2021 NFL Playoffs Predictions: The Bills Will Lose to the Colts

2021 NFL Playoffs Predictions: The Bills Will Lose to the Colts

The NFL playoffs are about to begin! The best part of the playoffs is predicting what will happen and betting on the results. Everyone looks at the odds, fills out brackets, and makes best bets for the postseason. But only the sharp handicappers can uncover the best bets and the upsets in the first round and we have found one. Our boldest of the 2021 NFL Playoffs Predictions is that the Bills will lose to the Colts.

[BET On Colts vs Bills HERE]

Betting Against the Bills

Betting against the Buffalo Bills is not a good idea. They are one of the hottest teams in the National Football League and they are on a hot streak. QB Josh Allen jumped into the MVP conversation and Stephon Diggs is arguably the best receiver in football. They have won six straight games and all of the wins have been by ten points or more. So why bet against the Bills? The Colts play better against teams with a winning record and are 15-7 against the spread (ATS) in that role. But there is more.

Count on the Colts

Outside of the opening loss to the Jaguars, the Colts have only lost to playoff teams. They have a credible head coach and an experienced quarterback in Phillip Rivers. The public is pounding Buffalo is the most popular play on Saturday. (Yes more popular than Tom Brady) Finally, the Colts defense is better than the teams that the Bills have faced down the stretch. The Bills faced a banged-up Steelers defense and a wounded 49ers defense. This will be the best unit that they have faced all season. The Colts play well on the road with a 4-1 ATS record in the last five home games.

The Game plan

Allen is the key to the Bill’s offensive game plan. He has been responsible for 76% of their offense and the Colts can get after him by shutting down the run. The Colts will use bracket coverage which is essentially a design that puts two defenders on one receiver. That will keep Diggs in check.

2021 NFL Playoffs Predictions

The Colts have the experience of playing in the postseason. This line is incredibly inflated. It should be 3.5, but it opened up at 7 and now it has dropped to 6.5. The public is on the Bills, but the spread is dropping which is a clear indication that the smart money is on Indianapolis. That is all I need to know that the Colts will cover and win on Saturday.

Free Pick: Colts +6.5 and the money line

 

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2021 NFL Playoffs Picks: Washington vs Tampa Bay Predictions

2021 NFL Playoffs Picks: Washington vs Tampa Bay Predictions

The NFL playoffs feature the best teams in the league. The bracket is loaded and the odds are out. Although some teams have had better seasons than others, anything can happen in the playoffs. That is especially true during Wildcard weekend. The playoff bets need to be made carefully with the recent restrictions due to COVID. Before considering the best bets for the weekend, read the latest news and information and the Washington vs Tampa Bay predictions.

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Coaching Matters

There is no disputing that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are better than the Washington Football team. The same can be said for the quarterback position since it is obvious that Tom Brady is better than Alex Smith. However, the coaching comparison is not as easy to decide. Ron Riveria has turned around the Washington franchise in just one year, bringing back pride to the forgotten franchise. As a head coach Bruce Arians is successful in the NFL, although he has a different approach. The overall edge belongs to Riveria, but Arians has the X-factor and that is Tom Brady.

This has not stopped people from betting on Washington. Not only in this game but to win more games in the playoffs.

On the Cold Road

The Buccaneers have to play at Washington in this game and the weather is expected to be cold. Brady is used to the cold, but it’s not winning that matters, it’s covering the spread.  The key to picking a winner in this game is looking at the betting total. The under in outdoor playoff games is 81-60-4 and that points to a low scoring game. If this game does not produce too many points, betting on an underdog getting ten points is pretty tempting.

Alex Smith is not playing, but that does not mean that Washington is not worthy of a bet.

Washington vs Tampa Bay Predictions

The strength for Washington is upfront on defense. Football Outsiders ranks Washington No. 2 in the NFL in both pass defense and overall defense entering the last week of the season. Brady is a master of getting rid of the ball quickly, but the deep concepts pushed by Arians may provide a problem. Alex Smith is the answer at quarterback and if Washington wants to win they have to get off to a quick start. The Buccaneers have been outscored 100-88 in the first quarter in games this season.

Most of the betting trends in this game are irrelevant because it was before Brady or before Riveria taking over in Washington, but there is one that stands out. The Football Team are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, which means they love playing the underdog role. This is a sign of how hard this team will play for Riverboat Ron and Washington has a legitimate chance for an upset.

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Free Pick: Washington Football Team +10

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2021 NFL Playoffs Picks: Ravens vs Titans Predictions

2021 NFL Playoffs Picks: Ravens vs Titans Predictions

The NFL playoffs feature the best teams in the league. The bracket is loaded and the odds are out. Although some teams have had better seasons than others, anything can happen in the playoffs. That is especially true during Wildcard weekend. The playoff bets need to be made carefully with the recent restrictions due to COVID. Before considering the best bets for the weekend, read the latest news and information and the Ravens vs Titans predictions.

Can the Ravens Stop Derrick Henry?

Although many will suggest that Washington vs Tampa Bay is the best game of the week, this game will be close. Unless the Ravens cannot stop the run. If any team is going to beat the Titans it all starts with Derrick Henry. The bruising back amassed over 2,000 yards this season and is nearly impossible to take down. Ravens coach Jim Harbaugh’s focus for this week is on tackling. This makes sense considering that Derrick Henry has 217 rushing yards after contact in his past two games against the Ravens. The Ravens are not alone as every team in the NFL has trouble tackling Henry. Last year in the playoffs, Henry gobbled up 195 yards on 30 carries against the Ravens, which included 127 yards after the first contact.

The Money Down

The Ravens are favored in this game, although they are on the road. That is an interesting tidbit considering how well that Tennessee has played this season. In order to win the big games you have to succeed on the money down, aka, third down and that is where the Ravens excel. The Ravens finished the season with a third-down conversion rate of nearly 50% which is good enough to rank 4th in the NFL. Over the last four regular-season games, that number rose to 64%. Although the Ravens played some easier teams to end the season, when it comes to the money down, they are money.

Ravens vs Titans Predictions

NFL Playoffs predictions 2021This will be one of the best games of the playoffs. Although others have made the Ravens the best bet in this game, I am going to side with the Titans. The Titan’s defense is a weakness, but they do play well in the red zone and that is where the Ravens have issues. In the last two outings against the Titans, the Ravens are just 2 of 8 in the red zone. You can’t win a playoff game settling for field goals. The Ravens are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings. and the Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Wildcard games.

Bet NOW on the Titans +3

 

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2020 NBA Christmas Day Picks: Best Bets and Predictions

2020 NBA Christmas Day Picks: Best Bets and Predictions

The NBA on Christmas Day is a tradition like no other. Sure, this year the NFL has invaded the holiday air space, but it’s still the NBA that will dominate the holiday schedule. With big stars and even bigger matchups between the best teams in the league, the NBA is a “must-see” TV on Christmas Day. The 2020 NBA Christmas Day Picks are the best gift that you can get to celebrate the holiday season!

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Schedule and 2020 NBA Christmas Day Picks

New Orleans Pelicans at Miami Heat, 12 p.m. ET

The Miami Heat went to the Finals a year ago and are already overrated when it comes to the NBA betting odds. When the Heat was listed as 5 point favorites in the first game on Christmas Day, the public game running. However, the Pelicans now have a healthy Zion Williamson and a new coach in Stan Van Gundy.

Zion plays his first Christmas Day and that is a big event for everyone. This team also has some veteran help with players like Eric Bledsoe and Steven Adams. The early game on Christmas day is usually low scoring. Both teams adjust for an early start and the distractions of a holiday do not help with preparation. The Pelicans will keep this close, but the best bet in this game is under the betting total.

Free Pick: Under 229 [BET HERE]

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Golden State Warriors at Milwaukee Bucks, 2:30 p.m. ET

The Golden State Warriors were throttled in the opener against the Brooklyn Nets. The Warriors were able to get plenty of rest as coach Steve Kerr emptied his bench for most of the game. That loss moved the point-spread in this game as the Bucks are now 9 point favorites in this game. Over 79 percent of the public is on the Bucks in this game, which is good enough to move this line two points.

The Good news for the Warriors is that rookie James Wiseman played like a superstar with 19 points and six boards in the opener. Dating back to last season the Warriors are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 road games, which is impressive considering how bad they were a year ago. Giannis Antetokounmpo is the best player in the NBA and the addition of Jrue Holiday is a great fit. However, the Bucks will not win in blowout fashion.

Free Pick: Warriors +9 [BET NOW]

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Brooklyn Nets at Boston Celtics, 5 p.m. ET

This is the game that we are all waiting for. Kyrie Irving returns to Boston. It will not be the same without a roaring fan base, but it makes for good TV. The Net’s big win against the Warriors excites the Brooklyn fan base and they are betting on the Nets to win it all. In fact, the Nets are the most popular play (86%) of the day and the Celtics have shifted from a one-point favorite to a 2 point underdog.

The Celtics will not have Kemba Walker in the lineup, but the real edge is on defense. Marcus Smart leads the way and this team will be able to keep the Nets in check. Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown are the best young duo in hoops and this is their chance to show they can play with the best.

The Celtics are 22-8 ATS in the last 30 games as an underdog and they will beat the Nets.

Free Pick: Celtics +2 [BET HERE]

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Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers, 8 p.m. ET

The Lakers get the prime-time game against the Dallas Mavericks. LeBron James and company started out with an ugly loss on opening night. This is not a surprise. The Lakers are known for their slow starts. LeBron hurt his ankle and played little minutes in the loss to the Clippers.

Luka Doncic is a realistic MVP candidate and is a joy to watch. But they are just 2-7 ARS in the last nine road games dating back to last season. They also are a woeful 2-6 ATS in the last eight games as an underdog. LeBron acknowledges that Doncic is the next great player and he looks forward to this matchup. He made a point of announcing that despite the injury, he will be ready for this game.

The Lakers start slow UNLESS they have a reason to get up for a big game. This is that game. Montrezl Harrell is a wonderful addition that is already paying off. This is the game where LeBron reminds everyone who the MVP is.

Free Pick: Lakers -6 [BET NOW]

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Los Angeles Clippers at Denver Nuggets, 10:30 p.m. ET

This is a rematch of the Western Conference Semifinals, but be careful before you jump on that revenge angle. The small spread will make it tempting to back the Clippers who easily defeated the Lakers in the opener. But this is Denver and they have the best home-court advantage in the NBA, with or without fans. They are 48-38-1 as a home underdog against a team that made the playoffs the previous season and they are 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 as a home underdog overall.

BETUS NBA BettingJamal Murray is a bonafide superstar and this team still feels disrespected despite the success a season ago. They are deep with Bol Bol and Michal Porter Jr and this is a team that deserves respect. On Christmas night they get it with a big win against the Clippers.

Free Pick: Nuggets +1 [BET HERE]

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Monday Night Football Picks: Steelers vs Bengals Predictions

Monday Night Football Picks: Steelers vs Bengals Predictions

The last NFL game of the week is a big one. The Cincinnati Bengals may be out of playoff contention, but they would love to beat the Pittsburgh Steelers on Monday night. After a Sunday full of exciting games and the college football playoffs approaching, there is no doubt this is going to be a good game. The Steelers vs Bengals predictions begin with a change at quarterback for the home team.

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Next Man Up

The Bengals are rebuilding and although the future is bright, this year is a wash. With that being said, the Bengals are making another change at quarterback.

Ryan Finley will get the start for the Bengals and although he is no Joe Burrow, he is familiar with the offense and has had playing time this season.

Buying into the Betting Line

Although the Bengals are a home divisional underdog at home, no one is willing to bet on this team right now. There is over 66 percent of the betting action on the Steelers although they have lost two games in a row. That amount of bets and money is really moving the spread leading up to kickoff. The Steelers were once 12 point favorites but now they are giving up over two touchdowns at 14.5 points.

Steelers Must Win?

The Steelers are already in the playoffs, so this may not seem like a “must-win”, but guess again. The Steelers have to play the Colts and the Browns to finish the season. The Browns are playing good football and are right behind Pittsburgh in the race for the AFC North. Since the Browns beat the Giants, this game becomes very important for Pittsburgh. They win and clinch the AFC North.

Notice the Numbers

The Steelers have a .671 winning percentage on Monday Night Football and they have beaten the Bengals on Monday in eight of the 11 meetings. Ben Rothlisberger can achieve a milestone on Monday night with just 163 yards passing, which adds to the motivation.

Steelers vs Bengals Predictions

The Steelers are the better team, but this spread continues to grow. If you did not bet the Steelers at less than 14 points you may have lost some value. Pittsburgh is 0-6 ATS in the last six games in December, which means covering late in the season is not a priority for this team. The Bengals respond well after a loss with a 7-3 ATS record, but the Steelers are 21-7-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings. The Steelers are the play, but its’ too dangerous to give up that many points.

The better play is UNDER 41. [BET NOW]

NFL Week 15 Odds: Sharps vs Squares Betting Action Report

NFL Week 15 Odds: Sharps vs Squares Betting Action Report

We love to bet on the National Football League (who doesn’t) and the spreads are getting tighter as the season nears the end. If you want to make money you have to start looking at the matchups early in the week. Every week we identify the early plays that the Sharps and the public are betting on. Last week we identified winners across the board when we made our picks against the spread for every game. This week we are looking at the early numbers once again and pointing out the games that you need to keep an eye on.

NFL Week 15 odds and sports betting bonuses

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Opening odds courtesy of BetUS (subject to change)

Who is the Public betting on?

The favorites went 8-6 against the spread (ATS) last week, so it is not surprising that the public went 2-1. If you were to bet against the public in the last five weeks you would still have a winning record. The public is already betting early on the week and they are going back to a familiar favorite. The Buffalo Bills dismantled the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday night while everyone was watching and the public is laying the points again this week. Over 67 percent of the early money is betting Buffalo to win and cover on the road against the Denver Broncos.

Here are the teams that the Squares are betting on this week: Buffalo, Kansas City, and San Francisco

[BET AGAINST THE PUBLIC HERE]

 

Who are the Sharps betting on?

The Sharps are the smart players who know how to win. If you bet with the sharp plays last week you would have finished a perfect 3-0 ATS. If you trailed all of the picks in this report you would be 19-10 ATS this season. The Sharps are betting early this week. Despite an ugly season, the smart money is on the Chargers on Thursday night football. The Raiders lost a very important game against the Colts and now they are road favorites on a short week. Over 57 percent is already betting on the Raiders, but the betting line is dropping which is a sure sign that the Sharps like the Chargers.

Here are the teams that the Sharps are betting on this week: Chargers, Patriots, and the Vikings.

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Ravens vs Browns Pick against the spread and predictions

Ravens vs Browns Pick against the spread and predictions

The Baltimore Ravens and the Cleveland Browns are AFC North rivals, but this game is much different than previous meetings. Usually, it is the Ravens who are headed into the playoffs and the Browns trying to get noticed, but not this year. The Chiefs, Steelers, and Bills are all considered contenders but the winner of this game will join that group. The Ravens vs Browns Pick against the spread show that a new team is ready to crash the party.

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Public Betting Baltimore

The Ravens demolished the Dallas Cowboys on national television, sow everyone believes that they are back and ready to go. In the last meeting, the Ravens crushed Cleveland and that is why they are 3 point favorites on the road in a prime-time game. With almost 60 percent of the bets on Baltimore, it is clear that the public thinks this is an easy win for the Ravens. However, this is the game of the year for Cleveland.

Now is the time

The Browns clinched a winning record. They have a good chance to make the playoffs. Yet everyone believes they are going to find a way to fail. That will all go away if the Browns can beat Baltimore at home on Monday night football. The Browns have the second-best rushing attack in the NFL (157.8 rushing yards per game) and they can go toe-to-toe with the Ravens.

Don’t Look Now

Browns HC Kevin Stefanski is a front runner for NFL coach of the year because he knows how to use the play-action. The Browns can establish the run against a Baltimore defense that allows 4.4 yards per carry. This opens up the opportunity for Baker Mayfield to throw downfield and take advantage of a second-guessing Ravens defense. The Browns have won four straight games and are loaded with confidence coming into this game.

Ravens vs Browns Pick against the spread

Lamar Jackson is struggling. He should have put up big numbers passing against a Dallas defense a week ago. Although his rushing numbers were outstanding, that will not happen against this Browns defensive line. He has only passed for 200 yards three times this year and the Ravens are last in the NFL in passing. The Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight-up win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. The Browns are for real and they will prove it in this game.

Predictions: Browns 34 Ravens 23

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Steelers vs Bills Pick against the spread and predictions

Steelers vs Bills Pick against the spread and predictions

The Thursday night game in the NFL is a good one this week, but it only gets better. The Sunday night NFL game features two of the best teams in the NFL as the Buffalo Bills will host the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Bills and Josh Allen have looked impressive of late as they are racking up the wins and are a lock for the playoffs. The Steelers had their undefeated season ruined a week ago and look to get back on track in this game. Tread carefully when making a Steelers vs Bills Pick against the spread for what will surely be a very close game.

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Buying in on Buffalo

The Bills are often underestimated, but not anymore. When this point spread was first released, Buffalo was an underdog. This Sharps vs Squares betting action report noticed this game earlier in the week. This is good news since QB Josh Allen as an underdog is 12-6-2 ATS, but that didn’t last long. After the Steelers lost, the public started buying in on Buffalo and the spread moved dramatically. Leading up to the kickoff of this game, the Bills are now 2.5 point favorites. This is good for the Steelers who are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog.

Steelers Stalling?

The Steelers had a difficult schedule and now the injuries on defense are concerning. The rushing game is nonexistent and many believe that the Steelers are trending downward. The rushing game gained 129 yards per game over the first six games played, but that has decreased to 55 per game in the last six games. But this may also be due to the fact that the Steelers have utilized a no-huddle offense to get the ball moving quickly and to protect Ben Roethlisberger. With this approach, Pittsburgh throws more than they have had in the past.

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Steelers vs Bills Pick against the spread

This is not an easy game to pick, but it will be great to watch. The game features two very efficient offenses with solid quarterbacks and smart coaches. The weather report in Buffalo calls for a very cold evening in Buffalo on Sunday night. The bandwagon in Buffalo is filling up and that is usually when it crashes. The Bills are just 1-4 ATS in the last five games against the AFC and the Steelers steal this game on Sunday night.

Free Pick: Steelers +2.5

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NFL Week 14 Odds: Sharps vs Squares Betting Action Report

NFL Week 14 Odds: Sharps vs Squares Betting Action Report

If you are going to bet on football games and expect to win, you have to work hard. That includes looking back at last week’s results and looking ahead at the schedule. Our weekly Sharps vs Squares betting action report covers the early look at the NFL Week 14 odds. The Sharps are considered smart money plays but professional sports bettors and the squares are considered public plays, by players who do not do their homework. What side do you want to be on?

NFL Week 14 odds and sports betting bonuses

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Matchup Time Spread Over/Under
Patriots at Rams [FREE PICK] 8:20 p.m. ET Thursday Rams -5 [BONUS] 44.5
Packers at Lions [FREE PICK] 1 p.m ET Sunday Lions +7.5 [BONUS] 55
Titans at Jaguars [FREE PICK] 1 p.m. ET Sunday Jaguars +7.5 [BONUS] 53
Cowboys at Bengals [FREE PICK] 1 p.m. ET Sunday Bengals +3.5 [BONUS] 43.5
Cardinals at Giants [FREE PICK] 1 p.m. ET Sunday Giants +2.5 [BONUS] 45
Texans at Bears [FREE PICK] 1 p.m. ET Sunday Bears +1 [BONUS] 44.5
Broncos at Panthers [FREE PICK] 1 p.m. ET Sunday Panthers -3.5 [BONUS] TBA
Vikings at Buccaneers [FREE PICK] 1 p.m. ET Sunday Buccaneers -6.5 [BONUS] 51.5
Chiefs at Dolphins [FREE PICK] 1 p.m. ET Sunday Dolphins +7 [BONUS] 49
Colts at Raiders [FREE PICK] 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday Raiders +2.5 [BONUS] 51.5
Jets at Seahawks [FREE PICK] 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday Seahawks -13.5 [BONUS] 47
Falcons at Chargers [FREE PICK] 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday Chargers +2.5 [BONUS] 49.5
Saints at Eagles [FREE PICK] 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday Eagles +7 [BONUS] 44.5
Washington at 49ers [FREE PICK] 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday 49ers -3.5 [BONUS] 43.5
Steelers at Bills [FREE PICK] 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday Bills -1.5 [BONUS] 46.5
Ravens at Browns 8:15 p.m. ET Monday Pick [BONUS] 45.5

Odds courtesy of  MyBookie

Who is the Public betting on? 

Last week the public got lucky with an Aaron Jones 70+ yard run in garbage time to cover against the Eagles. They are still not making money as the public is 5-7 ATS in the last four weeks. Last week the public jumped on the Kansas City Chiefs and fell flat as a double-digit favorite against the Denver Broncos.

This week they are focused on another primetime team as they are fully backing the Buffalo Bills to beat the Pittsburgh Steelers. This happens all the time. The bills looked flawless on Monday Night Football for the whole world to see. With such a great performance the public is ready to back them again. Over 69 percent of the public is on Buffalo as slim 1.5 point favorites to hand the Steelers their second loss of the season. The public push has been so strong the line has shifted. The Steelers were once favorites, but now they head to Buffalo as underdogs.

Here are the teams that the Squares are betting on this week: Buffalo, Arizona, and the Saints.

[BET AGAINST THE PUBLIC HERE]

Who are the Sharps betting on? 

If you followed the shape players and bet against the squares you would be 15-8 ATS this year. Last week the Sharps nailed it again with a 2-1 ATS record cashing in on the Jets and the Patriots, do underdogs who should have won outfight.

The Patriots were an easy victory a week ago for the sharps and they have a few picks already locked in for this week.

The Sharps have jumped on the Broncos at +2.5 against the Panthers. They were well ahead of the news that the Panthers have several players added to the COVID-19 list. With the public pounding the Panthers it is the perfect time for the sharps (and you) to jump on the Broncos. The spread has already moved and the Broncos are now +3.5 underdogs. Bet on it now before it goes below the key number of 3.

Here are the teams that the Sharps are betting on this week: Broncos, Washington, and the Chiefs.

[BET WITH THE SHARPS HERE]

Cowboys vs Ravens predictions and a pick against the spread

Cowboys vs Ravens predictions and a pick against the spread

The Dallas Cowboys have not played since Thanksgiving. The Baltimore Ravens have had numerous adjustments to their schedule (and team) over the last few weeks. Now, they meet on the field for a rare Tuesday night football game. With both teams fighting to get into the NFL playoffs, this game is as close to a must-win as it gets. Before making the Cowboys vs Ravens predictions, it is essential to get the latest information.

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Looking for Lamar

Until recently it was unclear if the Ravens would have reigning NFL MVP Lamar Jackson under center. Backup Robert Griffin III was placed on injured reserve and the only available QB was third-stringer, Trace McSorley. Ravens fans were relieved to hear that Jackson will be ready for Tuesday night and the game against the Cowboys.

Doubting Dallas

Ever since the Cowboys lost QB Dak Prescott to a season-ending injury they have struggled on offense. Dallas owns the 4th worst mark in the NFL when it comes to scoring in the red zone. They have managed to put up points in only 50% of the trips inside the red zone. That task expects to get harder on Tuesday against a Baltimore hard-hitting defense. The Cowboy’s defense will be hard-pressed to slow down the Ravens since the Cowboys are the only team in the league to allow more than 30 points per game.

Cowboys vs Ravens predictions

There is no need to make this any harder than it has to be. The Ravens will dominate the line of scrimmage and establish the run. This will allow the team to put up points and to control the time of possession. The Cowboys have only covered the spread once in the last seven road games and they will not be able to keep up. You have to know that Dez Bryant is ready to show his old team that he can still play by scoring touchdown.

The Ravens play better as the year goes on (5-0 ATS in December) and they get a convincing win to stay in the playoff hunt.

Free Pick: Ravens -8