NFL Week 14 Picks Against the Spread For Every Game
Week 13 in the National Football League was another successful betting week for our experts who served up free picks on every game. But you are only as good as your last bet and so we are at it again this week. We have scoured the odds and we have put together all of our best bets and the NFL Week 14 free picks against the spread for every game.
NFL Week 14 Picks Against the Spread for Every Game
Here all of the games for week 14 with the latest odds, betting previews, and a free pick against the spread. Check back often as games are updated with the latest information and analysis, leading up to game time! Bet responsibly and enjoy the Bookie Blitz!
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Thursday, Dec. 10
New England Patriots vs. Los Angeles Rams (-6, 44.5)
The Rams and the Patriots meet in a Super Bowl rematch that will get plenty of hype leading up to kickoff. This primetime game will attract plenty of wagering action so it is deserving of a full betting preview. Read the entire preview and get the free pick against the spread HERE.
Sunday, Dec. 13
Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (+7.5, 53)
The Titans are off an ugly loss to the Browns and they are excited to have a winnable game on deck in Jacksonville. The Browns exposed a very beatable Titans defense. Although betting on Jacksonville may not seem like a profitable situation, the team still plays hard. They have paid off backers with a 4-1 ATS record in the last five games overall and they are the bet again this week.
James Robinson already posted over 100 yards against the Titans which shows that this team can run against this unit. Both the Titans and Jaguars have struggled to defend the pass, ranked 28th and 29th, but only one of them is giving up a touchdown. The Titans are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 road games against a team with a losing home record and it is hard to believe anyone will give up this many points with this team.
Arizona Cardinals vs. New York Giants (+2.5, 45)
The Giants are off of the biggest win of the season. They upset the Seattle Seahawks on the road and it looks as though they are getting QB Daniel Jones back in the lineup for this week, according to reports. Arizona has not won since a lucky last-minute win against Buffalo. If not for that victory they would be on a five-game winning streak, which is a strong indication that this team is struggling. They are 0-5 ATS in the last five games overall and just 1-4 ATS in the last five games as a favorite. yet the sportsbooks are still making the red birds a road favorite.
The Giants believe that they can win and they have one of the most underrated defenses in the National Football League. Joe Judge has this locker room working as a unit and Jones coming back will give an instant boost to the offense. The Giants are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and they love being underrated.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Miami Dolphins (+7.5, 49.5)
The Miami Dolphins are a very good team and they have high aspirations for this season. They are building for the future and believe they can play with anyone in the National Football league. That will be tested this week against the Kansas City Chiefs, who many believe are the favorites to win the Super Bowl.
The Dolphin’s defense allows the second-fewest points in the league. Miami also has allowed 10 points or less in consecutive games for the first time since 2002 and for that reason there are those that are willing to bet on Miami in this game. But this will be the best offense that this defense has ever faced. When they have faced a good offense (like Seattle) they have given up points.
It does not help that the Dolphins will be shorthanded for this game.
Patrick Mahomes is on an MVP pace and has too many weapons for the Dolphins to defend. The Chiefs are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 against the AFC, 9-3 ATS against a team with a winning record, and 24-11-1 ATS in their last 36 road games. They may be in the playoffs, but the Chiefs still have something to prove.
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Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions (+7.5, 55)
The Green Bay Packers are riding high on the performance of QB Aaron Rodgers. The Detroit Lions will miss the playoffs again, but with a new coach in place, they are playing inspired football. Covering points for the Packers is not a problem as they are 7-3 ATS in the last ten games as a favorite. Covering the spread in Detroit, however, has been an issue. Green Bay is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Detroit and just 1-6 ATS in the last seven games against the Lions overall.
The Packers are incredible on offense, but not so much on defense. The Packers rank 25th against the run and they rank 22nd in passer rating allowed, 21st in yards per attempt, and 13th in completion percentage. The Lions welcome standout rookie running back DeAndre Swift back to the lineup and that will improve the offense significantly.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Las Vegas Raiders (+2.5, 51.5)
When the Colts travel to Las Vegas to play the Raiders by all accounts, it will be considered a playoff game. These two teams are both in the thick of the AFC playoff race and a loss today will give the edge to the opponent. With only a few games left in the season, this game will be one to watch. With that in mind, we have a full betting breakdown to cover one of the best games of the week.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6.5, 51.5)
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers come off a bye looking to get back on the winning track. They will face a Vikings team that is playing well, especially on offense. For all of the disrespect that he has had in the past Vikings QB Kirk Cousins is slinging the ball. He has thrown for 1,438 yards over his last five games with 14 touchdowns to two interceptions, but he gets a step up in defensive assignment this week playing the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay ranks sixth in the NFL in blitz percentage (39.8 percent) this season and will unleash the attack on Cousins.
Tom Brady cashes in at an over 70% clip ATS off a loss and will feast on a weak Vikings defense which ranks 21st in opponent yards per play, 21st in sacks, and 26th in scoring defense. The Vikings are 27th in the league by allowing 261.7 passing yards per game with 24 touchdowns with 11 interceptions. Brady will silence the critics and the defense will own the day against Dalvin Cook and the Vikings. The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight-up loss and they add to that trend with a blowout win on Sunday.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Cincinnati Bengals (+3.5, 43.5)
The Bengals may be happy to see the Cowboys this week. Ever since Cincinnati lost Joe Burrow to injury, the ground game has suffered. The Bengals have managed to only gain 80 rushing yards in the last two games. That may change against a Cowboys defense that has yet to stop anyone this season. The Bengals are well-coached, but it is the Cowboys who have something to play for in this game.
Andy Dalton will lead the Cowboys offense against his former team, and although he has no ill-will against his former franchise, he is obviously motivated to get the win. The Cowboys are still technically alive in the race for the NFC East, but there is a bigger motivator for Dallas. They were embarrassed last week on multiple occasions. They were crushed on Monday Night Football and then the NFL announced that the Cowboys were flexed out of a primetime spot.
The Cowboy’s offense did not look bad against a difficult Ravens defense. Now they get to play against a Cincinnati defense that is 29th in Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) on both sides of the ball. The Cowboys are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games against a team with a losing home record and the Bengals will not be able to keep this close.
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Houston Texans vs. Chicago Bears (+1.5, 45.5)
Two teams failing to meet expectations when Houston travels to the Windy City to battle the Chicago Bears. The Bears have lost six games in a row and have one of the most inept offenses in the NFL. It is no surprise that the Texans are small (-1.5) favorites for this game. If the Bears offense is ever going to come alive it may be this week against a Texans defense that is the league’s third-worst total defense (406.3 ypg). The problem is the Bears have given up on this coaching staff.
This once-proud defense has allowed 75 points in the last two games and they have been on the field for a very long time. The Texans are led by Deshaun Watson who is averaging 334 passing yards per game with six touchdowns and only one pick in the past three games. Despite the coaching change, the Texans are still motivated to win. The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
New York Jets vs. Seattle Seahawks (-13.5, 47)
The Seahawks are considered one of the best teams in the NFL, but they have fallen on hard times of late. That should change when they face the New York Jets on Sunday. The Jets are riddled with injuries especially on offense where they are missing several key players in the wide receiving corps.
This is a “get right” game for Seattle. They have to play well on both sides of the ball. Jamal Adams will face his former team and although he says otherwise, he will have a chip on his shoulder. The Seahawks have gone 17-0 in franchise history when they have been favored by at least 13 points, so winning is not the issue, it’s covering the spread. Seattle is 10-0 ATS 2006 at home coming off a home game where they committed at least two turnovers. The Seahawks are 33-15-4 ATS in their last 52 games following a straight-up loss and this is a game where it all comes together and Seattle wins in a blowout.
New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles (+7, 45)
The Philadelphia Eagles are hoping a change at quarterback will make a big difference when they play the New Orleans Saints this week. Jalen Hurts gets the nod and he will start under center for the Eagles, however, there are a few things to consider. He will face a Saints defense that ranks first in total defense, third in sacks, fourth in scoring defense, and seventh in takeaways. The New Orleans defense has allowed a total of 44 points in its past five games He also plays behind a horrendous offensive line. So it’s a bet on the Saints, right?
Don’t be too quick to react. All of that information is built into the line. The Saints are one of the most heavily bet teams of the week, but the Eagles will play inspired football. The Eagles believe in Hurts and he is a favorite in the locker room. His ability to move the ball will open up the run-pass-option (RPO) with Miles Sanders and that will allow this team to move the ball.
The Eagles may have had a toughs season, but they are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog. Bet on the birds!
Washington Football Team vs. San Francisco 49ers (-3.5, 43.5)
The Washington Football team handed the Pittsburgh Steelers their first loss of the season. Now they will have to avoid a letdown when they head west to play the 49ers. Ron Riveria deserves to be the coach of the year and the fact that he is not a slam dunk for the award is ridiculous.
The 49ers like to run which will be impossible to do considering that Washington ranks seventh in adjusted line yards on defense and has one of the best front lines in football. They clog the run and they can get after the quarterback. That will mean that Nick Mullens is in for a long day under center. However, Mullens is very underrated.
Washington is playing their third road game in a row and that is always a tough spot for any team, nevermind a team that is off the biggest win of the week and is on a short week. The Washington Football Team are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight-up win of more than 14 points and they are a fade this week. Bet on the home team.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Los Angeles Chargers (+2.5, 49.5)
This is the battle of perhaps the two most disappointing teams in the National Football League. Both teams have had high aspirations. But bad coaching, injuries, and a failure to execute have led to miserable seasons for both the Falcons and the Chargers. The Falcons have already ruled out Julio Jones and this game turns into a matter of what team wants it more.
Chargers HC Anthony Lynn announced that his team will not make the playoffs and the players responded by getting thrashed 45-0 against the Patriots. Both teams have little to play for, but an embarrassing outing changes everything. The Falcons are on a long road trip with nothing to play for. Although the Chargers don’t like Lynn, they want to make up for that ugly loss a week ago.
Justin Herbert is an excellent QB and is having an incredible season. It is about to get better. Atlanta is allowing 285.3 passing yards per game (30th in NFL) and will be picked apart by Keena Allen and Hunter Henry. The Chargers have no right to be favorites against anyone this season, especially on the road.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills (+1, 47.5)
The Sunday night football game is not only the game of the week, but it just may be the game of the year. The Pittsburgh Steelers and the Buffalo Bills are considered serious AFC contenders that can go toe-to-toe against the Kansas City Chiefs. This game will alter the NFL playoff landscape and may play a role in home-field advantage. With a game of this magnitude, it’s only right to provide a full betting breakdown that you can read HERE.
Monday, Dec. 14
Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns (pick, 45.5)
The Monday night game is a “do or die” game for the Ravens who need the victory to stay in the race for the playoffs. The Ravens have dominated this series for some time and beat the stuffing out of the Browns earlier in the season. Is that going to change? When you bet on this game, make sure that you read the full betting breakdown and get the free pick against the spread RIGHT HERE!
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