Author: JT Dutton

2022 NFL Week 4 odds and the stinky line

Posted on by JT Dutton
2022 NFL Week 4 odds and the stinky line

2022 NFL Week 4 odds and the stinky line

Betting on the NFL is easy, winning is hard. If you want to be ahead of the game and try to find the best value, it is always important to look at the NFL odds as soon as they are released. You can pick winners by doing the extra work. Whenever the odds are put out, there are always a few games that stand out above the rest. Here are the 2022 NFL Week 4 odds and the one stinky line that you have to pay attention to.

2022 NFL Week 4 odds

Here are the odds for this week in the National Football League as first posted by the sportsbook, MyBookie.

Miami Dolphins (+2.5) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5) [Bet this game now]

Minnesota Vikings (-2.5) vs. New Orleans Saints (+2.5)

Cleveland Browns (-2.5) vs. Atlanta Falcons (+2.5)

Buffalo Bills (-3.5) vs. Baltimore Ravens (+3.5)

Washington Commanders (+2.5) vs. Dallas Cowboys (-2.5)

Seattle Seahawks (+6.5) vs. Detroit Lions (-6.5)

Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5) vs. Houston Texans (+6.5)

 

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Tennessee Titans (+3.5) vs. Indianapolis Colts (-3.5)

Chicago Bears (+2.5) vs. New York Giants (-2.5)

Jacksonville Jaguars (+6.5) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5)

New York Jets (+3.5) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5)

Arizona Cardinals (+1.5) vs. Carolina Panthers (-1.5)

New England Patriots (+8.5) vs. Green Bay Packers (-8.5)

Denver Broncos (+2.5) vs. Las Vegas Raiders (-2.5)

Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2.5)

Los Angeles Rams (+2.5) vs. San Francisco 49ers (-2.5)

Stinky Line

It is still early in the season but a few of these lines look too good to be true. But there is another one that jumps off the page as “stinky”. How are the Browns only (-2.5) point favorites over the hapless Falcons? The browns beat down the Steelers and they have extra rest. It is clear that the Falcons are playing for next year, although they are off a win. This line stinks. Bettors beware before you bet on the Browns.  If it looks too good to be true it usually is.

Kevin Durant requests a trade from the Nets: Where’s he going?

Posted on by JT Dutton
Kevin Durant requests a trade from the Nets: Where’s he going?

Kevin Durant requests a trade from the Nets: Where’s he going?

 

Hours before the start of NBA free agency the biggest bombshell is delivered from a player that is not a free agent. Kevin Durant is requesting a trade. Durant is arguably the best player on the planet and if the reports are true, he wants out of Brooklyn.Durant has four years left on his deal, which means every team in the league will take a swing at this big superstar. 

The source

Like everything that happens on the eve of the free agency period, you can’t always believe the information. But in this case, the source is reliable. 

But in the high stakes of the NBA world, any report may have been forced out by a player or an agent. This news is particularly interesting since Kyrie Irving recently signed to stay on the team. It is easy to connect Durant with that news and even easier to connect Durant with a number of teams that will be interested in his services. 

KD and Kyrie?

Rumors are flying about where Durant and Kyrie will play next season. Some rumors speculate that they will team up and join another franchise as a package deal. This will not happen. Carry on.

Where does he play?

Everyone wants Kevin Durant on their team. Although every team is interested, there are not many teams that have the assets to get it done. If Brooklyn is going to part ways with Durant they are going to ask for a bundle. Here are the teams that will be rumored to land the superstar. 

Don’t even think about the Lakers. They just don’t have the assets to get it done.

Kevin Durant Trade Request and the Contenders 

It did not take long for NBA fans to Photoshop Durant into their favorite jersey. The leading sportsbooks quickly posted odds on where Durant will play next season, and here is the list of the top contenders.

Golden State Warriors

This may be the most popular landing spot on the rumor mill, but Durant has no reason to return to Golden State. The Warriors will not give up big assets to get Durant and have many reasons to believe they can without him. Anything is possible, but this will not happen. 

Boston Celtics

This does not make much sense because Boston will have to blow up the team and lose the core pieces to acquire Durant. Depending on the asking price (which will be steep), the Celtics may actually take a step back by getting Durant. 

Philadelphia 76ers

This is an interesting landing spot. The Sixers have assets and room to move since James Harden did not sign his option. Philly will have to give up key pieces, but they can make this fit.  However, the Nets are unlikely to send Durant to Philly unless they give up the world. 

Best Bet

Phoenix Suns 

Durant has given the Nets a list of preferred teams and the Phoenix Suns are on that list. This makes sense. They have the assets and can add Deandre Ayton in the deal. Durant joins a contender and can go up against LeBron and the Lakers and Steph and the Warriors on a regular basis. This is a win/win for Durant and the Nets and is the best landing spot if they trade Durant.

Miami Heat

Pat Riley and the Heat have a way of luring superstars to South Beach. Although they will have to part ways with some serious talent, this is a move that makes sense. Durant will make the Heat the favorites to win it all and Durant will have plenty of support. If any team can pull off this trade it’s the Miami Heat. 

The NBA free agency period is always fast and furious and this year will be no exception. With Durant in the mix, this will be the best one ever.

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Kyrie Irving makes Brooklyn a bad bet

Posted on by JT Dutton
Kyrie Irving makes Brooklyn a bad bet

Kyrie Irving makes Brooklyn a bad bet

Kyrie Irving decided to opt into the final year of his $37 million deal with the Brooklyn Nets. Brooklyn fans are ready to make a run at the title with this team with Kyrie back. Sports betting sites adjusted the odds to win the 2023 NBA Finals and of course, Brooklyn is a favorite to win the title. But, run to the betting window, beware, because Kyrie makes Brooklyn a bad bet.

Kyrie vs the front office

Although Kyrie makes a boatload of money y opting in, he is not happy. The Nets are not happy with Kyrie after Irving made public a list of teams he will play for if they could not come to an agreement. Irving had no choice. Other teams were not going to sign him to a better deal and the Nets were not going to give him away in a deal. This is why LeBron and the Lakers had no chance to acquire Kyrie. But now that Kyris is on an expiring contract, he is available for the right price.

Don’t be surprised if Irving is on another team at the end of the season.

Kyrie vs Steve Nash

Kyrie does not like Steve Nash. It has been widely reported that Irving and Nash have issues. At one point Irving refused to practice for Nash and ran his own practice after the Nets left the court. This blatant disrespect will cause a problem on the court and with other players. This type of negative energy can spread and tear ap[art a team.

Can’t count on Kyrie

It is clear that Kyrie is in it for himself. He does not play when he does not want to play and he lets his personal issues and feelings get in the way of coming together as a team. Technically Kyrie is playing for a contract with this opt-in, but can you trust him? The minute he is unhappy he will skip games and request a trade. He already basically forced James Harden out of town and he may do the same to other players.

Other intangibles

Sportsbooks have the Nets as 7-to-1 favorites to win the NBA Championship. But Irving is not the only problem. Can you trust Ben Simmons enough to play a full season? Simmons checked out physically and mentally and has not been back since. The Nets will need Simmons if they want to win.

Kyrie Irving and the Nets need a lot to go right if they want to win. Think Kyrie can make it happen? I wouldn’t bet on it!

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2023 NBA Finals Odds:  Who will win the championship?

Posted on by JT Dutton
2023 NBA Finals Odds:  Who will win the championship?

2023 NBA Finals Odds:  Who will win the championship?

The Golden State Warriors are the 2022 NBA Champions. The Warriors defeated the Boston Celtics and are the best team in basketball.  The parade has yet to happen, but that is not stopping the NBA diehard fans from looking forward to next year. The 2023 NBA Finals odds are already out and here are the candidates to win the next championship.

2023 NBA Finals Odds

When the odds are first released after a championship is completed it is quite common for the sportsbooks to release the numbers based on recent events. This allows the best sportsbooks to adjust the numbers based on the money that is coming in at the betting market. Here is a list of the favorite teams to win it next season and a sleeper pick with value.

The Favorites

Golden State Warriors +600

[ BET NOW]

Stephen Curry and the Warriors have all of their veterans signed and they can allow their young core to continue to thrive.  Andrew Wiggins and Jordan Poole have already made it clear that they want to stay with the Warriors. There is every reason to believe that Golden State will be in the mix next season.

Boston Celtics +600

[BET NOW]

The Celtics are very young and they will learn from losing the NBA title to the Warriors. Jayson Tatum is Boston’s best player and he is still learning the game. The same can be said for Jaylen Brown. The Celtics have some adjustments to make, but the experience from this year’s run will make this team a contender.

Los Angeles Clippers +600

[ BET NOW]

This number may seem a bit high, but the Clippers will get back Kawi Leonard. A healthy Leonard with a strong supporting cast will make the Clippers a contender, but it’s hard to bet on a team that has been inconsistent at best.

Brooklyn Nets +700

[ BET NOW]

The Nets are better than the team that got swept in the playoffs by the Celtics. But it is difficult to bet on any team that has Kyrie Irving on it. The Nets are reportedly thinking twice about signing Irving and that may change the entire dynamic of this team.

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Next Up

Milwaukee Bucks +750

[ BET NOW]

With all due respect to Curry, the Bucks have the best player on the planet in Giannis Antetokounmpo. If the Bucks return a healthy lineup they have as good of a chance as any team to return to the NBA Finals. Many argue that if Khris Middleton was healthy this year they would have had a great chance to win another title.

Phoenix Suns +900

[ BET NOW]

The Suns opened the 2022 season as the favorites to win a championship. They stumbled early and often with an early exit to the postseason but will reload for next year. However, Chris Paul and his age are a concern as well as what the Suns will do with Deandre Ayton.

Value Picks

Philadelphia Sixers +1600

[ BET NOW]

Joel Embiid suffered an injury that derailed the last playoff run for the Sixers. However, they have a good core with Embiid, James Harden, and Tyrese Maxey. The Sixers have to handle the Harden contract and are shopping Danny Green which will improve this team. Don’t count out Philly.

LA Lakers +2200

[ BET NOW]

Love him or hate him, LeBron James is still an incredible player that can make one last run at a championship. LA will go out and get the players and they are already rumored to be connected with Bradley Beal. If Anthony Davis is healthy (that’s a big if) the Lakers can make a run.

2022 NBA Finals Game 6 Preview: Warriors vs Celtics picking the winner

Posted on by JT Dutton
2022 NBA Finals Game 6 Preview: Warriors vs Celtics picking the winner

2022 NBA Finals Game 6 Preview: Warriors vs Celtics picking the winner

Two games ago the Boston Celtics were in control of the NBA Finals. After an ugly loss in Boston and a meltdown on the road, Boston is now on the brink of elimination. Our 2022 NBA Finals Game 6 preview breaks down the latest odds, and basketball betting trends and offers up a free pick against the spread.

NBA Finals Game 6 odds

Although the Celtics are on a two-game losing streak they are still listed as home favorites for Game 6. Boston is listed as (-4) favorites according to sportsbooks. This is a bold number considering that the Celtics have lost the last two games by double digits. Of course, the spread may not matter since it has not played a role in any game yet this season.

Conspiracy theory for Father’s Day

If the Celtics win Game 6, the series will extend to seven games which means that the NBA Finals will take center stage on Father’s Day. If you believe in conspiracy theories, this is appealing to you because you believe that the NBA will want one more game on a big day of the year to get more viewers.  But is that enough to place a bet on Boston in Game 6?

2022 NBA Finals Game 6 Preview and pick

There are many ways to bet on this game. You can bet the Warriors as underdogs for plus money or the Celtics to win the series at a big underdog price, but if we are just focusing on the series, there is only one play to make. The Warriors now have the Celtics in a tough spot. Golden State has the mental edge. Every time they hold the lead the Celtics will feel defeated and if Boston makes a run they will never feel safe. The Warriors are 7-3 ATS as an underdog and have covered 8 of the last 11 games overall.

Warriors +3.5 [GET THE ODDS]

Congratulations to the MVP Stephen Curry and the Warriors who will be NBA Champions!

 

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NBA Finals Warriors vs Celtics Game 5 prediction and pick against the spread

Posted on by JT Dutton
NBA Finals Warriors vs Celtics Game 5 prediction and pick against the spread

NBA Finals Warriors vs Celtics Game 5 prediction and pick against the spread

Stephen Curry single-handedly brought the Golden State Warriors back to life. The Warriors looked as though they were going to lose gracefully until Curry dominated the stage and stole Game 4 in Boston to even up the series against the Celtics. Now the series shifts to the West coast and everyone is struggling to make a Warriors vs Celtics Game 5 prediction.

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Paging Mr. Tatum

The Game 4 loss can be attributed to many things, but the Celtics need Jayson Tatum to have a big game. That is what superstars do and that is what Curry did in Game 4. Tatum has had big quarters but has yet to put together a complete game in the NBA Finals. Jaylen Brown, Marcus Smart, and Al Horford have managed to carry the load, but the Celtics need Tatum to make it happen.

Kerr Wins Again

Although everyone will focus on Curry, the real winner of Game 4 is head coach Steve Kerr. His last-minute adjustment to pull out Draymond Green on offense and put him back in on defense was genius. The Celtics did not adjust, especially on offense, and couldn’t put up clean shots against the younger and more athletic defenders.  Coaching matters and in Game 4, the Warriors won the battle.

Warriors vs Celtics Game 5 Odds

The Warriors are listed as -3.5 point favorites. The series odds have gone back and forth and once again the Warriors are favored to win the championship. The Warriors will play 2 out of the next 3 games at home, but in this series, anything can happen. However, the spread has not really mattered in this series. It’s really all about picking a winner.

NBA Finals Warriors vs Celtics Game 5 prediction

Picking a winner is not easy and for this crucial game in Golden State, our focus will instead be on the betting total. Although the under has been the better bet in this series, the play is on the over for Game 5.

BET OVER 212 [BET NOW]

The Celtics responded with a high-scoring game after a tough outing this season. The over has cashed 4 out of the last five games when the C’s were a road underdog. On the flip side, the over is 11-5 when the Warriors are favorites and 12-5 in the last 17 NBA Final games. This will be an uptempo back-and-forth affair with plenty of points.

NBA Finals Warriors vs Celtics Game 4 prediction and pick against the spread

Posted on by JT Dutton
NBA Finals Warriors vs Celtics Game 4 prediction and pick against the spread

NBA Finals Warriors vs Celtics Game 4 prediction and pick against the spread

Stephon Curry and the Golden State Warriors limp into Game 4 of the NBA Finals, in a must-win situation. His status will make the Warriors vs Celtics Game 4 prediction a tough one to make. The public is pounding the Warriors in the series, but that has slowed down after the ankle injury to Curry. But it is not the play outside of the paint that is making the difference in this series.

Points in the Paint

If there is one stat that stands out in this series, it is points in the paint. The team that has won this stat has won every game of the series. In Game 3, Boston dominated this stat and the Warriors will need to adjust if they hope to win this category. If the Warriors go big, they don’t have the depth or the talent on the floor. If the Warriors go small, they have to hope they can outscore the Celtics with wing scoring. Klay Thompson and Curry both had a good Game 3, but it’s obvious that the Warriors need more.

NBA Finals Warriors vs Celtics Game 4 prediction

Boston is the better team. That is something that is echoed all over the airwaves. However, the other stance is that the Warriors have the “heart of a champion” and they will respond with an incredible Game 4 on Friday night. But there are a few things to consider.

The Warriors are 1-6 against the spread (ATS) in the last 7 road games and 5-15-2 ATS in the last 22 meetings against Boston. The Celtics have Jayson Tatum, but they have shown that if he does not play well Jaylen Brown, Marcus Smart or someone else on the roster is ready to stand up.

The point spread has yet to matter in any game in this series, but tonight will be a close game. In the end, the Celtics pull off the victory and win the game.

Bet on the Celtics on the money line (Claim your bonus to bet by clicking here)

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2022 NBA Finals: Warriors vs Celtics Game 3 prediction and pick against the spread

Posted on by JT Dutton
2022 NBA Finals: Warriors vs Celtics Game 3 prediction and pick against the spread

NBA Finals Warriors vs Celtics Game 3 prediction and pick against the spread

The Boston Celtics limp back into Boston for a Game 3 showdown with the Golden State Warriors. The NBA Finals series is tied at one game a piece and it is up to Boston to maintain the home-court advantage with a win at home. The Warriors vs Celtics Game 3 prediction will be based on several factors that will reveal a winner straight up and against the spread.

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What team shows up

Draymond Green and the Warriors physically and mentally dominated the Celtics in Game 2. However, Game 1 was controlled by Al Horford and the Celtics. Game 3 is up for grabs and it may not be easy to pick a winner. In fact, the betting public is split 50/50 on what team to bet on in this game. The sportsbooks have opened Boston as a -3.5 favorite and the spread has had little movement.

New location new situation

The Celtics are a very good road team against the spread (ATS) and the Warriors are a very good home team, but what is changing since the series is now in Boston? Home favorites are 17-11 ATS in the NBA Finals since 2015 and Boston is off a loss, which is a favorable spot for this team. The Celtics are incredible off a loss with a 24-13 ATS record this season which improves to a perfect 6-0 ATS after a loss. The Celtics are incredible at making adjustments after a poor outing.

NBA Finals Warriors vs Celtics Game 3 prediction

Boston will also have the edge at playing at home in front of the frenzied fans. This will also help in giving the Celtics an edge when it comes to officiating. Jayson Tatum has yet to have the big breakout game and that will happen Wednesday night.

Celtics -3.5 [BET NOW]

The Warriors are a good team, but they are just 1-5 ATS on the road and 1-3-1 ATS in Boston. Jordan Poole is not consistent and Green will get beat at his own game as the Celtics win.

NBA Finals Celtics vs Warriors Game 2 prediction and pick against the spread

Posted on by JT Dutton
NBA Finals Celtics vs Warriors Game 2 prediction and pick against the spread

NBA Finals Celtics vs Warriors Game 2 prediction and pick against the spread

The Golden State Warriors lost Game 1 in ugly fashion and now have pressure to even up the series. The Boston Celtics enter Game 2 with confidence and a chance at returning to Boston with a demanding 2-0 game lead. The Celtics vs Warriors Game 2 prediction depends on the mindset of both teams entering the Sunday evening games.

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Time to Hedge

The great thing about a competitive series is that the opportunity to edge to assure that you will make money is always evident. In-Game 1 we placed a wager on the Celtics to win the championship at a nice price. After a dominating victory by Boston, there is value in taking the Warriors to win the championship. Sportsbooks currently list the Warriors at +140 to win it all. I will be hedging by backing the Warriors at this price and guaranteeing profit. However, if you missed that opportunity there s still time to pull a profit in Game 2.

Nothing odds about the odds

Many people were confused when they saw the odds for Game 2. The Warriors are once again four-point favorites. The assumption is that the point spread would change considering that the Celtics won the game. But that is not the case, because the Warriors are still at home and the variables surrounding the series, remain the same. Keeping the point spread the same does allow for some value when picking winners in Game 2.

NBA Finals Celtics vs Warriors Game 2 prediction

For Game 2 we are going to focus on the over/under. The current betting total is 215.5 and that may not seem high enough considering how high scoring the first game of the series was. However, the Celtics will not hit 21 three-point shots in Game 2 and Stephen Curry will not have another dominant first quarter. Both teams will make defensive adjustments that will slow down the pace of the game. The under is 9-3 in the last 12 Celtics games against a team with a winning record and 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

UNDER 215.5 [BET NOW]

Everyone just assumes that the Warriors are going to bounce back and win Game 2, but I am not so sure. Boston is deeper, bigger, and better defensively. The Celtics also have some very interesting trends in their favor. The Celtics are 9-1-1 against the spread (ATS) as a road underdog and 34-16-1 ATS overall on the road. Not to mention a perfect 7-0 ATS with at least two days’ rest.

Celtics +4 [BET NOW]

The Warriors are 2-5 ATS after losing a game by ten points and 3-12-2 ATS in the last 17 meetings against the Celtics. Back Boston to keep it close and back Curry and company into a corner.

Celtics vs Warriors prediction and Game 1 pick against the spread

Posted on by JT Dutton
Celtics vs Warriors prediction and Game 1 pick against the spread

Celtics vs Warriors prediction and Game 1 pick against the spread

Finally the NBA Finals tip-off and we will see if the series can live up to the hype. The Golden State Warriors and the Boston Celtics are the two teams left standing and there is every reason to believe that this series will be very entertaining. Before making your Celtics vs Warriors prediction and Game 1 pick, check out our series preview and a look at the opening odds.

What really matters

This series is getting extensive coverage and several angles keep coming up over and over again. The two most popular handicapping angles are the experience of the Warriors and the fact that the Celtics may be tired coming into this game. While both angles are true and favor Golden State, it is vital to not over handicap and rely on these two angles alone without doing further research.

The same can be said about home-court advantage. Since 2013 home teams are just 26-20 straight up and 23-22-1 against the spread (ATS). Overvaluing the home court can lead to buying into inflated lines.

Celtics vs Warriors prediction and Game 1 pick

Golden State is -3.5 in Game 1 and over 69% believe the Warriors will win and cover. The same herd of basketball betting fanatics believes that Stephen Curry will win the MVP. This is due to the fact that everyone believes that the Celtics are tired and the Warriors have the home court and the edge with experience. But don’t count out the Celtics in the first game of the series.

Celtics +3.5 [BET NOW]

The Celtics play very well on the road and they are an amazing 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 games as a road underdog. They rise to the occasion when playing a team with a winning record. They have cashed in with a 35-17 ATS record against those teams.

Boston has the edge on defense and in the paint. Which will give Boston second-chance shots and more opportunities to control the pace of the game. The Warriors can easily catch fire from beyond the arc, but they will have to be consistent against an aggressive perimeter defense led by Marcus Smart.

The offense will be tough to stop as the Warriors have to account for both Jaylen Brown and Jason Tatum. If the Warriors slow them down they will still have to be concerned with Al Horford and Smart who can both put points up if needed.

Money line: Boston +145 [BET NOW]

Over the last eight years, outright winners are 41-2-2 ATS covering at a 95% clip. This means if you like the Celtics plus the points, it is worth betting Boston on the money line.

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