2021 AFC Conference Championship Picks

2021 AFC Conference Championship Picks: Bills vs Chiefs Predictions

The NFL playoffs now have the four best teams fighting for a championship. All eyes are on the NFC Championship game but making 2021 AFC Conference Championship picks will be much more difficult. The Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs will be the best game to watch this weekend. If you are going to bet on it, you must be informed.

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Monitoring Mahomes

It’s Official!

If you are going to bet on the Chiefs, you are advised to bet on them right now. Kansas City is still -2.5 at many of the sportsbooks which will jump to 3 (or higher) once QB Patrick Mahomes is cleared.

The Chiefs need him to have success in the running game. The Chiefs had the10th fewest rushing attempts in the league this year but rank 12th in yards per rushing attempt at 4.5 yards per carry. This is an indication of the defense focusing on Mahomes and the passing attack.

Mahomes is practicing, but not always in full. This is the No. 1 situation to watch as the game-time nears. Here is the latest.

The need to have Mahomes under center since the Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Kansas City.

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Coaching Counts

This game features two of the best coaches in the NFL. Andy Reid is a mainstay in the league and Sean McDermott is a newcomer, but Reid likes what he sees in the young coach.

The Chiefs will now host their third straight conference championship game and that experience cannot be overlooked.

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Bills vs Chiefs Predictions

Don’t wait to bet the Chiefs. Bills QB Josh Allen makes mistakes. These mistakes are tough to recover from against a Chiefs offense that can score on every possession. The Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games when playing against a team with a winning road record. They rise to this type of occasion. They have the experience, they have the coaching and they have the best player in the National Football League. Sorry Buffalo, your story ends here.

 

2021 AFC Conference Championship picks

Chiefs 46 Bills 32

Chiefs -2.5 [BET NOW]

2021 MLK Day NBA

Betting the Buckets: 2021 MLK Day NBA

Betting the Buckets is our new, daily basketball betting article. In this article, we will share sports betting tidbits and free picks against the spread. This includes odds, betting trends, and up-to-date information in the NBA. Today in the Association is one of the best days of the year and here is the insight on 2021 MLK Day NBA.

Betting the Buckets Recap: Every day we will post recaps of the previous picks and update our record.

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Milwaukee Bucks vs Brooklyn Nets

The Brooklyn Nets acquired James Harden in a trade and now they have officially anointed the Nets as the team to beat. According to the basketball betting odds, they are the favorites to win the Eastern Conference and only behind LeBron and the Lakers in the odds to win the NBA Championship. Did everyone forget about the Bucks?

Still the MVP

Giannis Antetokounmpo is the reigning MVP and this is a well-rested team. The Bucks beat the Mavericks on the 15th and will have two days off before this game. The Bucks have played just two games in the last six nights. That is good news for players who are recovering from an injury like reserve forward Torrey Craig.

Still Adjusting

Harden looked incredible in his debut for the Nets as he put up a triple-double and had a record-setting night. But don’t confuse that performance with team chemistry.  Kevin Durant admitted that the team was forcing passes early in the game.  Coach Steve Nash said ”I think it’s going to be an adjustment for everyone.” This is going to take time and the struggles to gel will be obvious against a better opponent in Milwaukee.

2021 MLK Day NBA Picks

This is the biggest game of the day and the play is the Milwaukee Bucks.  They have a chip on their shoulder. They have been dismissed as the conference favorite and they have the best basketball player on the court. To get a team of this caliber against a team that is adjusting to a new key player is too good to pass up. The fact that the Bucks are favorites, should tell you everything that you need to know.

Bet on Bucks vs Nets

Betting the Buckets Play: Milwaukee Bucks -1.5 [See the odds and bet here]

Tampa Bay vs New Orleans Predictions

NFL Playoff Picks 2021: Tampa Bay vs New Orleans Predictions

The NFL playoffs are the best time of the year. All of the games are exciting to watch, but some stand out more than others. That is the situation this weekend. Everyone is excited to see Tampa Bay go up against New Orleans for the third time this season. With apologies to Green Bay and Kansas City, the Tampa Bay vs New Orleans predictions are what everyone is talking about.

Backing Brady

Tom Brady may possibly be the best quarterback to ever play the game. Brady excels in the playoffs and his track record is unmatched. This may be the reason that over 58 percent of the public is willing to bet on the Buccaneers plus the points this weekend. The odds show that the Saints started out as 3.5 point favorites and that spread is down to 3 points after the public put money on the Buccaneers.

Third Times a Charm

The narrative is talked about all the time. The Saints won 34-23 win in New Orleans in Week 1 and again in Week 9 in a 38-3 rout.  It is hard for any team to win three times in a row against any team. The stats say it all. Teams that host a playoff game that has beaten an opponent twice in the regular season are 12-5 straight up in those meetings. If you throw in how teams do against the spread when they win the game outright, this game becomes more interesting.

Tampa Bay vs New Orleans Predictions

The Bucs are one dimensional. They are all about Brady. The Saints can run and they can pass. They have a better coach and they have a better defense.  In the past, the Saints defense has frustrated Brady and although has played better in recent weeks, he has not faced a defense of this caliber. The Saints have cover 80 percent of the last ten games played and they are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 games as a favorite and in the NFC.

Tamps is 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings and they will lose again. It will be close, but the Saints will win, advance, and cover the spread.

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2021 LA Rams Playoff Odds

2021 LA Rams Playoff Odds: Why the Rams Can Win the NFC

The first week of the NFL playoffs did not disappoint. The underdogs put up a good fight and there were a few upsets. One of the teams that pulled off the upset was the LA Rams who beat the Seattle Seahawks. Now as we head into the next round of the playoffs we will see the best teams in the league. The 2021 LA Rams Playoff Odds show that they are no likely to go much further. However, the Rams have the talent to win the NFC.

Been There Done That

This team has the playoff experience and they have one of the best young NFL coaches in the league in Sean McVay. He did a masterful job in the win over Seattle and put his team in a position to succeed, despite injuries. The Rams will likely have the underdog tag for the remainder of the playoffs and this will be another motivating factor for this team. The sharps and squares are betting on this game.

Betting on Rams Will Pay Off

Since the Rams have no believers when compared to some of the other great teams in the postseason, you will win big if you bet on this team. The odds for the Rams to win this week are incredible, but the odds for the Rams to win the NFC are outrageous! While researching this article we looked for the best payouts for betting on the Rams to win and we found the best value at this sportsbook.

2021 LA Rams Playoff Odds

Current odds to win the next game [Click for current odds]

Current odds to win the NFC [Click for current odds]

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Goff is a Leader

Quarterback Jared Goff is considered to be the one weak link on this team by many doubters. Not anymore. Goff was forced into action against Seattle just 10 days after surgery. Goff gutted his way through the pain and delivered a victory. His thumb is only going to get better and this team believes in him.

Count on Cam

Rookie running back Cam Akers is a force. He benefits from the return of Andrew Whitworth who is the superstar of this offensive line. Akers set a Rams rushing record with 131 yards and his 142 first-half scrimmage yards were the most by a player in his playoff debut during the Super Bowl era. The Packers are the favorite to win the NFC, but they rank 21st against the run. The Seahawks defense ranked fifth in rushing defense and you see what happened to that team.

Doing It With Defense

The Rams have the best defense in the NFL. Aaron Donald left the game with a rib injury, but that didn’t stop the defensive front. His injury is concerning, but it does not single-handedly power this defense. They have other great pass rushers and they have one of the best cover corners in the game in Jalen Ramsey. This is just the start of great players on this defense that includes linebacker Leonard Floyd and corner Darious Williams who scored a touchdown against the Seahawks. This defense is the best in the league and can shut down any offense left in the playoffs.

The LA Rams continue to be overlooked and that is a mistake. This team can win the NFC. [BET NOW]

2021 NFL Playoffs Predictions

2021 NFL Playoffs Predictions: The Bills Will Lose to the Colts

The NFL playoffs are about to begin! The best part of the playoffs is predicting what will happen and betting on the results. Everyone looks at the odds, fills out brackets, and makes best bets for the postseason. But only the sharp handicappers can uncover the best bets and the upsets in the first round and we have found one. Our boldest of the 2021 NFL Playoffs Predictions is that the Bills will lose to the Colts.

[BET On Colts vs Bills HERE]

Betting Against the Bills

Betting against the Buffalo Bills is not a good idea. They are one of the hottest teams in the National Football League and they are on a hot streak. QB Josh Allen jumped into the MVP conversation and Stephon Diggs is arguably the best receiver in football. They have won six straight games and all of the wins have been by ten points or more. So why bet against the Bills? The Colts play better against teams with a winning record and are 15-7 against the spread (ATS) in that role. But there is more.

Count on the Colts

Outside of the opening loss to the Jaguars, the Colts have only lost to playoff teams. They have a credible head coach and an experienced quarterback in Phillip Rivers. The public is pounding Buffalo is the most popular play on Saturday. (Yes more popular than Tom Brady) Finally, the Colts defense is better than the teams that the Bills have faced down the stretch. The Bills faced a banged-up Steelers defense and a wounded 49ers defense. This will be the best unit that they have faced all season. The Colts play well on the road with a 4-1 ATS record in the last five home games.

The Game plan

Allen is the key to the Bill’s offensive game plan. He has been responsible for 76% of their offense and the Colts can get after him by shutting down the run. The Colts will use bracket coverage which is essentially a design that puts two defenders on one receiver. That will keep Diggs in check.

2021 NFL Playoffs Predictions

The Colts have the experience of playing in the postseason. This line is incredibly inflated. It should be 3.5, but it opened up at 7 and now it has dropped to 6.5. The public is on the Bills, but the spread is dropping which is a clear indication that the smart money is on Indianapolis. That is all I need to know that the Colts will cover and win on Saturday.

Free Pick: Colts +6.5 and the money line

 

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Washington vs Tampa Bay Predictions

2021 NFL Playoffs Picks: Washington vs Tampa Bay Predictions

The NFL playoffs feature the best teams in the league. The bracket is loaded and the odds are out. Although some teams have had better seasons than others, anything can happen in the playoffs. That is especially true during Wildcard weekend. The playoff bets need to be made carefully with the recent restrictions due to COVID. Before considering the best bets for the weekend, read the latest news and information and the Washington vs Tampa Bay predictions.

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Coaching Matters

There is no disputing that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are better than the Washington Football team. The same can be said for the quarterback position since it is obvious that Tom Brady is better than Alex Smith. However, the coaching comparison is not as easy to decide. Ron Riveria has turned around the Washington franchise in just one year, bringing back pride to the forgotten franchise. As a head coach Bruce Arians is successful in the NFL, although he has a different approach. The overall edge belongs to Riveria, but Arians has the X-factor and that is Tom Brady.

This has not stopped people from betting on Washington. Not only in this game but to win more games in the playoffs.

On the Cold Road

The Buccaneers have to play at Washington in this game and the weather is expected to be cold. Brady is used to the cold, but it’s not winning that matters, it’s covering the spread.  The key to picking a winner in this game is looking at the betting total. The under in outdoor playoff games is 81-60-4 and that points to a low scoring game. If this game does not produce too many points, betting on an underdog getting ten points is pretty tempting.

Alex Smith is not playing, but that does not mean that Washington is not worthy of a bet.

Washington vs Tampa Bay Predictions

The strength for Washington is upfront on defense. Football Outsiders ranks Washington No. 2 in the NFL in both pass defense and overall defense entering the last week of the season. Brady is a master of getting rid of the ball quickly, but the deep concepts pushed by Arians may provide a problem. Alex Smith is the answer at quarterback and if Washington wants to win they have to get off to a quick start. The Buccaneers have been outscored 100-88 in the first quarter in games this season.

Most of the betting trends in this game are irrelevant because it was before Brady or before Riveria taking over in Washington, but there is one that stands out. The Football Team are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, which means they love playing the underdog role. This is a sign of how hard this team will play for Riverboat Ron and Washington has a legitimate chance for an upset.

[BET NOW on Washington vs Tampa Bay]

Free Pick: Washington Football Team +10

Where Can I Bet on the 2021 NFL Playoffs?

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Do you want free picks for every football game? Follow us on Twitter and DM to get all of the picks for free, No Strings!

Ravens vs Titans Predictions

2021 NFL Playoffs Picks: Ravens vs Titans Predictions

The NFL playoffs feature the best teams in the league. The bracket is loaded and the odds are out. Although some teams have had better seasons than others, anything can happen in the playoffs. That is especially true during Wildcard weekend. The playoff bets need to be made carefully with the recent restrictions due to COVID. Before considering the best bets for the weekend, read the latest news and information and the Ravens vs Titans predictions.

Can the Ravens Stop Derrick Henry?

Although many will suggest that Washington vs Tampa Bay is the best game of the week, this game will be close. Unless the Ravens cannot stop the run. If any team is going to beat the Titans it all starts with Derrick Henry. The bruising back amassed over 2,000 yards this season and is nearly impossible to take down. Ravens coach Jim Harbaugh’s focus for this week is on tackling. This makes sense considering that Derrick Henry has 217 rushing yards after contact in his past two games against the Ravens. The Ravens are not alone as every team in the NFL has trouble tackling Henry. Last year in the playoffs, Henry gobbled up 195 yards on 30 carries against the Ravens, which included 127 yards after the first contact.

The Money Down

The Ravens are favored in this game, although they are on the road. That is an interesting tidbit considering how well that Tennessee has played this season. In order to win the big games you have to succeed on the money down, aka, third down and that is where the Ravens excel. The Ravens finished the season with a third-down conversion rate of nearly 50% which is good enough to rank 4th in the NFL. Over the last four regular-season games, that number rose to 64%. Although the Ravens played some easier teams to end the season, when it comes to the money down, they are money.

Ravens vs Titans Predictions

NFL Playoffs predictions 2021This will be one of the best games of the playoffs. Although others have made the Ravens the best bet in this game, I am going to side with the Titans. The Titan’s defense is a weakness, but they do play well in the red zone and that is where the Ravens have issues. In the last two outings against the Titans, the Ravens are just 2 of 8 in the red zone. You can’t win a playoff game settling for field goals. The Ravens are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings. and the Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Wildcard games.

Bet NOW on the Titans +3

 

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NBA Christmas Day Picks

2020 NBA Christmas Day Picks: Best Bets and Predictions

The NBA on Christmas Day is a tradition like no other. Sure, this year the NFL has invaded the holiday air space, but it’s still the NBA that will dominate the holiday schedule. With big stars and even bigger matchups between the best teams in the league, the NBA is a “must-see” TV on Christmas Day. The 2020 NBA Christmas Day Picks are the best gift that you can get to celebrate the holiday season!

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Schedule and 2020 NBA Christmas Day Picks

New Orleans Pelicans at Miami Heat, 12 p.m. ET

The Miami Heat went to the Finals a year ago and are already overrated when it comes to the NBA betting odds. When the Heat was listed as 5 point favorites in the first game on Christmas Day, the public game running. However, the Pelicans now have a healthy Zion Williamson and a new coach in Stan Van Gundy.

Zion plays his first Christmas Day and that is a big event for everyone. This team also has some veteran help with players like Eric Bledsoe and Steven Adams. The early game on Christmas day is usually low scoring. Both teams adjust for an early start and the distractions of a holiday do not help with preparation. The Pelicans will keep this close, but the best bet in this game is under the betting total.

Free Pick: Under 229 [BET HERE]

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Golden State Warriors at Milwaukee Bucks, 2:30 p.m. ET

The Golden State Warriors were throttled in the opener against the Brooklyn Nets. The Warriors were able to get plenty of rest as coach Steve Kerr emptied his bench for most of the game. That loss moved the point-spread in this game as the Bucks are now 9 point favorites in this game. Over 79 percent of the public is on the Bucks in this game, which is good enough to move this line two points.

The Good news for the Warriors is that rookie James Wiseman played like a superstar with 19 points and six boards in the opener. Dating back to last season the Warriors are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 road games, which is impressive considering how bad they were a year ago. Giannis Antetokounmpo is the best player in the NBA and the addition of Jrue Holiday is a great fit. However, the Bucks will not win in blowout fashion.

Free Pick: Warriors +9 [BET NOW]

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Brooklyn Nets at Boston Celtics, 5 p.m. ET

This is the game that we are all waiting for. Kyrie Irving returns to Boston. It will not be the same without a roaring fan base, but it makes for good TV. The Net’s big win against the Warriors excites the Brooklyn fan base and they are betting on the Nets to win it all. In fact, the Nets are the most popular play (86%) of the day and the Celtics have shifted from a one-point favorite to a 2 point underdog.

The Celtics will not have Kemba Walker in the lineup, but the real edge is on defense. Marcus Smart leads the way and this team will be able to keep the Nets in check. Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown are the best young duo in hoops and this is their chance to show they can play with the best.

The Celtics are 22-8 ATS in the last 30 games as an underdog and they will beat the Nets.

Free Pick: Celtics +2 [BET HERE]

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Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers, 8 p.m. ET

The Lakers get the prime-time game against the Dallas Mavericks. LeBron James and company started out with an ugly loss on opening night. This is not a surprise. The Lakers are known for their slow starts. LeBron hurt his ankle and played little minutes in the loss to the Clippers.

Luka Doncic is a realistic MVP candidate and is a joy to watch. But they are just 2-7 ARS in the last nine road games dating back to last season. They also are a woeful 2-6 ATS in the last eight games as an underdog. LeBron acknowledges that Doncic is the next great player and he looks forward to this matchup. He made a point of announcing that despite the injury, he will be ready for this game.

The Lakers start slow UNLESS they have a reason to get up for a big game. This is that game. Montrezl Harrell is a wonderful addition that is already paying off. This is the game where LeBron reminds everyone who the MVP is.

Free Pick: Lakers -6 [BET NOW]

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Los Angeles Clippers at Denver Nuggets, 10:30 p.m. ET

This is a rematch of the Western Conference Semifinals, but be careful before you jump on that revenge angle. The small spread will make it tempting to back the Clippers who easily defeated the Lakers in the opener. But this is Denver and they have the best home-court advantage in the NBA, with or without fans. They are 48-38-1 as a home underdog against a team that made the playoffs the previous season and they are 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 as a home underdog overall.

BETUS NBA BettingJamal Murray is a bonafide superstar and this team still feels disrespected despite the success a season ago. They are deep with Bol Bol and Michal Porter Jr and this is a team that deserves respect. On Christmas night they get it with a big win against the Clippers.

Free Pick: Nuggets +1 [BET HERE]

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Where Can I Bet on the NBA this year?

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Steelers vs Bengals Predictions

Monday Night Football Picks: Steelers vs Bengals Predictions

The last NFL game of the week is a big one. The Cincinnati Bengals may be out of playoff contention, but they would love to beat the Pittsburgh Steelers on Monday night. After a Sunday full of exciting games and the college football playoffs approaching, there is no doubt this is going to be a good game. The Steelers vs Bengals predictions begin with a change at quarterback for the home team.

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Next Man Up

The Bengals are rebuilding and although the future is bright, this year is a wash. With that being said, the Bengals are making another change at quarterback.

Ryan Finley will get the start for the Bengals and although he is no Joe Burrow, he is familiar with the offense and has had playing time this season.

Buying into the Betting Line

Although the Bengals are a home divisional underdog at home, no one is willing to bet on this team right now. There is over 66 percent of the betting action on the Steelers although they have lost two games in a row. That amount of bets and money is really moving the spread leading up to kickoff. The Steelers were once 12 point favorites but now they are giving up over two touchdowns at 14.5 points.

Steelers Must Win?

The Steelers are already in the playoffs, so this may not seem like a “must-win”, but guess again. The Steelers have to play the Colts and the Browns to finish the season. The Browns are playing good football and are right behind Pittsburgh in the race for the AFC North. Since the Browns beat the Giants, this game becomes very important for Pittsburgh. They win and clinch the AFC North.

Notice the Numbers

The Steelers have a .671 winning percentage on Monday Night Football and they have beaten the Bengals on Monday in eight of the 11 meetings. Ben Rothlisberger can achieve a milestone on Monday night with just 163 yards passing, which adds to the motivation.

Steelers vs Bengals Predictions

The Steelers are the better team, but this spread continues to grow. If you did not bet the Steelers at less than 14 points you may have lost some value. Pittsburgh is 0-6 ATS in the last six games in December, which means covering late in the season is not a priority for this team. The Bengals respond well after a loss with a 7-3 ATS record, but the Steelers are 21-7-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings. The Steelers are the play, but its’ too dangerous to give up that many points.

The better play is UNDER 41. [BET NOW]

2021 AFC Conference Championship Picks

NFL Week 15 Odds: Sharps vs Squares Betting Action Report

We love to bet on the National Football League (who doesn’t) and the spreads are getting tighter as the season nears the end. If you want to make money you have to start looking at the matchups early in the week. Every week we identify the early plays that the Sharps and the public are betting on. Last week we identified winners across the board when we made our picks against the spread for every game. This week we are looking at the early numbers once again and pointing out the games that you need to keep an eye on.

NFL Week 15 odds and sports betting bonuses

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Opening odds courtesy of BetUS (subject to change)

Who is the Public betting on?

The favorites went 8-6 against the spread (ATS) last week, so it is not surprising that the public went 2-1. If you were to bet against the public in the last five weeks you would still have a winning record. The public is already betting early on the week and they are going back to a familiar favorite. The Buffalo Bills dismantled the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday night while everyone was watching and the public is laying the points again this week. Over 67 percent of the early money is betting Buffalo to win and cover on the road against the Denver Broncos.

Here are the teams that the Squares are betting on this week: Buffalo, Kansas City, and San Francisco

[BET AGAINST THE PUBLIC HERE]

 

Who are the Sharps betting on?

The Sharps are the smart players who know how to win. If you bet with the sharp plays last week you would have finished a perfect 3-0 ATS. If you trailed all of the picks in this report you would be 19-10 ATS this season. The Sharps are betting early this week. Despite an ugly season, the smart money is on the Chargers on Thursday night football. The Raiders lost a very important game against the Colts and now they are road favorites on a short week. Over 57 percent is already betting on the Raiders, but the betting line is dropping which is a sure sign that the Sharps like the Chargers.

Here are the teams that the Sharps are betting on this week: Chargers, Patriots, and the Vikings.

[BET WITH THE SHARPS HERE]