or the Colts will be 0-2. There may be no such thing as a “must-win” game this early in the year, but this is as close as it gets.

Since 2006, NFL teams coming off a Week 1 loss as favorites of -6 or higher are 23-11 against the spread in their Week 2 matchup. This is good news for the Colts who took perhaps the most embarrassing loss of the first week. Phillip Rivers and Co will now take on a Vikings secondary that looked clues in week one.

Indianapolis Colts -3

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Panthers vs Buccaneers

Point spread: Bucs -8

Point total: 48.5

Moneyline: Panthers +310, Bucs -400

All eyes are on Tom Brady and a limping Tampa Bay offense that has yet to get on the same page. It may be too early to panic but the critics are ready to pounce on this team. So are the Panthers. Although Carolina lost in the first game, they were competitive.

In the past, the Panthers have been profitable in Tampa cashing in on five of the last six games, but that is thrown out the window. Different personnel and different teams will make for an exciting game. The point spread is interesting to watch in this game. It opened at Bucs -7.5 and in some places went as high as -10, before settling in the -8.5-9 range.

It is hard to trust a Tampa Bay offense that is not in sync and Brady who is now throwing touchdowns to the other team. Tampa may win, but don’t expect a cover.

Carolina Panthers +9

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Rams vs Eagles

Point spread: Eagles -2.5

Point total: 48.5

Moneyline: Rams +128, Eagles -155

The Rams upset the Cowboys in week one and will set their sights on another team in the NFC East this week. The Eagles, devastated by injuries lost a big lead and took a big “L” against Washington in the season opener. But, this team has some good news on the injury front and things are looking up in week 2.

The smart money jumped on Philadelphia. The Rams went from -3 point favorites to +1 underdog. This is not good news for anyone betting on the Rams since they are 5-12-1 ATS in the last 18 games as an underdog. This is smart money because the consensus shows that over 72 percent of the bets are on the Rams. The Eagles coaching staff will set up Carson Wentz to succeed with short passes and quick releases to take the pressure off. The Eagles will pull away in a hard-fought game. Only one sportsbook still have the Eagles as an underdog, get the points, and bet on Philadelphia.

Philadelphia Eagles +1

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Jaguars vs Titans

Point spread: Titans -10.5

Point total: 43

Moneyline: Jaguars +420, Titans -560

The Jaguars were expected to have a very bad season. Week 1 proves that this team is not giving up. They will be put to the test against one of the best teams in the NFL when they go up against Tennessee. The Titans had special teams issues in week one and have to get ready on a short week. The point spread plummeted almost three points leading up to the kickoff of this game.

If you expect the Jaguars to have a letdown after the big win in week one, thing again. Week 1 teams that won outright as underdogs of +6 or higher are 8-2-2 ATS in their Week 2 game over the past 14 seasons. The Jaguars are 17-7-3 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Meanwhile, the Titans are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.

After this game, Jacksonville will have some believers. 

Jacksonville Jaguars +7.5

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Falcons vs Cowboys

Point spread: Cowboys -7

Point total: 50.5

Moneyline: Falcons +250, Cowboys -315

The Cowboys are under pressure to win week two, but it won’t be easy. Both teams are expected to be contenders in the crowded NFC, but starting 0-2 will be a tough hole to climb out of. Atlanta is 4-0 ATS in their last four road games that they have played which is an indication of good coaching.

The Cowboys bandwagon is starting to empty out after losing in week one. The sports betting public likes to bet on the Falcons this week with 52 percent of the bets on Atlanta. The big money is also on this Dallas team since the point spread fell from -7.5 to -3.5.

One thing to consider is just how bad the Falcons defense played last week. The Falcons are 6-22 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, which is a disturbing trend. The value lies with the Cowboys. The Falcons are 0-10-1 ATS since 2017 coming off a home game where they scored more points than expected. 

The Falcons beat up a Seattle defense that is not as good as many people think. Although the Cowboys defense has had some injuries, they will rise to the occasion. The Cowboys are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and they are the best bet to make.

Dallas Cowboys -3.5

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Broncos vs Steelers

Point spread: Steelers -6.5

Point total: 43

Moneyline: Broncos +240, Steelers -305

Big Ben is back and the Steelers are 1-0 after beating the Giants on Monday night football. The Broncos lost last week and the final score may be deceiving. If not for a special team melt-down the Broncos may have lost by double-digits.

The Broncos look improved, but they were lucky to cover in the first game. The Titans had many missed opportunities and Broncos QB Drew Lock was rated among one of the worst in the league in week one. The Broncos defense without Von Miller is very beatable and they gave up too many yards last week. The Broncos are 8-23-1 ATS in their last 32 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. James Conner is back in the lineup and the Steelers are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight-up win. Pittsburgh crushes Denver.

Pittsburgh Steelers -6

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Giants vs Bears

Point spread: Bears -5.5

Point total: 43

Moneyline: Giants +195, Bears -245

The Giant’s meltdown on Monday night is almost as spectacular and the comeback by the Bears against Detroit. The obvious problem in the Big Apple is the offensive line. Lack of protection and the inability to open up running lanes for Saquon Barkley is a big problem. This is a problem that may not get any better against the Bears defense.

The Giant’s young head coach will have the challenge to adjust his lineup for this game. The offense line is in trouble for Big Blue, which could allow this Bears defense to feast on the Giants offense. But the biggest story for this game, it has to be Mitch Trubisky!

Mitch has to be confident coming into this game, but that doesn’t make him a good quarterback. You may think a team will be riding a high after a comeback win, but this trend suggests otherwise. Teams off of at least a nine-point fourth-quarter comeback win who are home favorites the next game against a team off a loss are just 1-14-1 against the spread in the past 16 instances against that visiting club. The Giants are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog and they have a point to prove this week.

New York Giants +5.5

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Ravens vs Texans

Point spread: Ravens -6.5

Point total: 53

Moneyline: Ravens -305, Texans +240

The Texans lost in week 1 to the Chiefs and it will not get any easier in week two against the Ravens. The Ravens dismantled the Browns and it looks as though they have not lost a step as they look to make it to the Super Bowl. The Texans would love to have fans at home, but it may not matter as they are 3-7 in their last seven home contests.

Lamar Jackson and the Ravens have gone 9-2, both straight-up and ATS in road games. To make matters worse Baltimore has won and covered in five straight road games. The Ravens are also 18-2 in the last 20 games, where they’ve been favored by six or more points cashing in with an 11-9 ATS record. There is only one team to play.

Baltimore Ravens -7

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Washington vs Cardinals

Point spread: Cardinals -6.5

Point total: 45.5

Moneyline: Washington +240, Cardinals -305

Washington stunned in week one with a huge comeback victory against the Eagles. Coaching is important when picking winners and Ron Rivera has established a winning attitude in Washington. Arizona pulled off an equally impressive upset over San Francisco in week one and proved that trading for DeAndre Hopkins was a genius move.

The Washington football team may end up having one of the vest pass-rushing teams in the league. They had 17 sacks in the last five games a year ago and they are better this year. HC Ron Rivera knows how to get his team hyped up when they are underdogs. They won last week as an underdog and Rivera is 19-12 in his last 31 games. Bet on Washington again.

Washington Football Team  +6.5

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Chiefs vs Chargers

Point spread: Chiefs -7.5

Point total: 50.5

Moneyline: Chiefs -345, Chargers +270

Kansas City is one of the best teams in the league and now they have extra time to prepare for the first road game of the season. The Chargers squeaked out a victory in week one, but they did not look impressive, especially on offense where they lacked the inability to complete drives and find consistency.

If you are looking for an upset, this is the game. Every trend and stat points to Kansas City and the public is piling on. What could go wrong? The Bolts are 7-3-2 ATS as an underdog and although it was an ugly win last week they did get the job done. They have a (+2) turnover ratio which is another number that went unnoticed in the victory. The defense will make the Chiefs use long drives to score and the Chargers will use play-action to get the edge in this game.  When you bet on this game, take the points, but they have a chance to stun the Chiefs.

LA Chargers +8.5

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Patriots vs Seahawks

Point spread: Seahawks -4

Point total: 44

Moneyline: Patriots +160, Seahawks -200

Quarterback Cam Newton excelled in his debut for the Patriots, claiming victory over the Dolphins.  It is clear that the coaching staff has implemented an offense that is fitting of a mobile signal-caller. The Seahawks dominated in Atlanta and returns home to continue their winning ways. Read the complete preview with the pick against the spread, HERE.

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Saints vs Raiders

Point spread: Saints -5.5

Point total: 50.5

Moneyline: Saints -235, Raiders +190.

After dismantling the Buccaneers in week one, the battered and bruised Saints head to Las Vegas to battle the Raiders. Although the Raiders will not have a strong fan base, it will be great to see this massive stadium unveiled under the Monday night lights. This game is getting some serious attention at the betting window, so it is very important you know all of the facts. Monday night football preview, betting breakdown, and pick against the spread can be found here.

 

Patriots vs Seahawks pick against the spread and predictions

Posted on by Max Hammersby
Patriots vs Seahawks pick against the spread and predictions

Patriots vs Seahawks pick against the spread and predictions

Quarterback Cam Newton excelled in his debut for the Patriots, claiming victory over the Dolphins.  It is clear that the coaching staff has implemented an offense that is fitting for a mobile signal-caller. The Seahawks dominated in Atlanta and returns home to continue their winning ways. When making the NFL week 2 picks against the spread, this is a game that is high on the list. This game will attract plenty of eyes and betting attention as the stand-alone game on Sunday night football.

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Public supporting Seattle

After the dominating win against Atlanta, the public believes in this team. Seattle finally decided to let Russell Wilson do his thing and the results were awesome to watch. (unless you bet on the Falcons) The sports betting public believes that will carry over to this week as 62 percent of the wagers are on the home team. This caused a point-spread move from Seattle (-3) to (-4) according to the top sports betting sites. This may be a bit of overreaction to the home field. The Seahawks fan base will not provide the usual support and Seattle is 2-7 against the spread (ATS) in the last nine home games.

Coaching counts

Both the Seahawks and the Patriots have excellent coaching staffs. However, it is very hard for Pete Carroll to get any respect, especially after what happened when the teams met in the Super Bowl. 

The Seahawks were scorched for the play call to pass in that situation and not run the ball. You can bet that they will not do that again. No really, you can actually bet on it. 

BetOnline offers NFL special bets each week and this week they have this bet in this game. 

Patriots vs Seahawks Special bet

Will the Seahawks throw a pass from the 1-yard line against the Patriots?

YES +500

NO -900

This is a fun bet to make on a nationally televised game, but it’s time for the breakdown of what can easily be the best game of the day. 

No passing zone

The Patriots are a different team with Cam Newton under center. It was very clear in the first week that Josh McDaniel is catering the offense to a rushing quarterback. Newton led an offense that is currently the tops in the league in running the rock. The Patriots have the most rushing attempts, yards, and touchdowns. This includes five players that had four or more rushing attempts. New England is running and running well. Seattle will have to adjust to this new style of football.

Patriots vs Seahawks pick against the spread

What is the best way to beat Seattle? The best way is to stop Russell Wilson, but that’s impossible. So the next best way is to keep him off the field and that is exactly what this Patriots offense does. The Seattle defense is beatable and they allowed the Falcons to put up over 500 yards a week ago. This number would have been more of a problem if Seattle lost. The Patriots are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games and 34-15-3 ATS in their last 52 games as an underdog. Bill Belichick will have the right scheme to keep Wilson off the field and win this game.

New England Patriots +4

 

WHERE CAN I BET ON THE NFL?

You can bet on NFL odds at every online and casino sportsbooks, including NFL moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals, and a ton of NFL prop odds. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on NFL odds in your area.

Thursday Night Football: Bengals vs Browns pick against the spread

Posted on by Max Hammersby
Thursday Night Football: Bengals vs Browns pick against the spread

Thursday Night Football: Bengals vs Browns pick against the spread

The first week of the National Football League is in the books and there is a big challenge for everyone that bets on football. Don’t overreact. It’s almost impossible to do, but whether you play fantasy football or bet on the NFL, you have to be patient. Most people are not and it is obvious in the early game as the public is already betting big money on the Thursday night football game.

Buying in on Burrow

The top sportsbooks to bet football at opened the Thursday night football line by making the Browns (-7.5) favorites. After NFL fans examined the results from last weekend the point spread on this game quickly changed. The Bengals are getting over 60 percent of the wagers on this popular game and the line has dropped dramatically. It fell below the key number of 7 and now the Browns are as low as -5.5. Make sure that you shop all of the sportsbooks trying to find the best number before you bet on this game.

Rating the Rookie

Joe Burrow was spectacular in his first start ever as the Bengals signal-caller. He went 23-of-36 for 193 yards, but it was his persona that was most impressive. He led the team late in a two-minute drive with no timeouts to get the team in scoring position. Unfortunately, a missed field goal ruined the comeback effort, but there is every reason to believe that the Bengals have the future of this franchise.

They will have to protect Burrow better as he was sacked three times and hit six times. The young Burrow now goes up against a Browns defense that was scorched in week one against Lamar Jackson and the Ravens. This Browns defense will have a much better outing against a Bengals line that is porous.

Bailing on the Browns

Before you bail on the Browns, you have to remember that they did play the Baltimore Ravens, arguably the best team in football. If the Browns have a bright spot, it’s the running game. Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt combined for 132 yards on 23 carries, an average of 5.7 yards per attempt. Against the Chargers the Bengals allowed 155 rushing yards that did not have a strong showing on offense. This will open up deep passes and allow Baker Mayfield to utilize the play-action to open up the offense.

Bengals vs Browns pick against the spread

The Browns cannot afford to lose another game to a team from the AFC North.  They have an edge playing at home on Thursday night football. This game has always been tough for the travel team. Favorites are 48-25 straight up and 37-33-3 against the spread (ATS) in this game. The favorite has cashed a winning bet ticket in 8 of the last 10 meetings between these teams.  The Browns will be happy to be at home and will be able to establish the run against the Bengals. This will open up passing lanes for Mayfield and he will get some redemption with a big win in the second game of the season.

Prediction: Browns 34 Bengals 20

Browns -5.5

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The best teaser bet for NFL Week 1

Posted on by JT Dutton
The best teaser bet for NFL Week 1

The best teaser bet for NFL Week 1

Everyone likes to bet on the National Football League and there are many ways to bet on it. Although many people do straight-up picks against the spread, another way to bet on football is with a teaser bet. The list of the free picks against the spread for week 1 is posted, but now it’s time to have some fun with the best teaser bet of the week.

What’s a teaser bet?

Before we get started we have to define exactly what a teaser bet is. A teaser bet is explained at many sites, but here is our breakdown. A teaser bet is a bet that allows the sports bettor to adjust the point spread on multiple games. The bettor will have to win every game to win and cash in on the wager. The amount that you can win is based on how many games you play and how much you move the NFL betting line. Different sportsbooks offer different payouts, so look at our top sportsbooks before making your first teaser bet.

Where to bet teasers

For the best teaser bet in week one, we are going to be placing our bet at My Bookie. This will be a three-team teaser and we will be moving the point spread (+6) in our favor. This will pay +150, which means for every $100 we play on the teaser we can get back $150. It is important to remember that before you make a teaser bet you should check out the payouts all of the reputable sportsbooks.

The best teaser bet of the week

For week one here are the bets that we will be including in our three-team teaser bet. Bet this teaser at My Bookie and double your deposit and get extra money to bet on the first week of football! 

 Atlanta Falcons +8.5

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This game has been covered by many experts and it seems like everyone is betting on Seattle.  This is one of the most popular plays on the NFL board in week one and I never like to bet on the same side as the public. The Falcons defense improved under new play-calling and they will be ready for the Seattle offense which still does not use Russell Wilson as much as they should. There is not that much of a home-field advantage, but Seattle does still has to travel. In the past Seattle has traveled well, but it’s different times dealing with the pandemic. The Falcons play well as an underdog (10-4 ATS) and with the teaser, you can bump this point spread up to get over a touchdown.

Washington Football team +12.5

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I am still not used to saying the Washington Football team, but I’ll take them in week one. This is a divisional game and that is a big deal, especially in week one. Week 1 divisional underdogs are 21-5-ATS and Ron Rivera will have this team ready to go. The Eagles always start slow. They are just 3-8 ATS in the last 11 games played in September. The Eagles offensive line is all banged up and the Washington front line will be slobbering to go after Carson Wentz. Chase Young is making his debut and that will come with a few sacks. If Washington does not win, they will keep it close enough to cover with this many points. Get this quick because it is announced that Miles Sanders will not be playing for Philadelphia. 

Cleveland Browns +14.5

The Browns are the last team on our 3-team teaser list although they on the road against the Baltimore Ravens. The last three times that a divisional opponent was an underdog of a touchdown or more they covered all three games (3-0). Not to mention that road teams have won at the betting window in 15 of the last 21 meetings. The Ravens and Lamar Jackson are overhyped and for good reason considering Jackson is 8-1 ATS in his last nine starts, but it’s time for a regression.

The Browns will rely on a new offense that focuses on the run. They are deep at running back with both Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb and that will allow this team to move the sticks and eat up the clock. After an awful year in Cleveland, everyone is looking past the Browns and that is a big mistake. They have a very good chance to win this game and that makes them an automatic add to our best teaser bet of the week.

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Celtics vs Heat betting predictions for the Eastern Conference Finals

Posted on by JT Dutton
Celtics vs Heat betting predictions for the Eastern Conference Finals

Celtics vs Heat betting predictions for the Eastern Conference Finals

The NBA playoffs have been exciting and while we wait for the Western Conference to catch up, it’s time to break down the East. The Boston Celtics needed all seven games to remove the defending champion Toronto Raptors. Meanwhile, the Miami Heat quickly disposed of the Milwaukee Bucks and is waiting and ready. This is one of the most anticipated NBA matchups in a long time and it’s time for the Celtics vs Heat betting predictions.

NBA playoffs schedule and odds

The weary Celtics will get some much needed time off. This is important because while the Heat resting, Boston played 7 games to include a double-overtime event. The first game of the series will be on Tuesday night, but the time will depend on the outcome of the Nuggets vs Clippers series. After that, they will play a game every other day with the next game on Thursday followed by a Saturday game.

Call it a coin toss

If you believe in reading the NBA odds to try and predict the outcome of a game, then you have every reason to believe that this will be a very close series. The Celtics are very small favorites in game one. The best place to bet on the NBA playoffs has the Celtics at -1.5. The odds for each team to win the series are equally as close. The Celtics are -130 to win the series and the Heat is +110 to win and advance to the NBA Finals.

Experience matters, even in the bubble

The Celtics are a very young team led by Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown. They are also very experienced when it comes to playing in the Eastern Conference Finals. This is the third trip in the last four years for this team and they will not be overwhelmed by the moment. Of course, the Miami Heat has their share of playoff experience as well which is yet another reason, why this will be the best series of the playoffs! 

Minding the matchups

One reason that this series is going to be so electric is that the teams have similar positions, personnel, and an approach to the game. They both have stars in Tatum and Jimmy Butler who will be counted on to score in crunch time. Both teams have smaller yet more athletic big men in Daniel Theis and Bam Adebayo that will allow flexibility in the lineups and on the fast break.

Both teams also have deep benches and athletic play at the wing spot. Jae Crowder and Andre Iguodala will team up to up against Tatum, Brown, and Marcus Smart.

Season series

The Celtics won two out of three games against the Heat this season. This includes a seeding game in Orlando, where the Celtics won 112-1063. The playoffs are different, however. Both teams have turned up the play on defense, especially the Celtics who saw six of the seven games that they played against Toronto, go under the betting total. The Celtics also believe that at some point Gordon Hayward will be back in the lineup for Boston.

Celtics vs Heat betting predictions

This is going to be an interesting mental matchup between two very talented coaches. Watching each coach play matchups and change defensive postures will make this game worth tuning into. The player I am going to watch is Marcus Smart. His defense and his hustle are second-to-none and he has a tendency to get under the skin of opposing players.  This has the potential to be a back-and-forth series, but the coaching and the toughness belong to Boston. It won’t be an easy bet to win, but backing Boston to go to the NBA Finals is the way to go.

Boston Celtics (-130) in 6 games

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How to bet on the Buccaneers vs Saints

Posted on by Max Hammersby
How to bet on the Buccaneers vs Saints

How to bet on the Buccaneers vs Saints

We correctly picked this regular season matchup (read below) and we are ready for the playoffs with this prediction and pick against the spread.

The first week of the National Football League is always exciting. The betting window opens and fans flock to place a few bucks on their favorite team. There is always one game that stands out from the rest and if you bet on it and you are not informed, it will cost you money. This is why before you make your week 1 pick against the spread, you must know how to bet on the Buccaneers vs Saints.

Starts with the numbers

If you are going to bet on this game, you have to know the NFL odds. The Saints started out as (-4) point favorites when this line was first announced. But so much has changed. The Buccaneers welcome Tom Brady from the Patriots as well as other stars like Leonard Fournette and Rob Gronkowski to the offense and the public started backing the Buccaneers. The highest-rated sports betting sites show that the Bucs are getting nearly 60 percent of all of the wagers on this game and that is causing the point spread to move in their favor. The line has slightly lowered and now the Saints are (-3.5) at most major sports betting outlets.

Dome sweet dome?

The Saints have one of the best home-field advantages in the National Football League.  The loud fans, the crazy atmosphere, and the noise level are all things that make it hard to play in the Big Easy. At home games, the Saints have outscored opponents 242-224 averaging just over 30 points per game. That did not always equate to a win at the betting window. The Saints are just 22-30 against the spread (ATS) since 2014.

Whatever advantage they may have from the fan base is all but gone with the concern over the COVID-19 virus. The Saints will not allow any fans for this game and they have even banned tailgating. Although the Saints will pipe in crowd noise, it will not be the same.

Bringing in Brady

Whenever a team brings in a player like Tom Brady, it’s going to be heralded as a big move. This is especially true for a Buccaneers team that last many plays because of the quarterback play. Think about this the Bucs had halftime leads in 10 games last season and won just six. Brady along with Fournette, Gronkowski, and LeSean McCoy will change that narrative, but are they a good bet in the season opener?

Tracking the trends

Many may discount Buccaneer trends considering that Brady is now at the helm, but there are a few that are worth noting. For example, the Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in the last five games in the division and just 4-9 ATS in the first game of the season. Dating back to last season, the Saints are on an 11-4 ATS run profiting backers who bet on this team.

How to bet on the Buccaneers vs Saints: the pick

The Saints are 5-3 in home openers and all but one of those games have been decided by eight points are less. The mistake that most NFL fans will do is bet on names. There is no doubt that that Buccaneers have incredible talent on offense, but how will they fare in the first game will real action? Fournette just signed, and Gronk, McCoy, and Brady are not getting any younger. They have to learn a new offense and execute right away. With all due respect to Brady that will not be easy to do the first time that he steps on the field. The favorite has covered 6 of the last 8 meetings and that trend will continue in week one.

Bet on the New Orleans Saints -3.5

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UAB vs Miami pick against the spread and predictions

Posted on by Reggie Brown
UAB vs Miami pick against the spread and predictions

UAB vs Miami pick against the spread and predictions

This week college football presents a full schedule and it all starts on Thursday night. The fun begins on Thursday with the University of Miami Hurricanes taking on the University of Alabama at Birmingham Blazers. A week ago our picks went undefeated so of course, we had to offer up a UAB vs Miami pick against the spread.  The college football betting odds are taking heavy action on this prime-time game and that is where we start.

Back up the betting line

Miami is a double-digit favorite in this game. The Canes opened up as (-16) favorites, but that number is dropping. The betting odds reveal that the line is as low as (-13.5) dropping below two touchdowns leading up to kickoff. This move is interesting considering that over 60% of the bets are on the Canes according to the sportsbooks.

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New QB, new look

The Hurricanes bring in transfer quarterback D’Eriq King to work under new offensive coordinator Rhett Lashlee. This is an attempt to boast an offense that as pathetic a season ago. When healthy King put up big numbers as he passed for 50 touchdowns while setting records. This offense will be improved this year, but it will take some time to click up against real action.

Blazers bring the rush game

The Blazers can run the football led by the experienced Spencer Brown. The Hurricanes defensive front line is tough, but they will be without defensive end Gregory Rousseau who opted out of the season. UAB will have the advantage of playing last week and although they played Central Arkansas it will help this team be ready for this game.

UAB vs Miami pick against the spread

The UAB defense looked vulnerable last week, but they were getting their game legs. They also had one eye looking ahead to this big matchup on national television. The Canes have been a betting nightmare of late posting a 1-4 against the spread record (ATS) as a favorite and in the last five Thursday night games.  The Blazers are 6-1 ATS following a game where they failed to cover. UAB will keep this close early in the game. The Canes will pull away for the victory but the best bet is the Blazers.

Prediction: Miami 34 Blazers 23

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NFL Week 1 Seahawks vs Falcons predictions and best bets

Posted on by JT Dutton
NFL Week 1 Seahawks vs Falcons predictions and best bets

NFL Week 1 Seahawks vs Falcons predictions and best bets

Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks are always considered a contender to win the Super Bowl. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Falcons are always overlooked by another team in the division. Usually, it is the New Orleans Saints, but this year it’s Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.  As we reviewed all of the free picks against the spread for the first week of the season, we did a thorough review before making any Seahawks vs Falcons predictions for this week 1 matchup.

Public sold on Seattle

The public does not like Atlanta in the opener. Maybe they are still bitter from the Falcons blowing a Super Bowl, or maybe they like Wilson. Either way, they are betting on the road team in this contest. Over 74 percent of the wagers that have come in on this game is on the Seahawks. This is causing some minor betting line movement according to our top sportsbooks. Seattle started (-1) and is now (-2) or higher in the betting market.

Wrong team favored

How are the Seahawks the favorite in this game? The Seahawks offensive line is not very good. Wilson makes up for it with his mobility, but the front line can be exposed. On defense, the Seahawks defense will see an inspired Todd Gurley running the ball.  Many believe that he may have lost a step, but he has to be accounted for. That will allow the lengthy and talented wide receiving corps of Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley to take advantage of the secondary.

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Don’t underestimate the defense

The Falcons defense has been bad at times under Dan Quinn but look for a resurgence this season. The additions of free-agent pass-rusher Dante Fowler Jr., first-round cornerback A.J. Terrell, and second-round defensive lineman Marlon Davidson add to a defense that is going to improve. Defensive coordinator Raheem Morris instantly improved the defense a year ago when he began to call defensive plays. This change will be evident on day one.

Seahawks vs Falcons predictions

The Seahawks are 0-4-1 against the spread (ATS) in the last four meetings and always start slow at the betting window. The Seahawks are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games in September and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1. The Falcons are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog and get the victory in week 1.

Atlanta Falcons +2 [Bet now at My Bookie and collect a 100% sports welcome bonus!]

My Bookie Review: The best place to bet the NFL

Posted on by Bookie Blitz
My Bookie Review: The best place to bet the NFL

My Bookie Review: The best place to bet the NFL

Do you like to bet? Do you like to bet on the NFL? With hundreds of options available it is important to find the best place to bet on football. You do not have to look any further. That place is My Bookie. 

When you start to look at a sportsbook to sign up at, it should be very simple. You want an honest sports betting site that has a great sports betting layout and big bonuses. Most importantly they pay. That is why you want an honest sportsbook. You get that at My Bookie and that is why they are considered one of the top sportsbooks to play at. 

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Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Week 1 picks and predictions

Posted on by JT Dutton
Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Week 1 picks and predictions

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Week 1 picks and predictions

The starters are announced for Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Week 1. Brian Flores announced that Ryan Fitzpatrick will be the day one starter with Tua Tagovailoa will serve as the backup. This is not a surprising move as Tua will be better off learning from Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick has had success against the Patriots and Bill Belichick in the past. This Sunday will be his 13th start against the Patriots, tying him for the second-most by a quarterback in the Bill Belichick era. When it comes to the week 1 picks against the spread, this is a game that stands out. 

Buying Into the Buzz

The buzz around both teams heading into the season is palpable. The Patriots now have Cam Newton and all eyes will be on this offense when they first take the field.

The Dolphins are a team to watch this season. Many experts predict the Dolphins will go over the win total posted by the top sportsbooks. Peter King believes that they will win the AFC East and other analysts believe that this franchise has the potential to be a dynasty.

What do the sportsbooks say?

The NFL betting line for this game opened up with the Patriots listed as (-7) point favorites and that line has slowly dipped lower with (-6.5) dominant the odds board. The football betting consensus shows that the public is split in this game. Over 54 percent of the wagers are on the Patriots with the public struggling to pick a team.   

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Bet against Belichick?

It is hard to bet against Bill Belichick but everything you read suggests this team will have problems. The Patriots had many people opt out and they have to replace many quality players who left in the offseason. Many of those players went to Miami. If you want to make a successful pick against the spread you have to dig deeper than the headlines.

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Week 1 picks and predictions

The Dolphins have added plenty of new faces and they will be impressive on defense. Yet, that offensive line could still have some serious issues.


This will make it interesting in week one against a defensive-minded Patriots looking for vulnerabilities.

Bill Belichick remembers the week 17 loss. He also hears all of the stories of how Buffalo and Miami are ready to take over the AFC East. He has had plenty of time to prepare for this game and the offensive coordinator has had enough time to get this offense with Newton and some new wrinkles ready to go.

The Dolphins are slow starters and do not play well in New England. They are 1-7 against the spread (ATS) in the last eight meetings in New England and they are 0-5 ATS in the last five games in September. The Dolphins are getting all of the hype and that is usually the best time to bet against the bandwagon. The home team is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings and the Pats win big.

New England Patriots (-6.5) [Bet at My Bookie and double your deposit!]

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