Month: June 2022

Deshaun Watson odds on suspension

Posted on by Max Hammersby
DeShaun Watson odds on suspension

Deshaun Watson odds on suspension

The Deshaun Watson saga continues to add new chapters to a disturbing story. The Cleveland Browns acquired Watson in the off-season and quickly signed him to a $230M guaranteed contract. With the recent allegations and the rumors surrounding the length of his suspension, the Browns may quickly come to regret the signing. 

Deshaun Watson odds

A few months ago, sportsbooks had the odds on the length of Watson’s suspension at over/under 4.5 games. If you can still find that number, I highly suggest that you bet on the over. There is every reason to believe that Watson will get more than 5 games and the recent turmoil is causing some to suggest that the suspension may last an entire season. 

Another Allegation 

A year suspension may be on the table considering how many allegations are coming out against Watson’s conduct. In fact, another has just surfaced making the situation even uglier.

The latest details of the recent allegation is downright troubling. 

Cleveland Browns and Deshaun Watson odds

Until the NFL officially releases the punishment it is best to avoid betting on Watson or the Browns. A year suspension is not out of the question, considering that Atlanta wide receiver Calvin Ridley was recently suspended for a year for gambling. The optics for the NFL would be bad if they suspend someone who has 24 allegations of sexual misconduct for less than a year. 

Watson may return to play quarterback and he may regain the form that he has displayed in the past, but if you want to bet on Watson or the Browns, it is best to wait. Unless of course, you want to bet on the number of games that Watson will be suspended.

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NBA Finals Celtics vs Warriors Game 2 prediction and pick against the spread

Posted on by JT Dutton
NBA Finals Celtics vs Warriors Game 2 prediction and pick against the spread

NBA Finals Celtics vs Warriors Game 2 prediction and pick against the spread

The Golden State Warriors lost Game 1 in ugly fashion and now have pressure to even up the series. The Boston Celtics enter Game 2 with confidence and a chance at returning to Boston with a demanding 2-0 game lead. The Celtics vs Warriors Game 2 prediction depends on the mindset of both teams entering the Sunday evening games.

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Time to Hedge

The great thing about a competitive series is that the opportunity to edge to assure that you will make money is always evident. In-Game 1 we placed a wager on the Celtics to win the championship at a nice price. After a dominating victory by Boston, there is value in taking the Warriors to win the championship. Sportsbooks currently list the Warriors at +140 to win it all. I will be hedging by backing the Warriors at this price and guaranteeing profit. However, if you missed that opportunity there s still time to pull a profit in Game 2.

Nothing odds about the odds

Many people were confused when they saw the odds for Game 2. The Warriors are once again four-point favorites. The assumption is that the point spread would change considering that the Celtics won the game. But that is not the case, because the Warriors are still at home and the variables surrounding the series, remain the same. Keeping the point spread the same does allow for some value when picking winners in Game 2.

NBA Finals Celtics vs Warriors Game 2 prediction

For Game 2 we are going to focus on the over/under. The current betting total is 215.5 and that may not seem high enough considering how high scoring the first game of the series was. However, the Celtics will not hit 21 three-point shots in Game 2 and Stephen Curry will not have another dominant first quarter. Both teams will make defensive adjustments that will slow down the pace of the game. The under is 9-3 in the last 12 Celtics games against a team with a winning record and 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

UNDER 215.5 [BET NOW]

Everyone just assumes that the Warriors are going to bounce back and win Game 2, but I am not so sure. Boston is deeper, bigger, and better defensively. The Celtics also have some very interesting trends in their favor. The Celtics are 9-1-1 against the spread (ATS) as a road underdog and 34-16-1 ATS overall on the road. Not to mention a perfect 7-0 ATS with at least two days’ rest.

Celtics +4 [BET NOW]

The Warriors are 2-5 ATS after losing a game by ten points and 3-12-2 ATS in the last 17 meetings against the Celtics. Back Boston to keep it close and back Curry and company into a corner.

2022 NFL Season: What teams are getting the most offseason hype?

Posted on by Max Hammersby
2022 NFL Season: What teams are getting the most offseason hype?

2022 NFL Season: What teams are getting the most offseason hype?

It happens every year. A few teams get some serious offseason hype. This is due to various reasons. Usually, it is the teams that have had an active offseason or excellent drafts. This hype is usually misguided and will lead to some bad bets on teams that never live up to the expectations. Here are the teams that are getting some serious hype heading into the 2022 NFL season.

Believing the Hype

Picking the overhyped NFL teams is based on the opening Super Bowl odds and how they have changed. As well as polls and just listening to the NFL fans bark about the upcoming season. Certain teams that made the list may surprise you, but others make this list year after year.

Detroit Lions

A year ago the Detroit Lions were one of the worst teams in the National Football League. This year they are getting some hype. Although no one outside of Motown believes they will win the Super Bowl, everyone believes this team will be vastly improved. Head coach Dan Campbell has this team playing hard and if you want proof, we got it. The Lions were a league-best 11-6 against the spread (ATS) last season. This is more impressive considering that the Lions were always listed as an underdog. In fact, they are 7-3 ATS when closing as an underdog of at least a touchdown. Detroit will be better this year and it is time to believe the hype.

Verdict: Believe the hype

Bet to make: Lions Over 6.5 wins

 

San Francisco 49ers

Someone, please tell me why everyone is buying into the 49ers this year? The organization is fumbling the Jimmy Garoppolo situation and the transition to Trey Lance is a hot mess. Not to mention the Deebo Samuel disruption that is overshadowing the offseason. With a revamped offensive line and breaking in a quarterback, the 49ers are due for an ugly season.

Verdict: Don’t believe the hype

Bet to make: Wager on this 49ers play

 

New England Patriots

Bill Belichick and Mac Jones is a match made in heaven. After a successful rookie campaign, the Pats fans believe that New England is ready to once again be a mainstay in the playoffs. What the fans are overlooking is the nightmare NFL draft and the bad selections, especially in the first round. New England made minimal moves and although they had improvements at the wide receiver position by getting DeVante Parker, they did not keep up with the rest of the teams in the division. The boys in Vegas don’t believe in the Patriots as the odds suggest they will miss the playoffs and I agree.

Verdict: Don’t believe the hype

Bet to make:  Patriots to miss the playoffs (-200)

 

Buffalo Bills

When I originally wrote this article, I did not have the Bills on the list. Yet I was quickly reminded just how much hype Buffalo is getting coming into this season.

The Bill’s odds suggest that they are the favorite to win the Super Bowl, leaping over Tom Brady and the Buccaneers and Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. The problem is that this team has a tough schedule to navigate this season and they are not used to the pressure of being the favorites. They are a very good team and will make the playoffs, but they are overhyped heading into the season.

Verdict: Don’t believe the hype

Bet to make: Bills under 11.5 wins

 

 

2022 NFL season Honorable mentions

Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens had an incredible draft and will be fully recovered after their team was decimated by injuries a year ago. However, they still have to figure out the contract situation of quarterback Lamar Jackson. Although Jackson will be playing with a chip on his shoulder he is hoping to score with an offense that lacks firepower. They are going to be a good team, and have the coaching staff and personnel to win this season.

Verdict: Believe the hype

Bet to make: Ravens to win the AFC North

 

 

New York Jets

It is a surprise to see that the Jets are getting so much hype. This is mainly fueled by the draft class that they acquired. It is very impressive and the draft fills positions of need for the Jets who have to navigate a difficult AFC East. Ultimately New York’s success will come down to how coach Robert Saleh can protect and improve the play of quarterback Zach Wilson. The Jets are heading in the right direction, but it won’t happen this season.

Verdict: Don’t believe the hype

Bet: Jets to finish 3rd in the AFC East +350

 

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Celtics vs Warriors prediction and Game 1 pick against the spread

Posted on by JT Dutton
Celtics vs Warriors prediction and Game 1 pick against the spread

Celtics vs Warriors prediction and Game 1 pick against the spread

Finally the NBA Finals tip-off and we will see if the series can live up to the hype. The Golden State Warriors and the Boston Celtics are the two teams left standing and there is every reason to believe that this series will be very entertaining. Before making your Celtics vs Warriors prediction and Game 1 pick, check out our series preview and a look at the opening odds.

What really matters

This series is getting extensive coverage and several angles keep coming up over and over again. The two most popular handicapping angles are the experience of the Warriors and the fact that the Celtics may be tired coming into this game. While both angles are true and favor Golden State, it is vital to not over handicap and rely on these two angles alone without doing further research.

The same can be said about home-court advantage. Since 2013 home teams are just 26-20 straight up and 23-22-1 against the spread (ATS). Overvaluing the home court can lead to buying into inflated lines.

Celtics vs Warriors prediction and Game 1 pick

Golden State is -3.5 in Game 1 and over 69% believe the Warriors will win and cover. The same herd of basketball betting fanatics believes that Stephen Curry will win the MVP. This is due to the fact that everyone believes that the Celtics are tired and the Warriors have the home court and the edge with experience. But don’t count out the Celtics in the first game of the series.

Celtics +3.5 [BET NOW]

The Celtics play very well on the road and they are an amazing 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 games as a road underdog. They rise to the occasion when playing a team with a winning record. They have cashed in with a 35-17 ATS record against those teams.

Boston has the edge on defense and in the paint. Which will give Boston second-chance shots and more opportunities to control the pace of the game. The Warriors can easily catch fire from beyond the arc, but they will have to be consistent against an aggressive perimeter defense led by Marcus Smart.

The offense will be tough to stop as the Warriors have to account for both Jaylen Brown and Jason Tatum. If the Warriors slow them down they will still have to be concerned with Al Horford and Smart who can both put points up if needed.

Money line: Boston +145 [BET NOW]

Over the last eight years, outright winners are 41-2-2 ATS covering at a 95% clip. This means if you like the Celtics plus the points, it is worth betting Boston on the money line.

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