Author: Reggie Brown

Lakers vs Suns Game 5 Picks: Don’t Count out LeBron James

Posted on by Reggie Brown
Lakers vs Suns Game 5 Picks

Lakers vs Suns Game 5 Picks: Don’t Count out LeBron James

The LA Lakers are in trouble. Or at least that is what everyone wants you to think. The Suns won the last game in LA and the series is knotted at 2 games apiece. Anthony Davis is hurting and the Lakers look vulnerable. The “experts” have spoken and the Lakers vs Suns Game 5 predictions are pointing towards the Suns. You can bet on the Suns if you want, but I will not bet against LeBron James with his back against the wall.

Lakers vs Suns Game 5 Odds

The point spread can tell a story in any game and it most certainly does in this one. The Suns are 5 point favorites against the Lakers. I do realize that the Suns are at home and the Lakers will be hurting without Anthony Davis, but five points??

That’s a big number. I can bet on the best player in basketball and the best team in basketball and get points? The Suns were favored in game one and it looked too good to be true, but this game is different.

Overreaction to the Action

This point-spread is high for two reasons. One, the Suns had a big win in LA, and two the Anthony Davis injury. In fact, the spread opened up at 4.5 and moved to 5 as the public started to bet against the Lakers. The Lakers are now underdogs to win this series.


This will not last. The Lakers and LeBron are a favorite of the basketball betting public, so your best bet is to bet it right now.

Leave it to LeBron

There may be another team in the west that can beat the Lakers, but it’s not Phoenix. LeBron is at his best when his back is against the wall. He cannot do it alone, but he does know how to get the best out of his teammates. As a leader, he is going to get this team to stand up and play to the best of their ability without AD. The Lakers are a perfect 4-0 against the spread (ATS) in the last four games after a loss. They know how to respond to adversity.

Missing Links

The Lakers need Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Montrezl Harrell to show up. The numbers show it as his +9.3 net rating is something that the Lakers need right now. Marc Gasol is an efficient and smart veteran that can pick his shots and provide a big body that can open up the paint and score. This was clear with his performance in game four when he shoots above 40 percent from the floor.

NBA teams rise to the occasion when they know they will be without a key contributor.  With Davis, most likely out of the lineup, several Laker players will step in to help. LeBron will make sure that it will happen.

Lakers vs Suns Game 5 Picks

This may be one of the finest performances that we have ever seen by LeBron James. The Suns still have an ailing Chris Paul that they have to be concerned with. Although the Suns are off a win, they are just 2-5-1 ATS in the last eight games overall and 1-3-1 ATS as a favorite. Just when the Suns get comfortable, the Lakers will show why they are the defending champions.

BET LAKERS +5

Nets vs Celtics Game 3 Predictions and Pick

Posted on by Reggie Brown
Nets vs Celtics Game 3 Predictions and Pick

Nets vs Celtics Game 3 Predictions and Pick

The series between the Brooklyn Nets and the Boston Celtics can be described as bland at best. The Nets have dominated the series and a short-handed Celtics team looks as though they have given up. The attention being paid to this series is minimal at best. All the attention is on the Knicks and the Lakers, but that is changing.  Because Kyrie Irving and Danny Ainge decided to make a mess of things.  The Nets vs Celtics Game 3 predictions are usually based on stats, trends, and the latest odds, but this game has a different feel to it.

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Odds First

Before we get into the circus that is the side story in this series, let’s look at the odds. The Nets opened up as a -7 point favorite and that line has slightly moved to -7.5. This is normal considering that over 60 percent of the bets are coming in on the Nets. So you may want to place your bets on this game right now before you get distracted by the stories below.

First, there was Kyrie

Kyrie was actually a beloved figure in Boston. The fans loved him and they were hoping he would resign (as he promised). Of course, he joined Kevin Durant and left for Brooklyn, so the fans were disappointed, but Kyrie did not stop there. When asked about his return to Boston he made it more than about the game of basketball.

This is a big story and it seems like that is exactly what Irving was hoping for. Why focus on the fact that he left Boston hanging and be a villain when he comes back? Instead, his comments can take the focus off what happened when he left and instead be on what may happen during the game. Genius.

Then there was Danny Ainge

If you thought Irving made things murky, just wait for Danny Ainge. Ainge may have been trying to defend his team or the city or both, but he messed up.

If you have watched basketball for 20 minutes or 20 years, you know that this is not true. I am guessing Ainge will put out a statement clarifying his statements, but it won’t matter. The damage is done.

So what does this have to do with the game? The answer is nothing.

Nets vs Celtics Game 3 Predictions

The controversy is a side story at best. The Nets are the much better team and it has shown in every game in the postseason. But, the Celtics are home and that has to count for something, this is why sportsbooks, like MyBookie, dropped the spread two points from the games in Brooklyn. But this game is different.

The Nets had some injury news and they are going to have to adjust entering game three without the services of Jeff Green.

Adjustments are normal in the NBA, but they still take a team out of sync. It also really hurts the Nets on the defensive side of the ball. This will be overlooked by the bettors who love offense and believe that James Harden, Durant, and Irving can fix anything. Not tonight.

This is a do-or-die game for the Celtics. They are 15-5-1 against the spread in the last 21 conference quarterfinal games and an incredible 20-8 ATS as a home underdog. The defensive weakness of the Nets without Green will allow Jayson Tatum to score and distribute the ball to facilitate scoring. The crowd and the energy will get the Celtics to play with the intensity that they have been missing for most of the season.

Bet on the Celtics +7.5

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Sorry Titans, Falcons Should Trade Julio Jones to Patriots

Posted on by Reggie Brown
Falcons Should Trade Julio Jones to Patriots

Falcons Should Trade Julio Jones to Patriots

The Atlanta Falcons and the Julio Jones are clearly parting ways this off season. Much like the Aaron Rodgers story, the Julio Jones and the Falcons saga has many twists and turns. One team that always emerges in the rumors is the New England Patriots. Although other teams are in the running, the Patriots are obviously the best fit.

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Farewell to the Falcons

The only thing that is for sure is that the Falcons are not an option for Jones. This is a shame because Jones is a legend in Atlanta and he will leave a long lasting legacy behind. It may be surprising to some, but Matt Ryan and Jones are the best QB/WR combo in the NFL.

However, it is clear that Jones wants out of Atlanta and according to reports he has selected two teams as his preferred destination. The New England Patriots and the Tennessee Titans.

Odds Are Up in the Air

It is normal for sports betting odds to fluctuate when it comes to potential NFL trades and that is certainly the case with Julio Jones. It all depends on where you want to bet football. This sportsbook has the Titans (+350) as favorites to land Jones, but other sportsbooks have the Patriots (+300) as the favorites to make a trade with the Falcons.

Make Your Pick: Where will Julio Jones play next season?

Titans +350

Patriots +300

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If we judge it by player recruiting, the Titans have the edge.

Player Recruiting is Alive and Well

Once it was made public that Jones wanted out, Patriots and Titans players made a pitch to Jones. It all started with Titans RB Derrick Henry, but since then more players have chimed in.

Trent Brown started things for the Patriots and his tweet was “liked” by many current Patriots players who want to see Jones in New England.

However, no one is as aggressive on social media as Titans WR AJ Brown. Brown is sending plea after plea to Jones and as offered to change his number and let Julio “carry the load”.

Other teams are trying to recruit Jones, like the Philadelphia Eagles, but the Patriots and the Titans are the clear front runners.

Jones to the Patriots Is the Only Way

The Titans are pushing hard on social media to persuade Jones, but it is very unlikely. Recent reports indicate that Tennessee is a “long shot” to land Jones in a deal with Atlanta.

Enter Bill Belichick and the Patriots.

Belichick loves the veteran wide receiver and he will be the perfect addition to a revamped offense. Jones becomes a deep threat that will stretch the field  and open things up for the rest of the offense. Jones reportedly wants to play with the Pats and will welcome a trade to New England, which will make the deal easier to make. After Signing Jonnu Smith, Hunter Henry, Nelson Agholor and Kendrick Bourne, trading for Jones will be the icing on the cake.

Pats Have the Pieces

Although the Falcons still have nightmares from the Super Bowl against the Patriots, they will like what the Pats have to offer. The Patriots have the cap space to handle the contract, can afford to give up picks and have several big names that they could send to Atlanta to improve their team instantly. This includes players like N’Keal Harry, Jakobi Meyers, JC Jackson, Sony Michel and even Stephon Gilmore. This combination of talent and draft capitol will be too much for the Falcons to pass up.

Although the Titans, Browns, Colts, Raiders and 49ers are all rumored to be interested in Jones, when the dust settles, Jones will be in a member of the New England Patriots.

 

NFL Injury Updates

Posted on by Reggie Brown
Dak Prescott Injury

NFL Injury Updates

Every season players in the NFL get hurt. In fact, by the time the calendar moves to December almost every player in the league is battling injury and is just trying to survive to the end.

Some make it to the final week, others don’t, but all of them are focused on getting healthy during the offseason. It is important to keep up with the NFL injury updates. 

Dak Prescott Is Practicing

In October, Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott suffered a devastating compound fracture of his ankle. At the time it cast doubt on a future extension, as well as where he might be playing in 2021 if he would be playing at all. They need him under center if they want to win the Super Bowl, although the odds say Dallas is a longshot. 

Fast forward seven months and not only does Prescott have his new contract, keeping him in Dallas long-term, but he is also practicing with the Cowboys at OTAs. He’s not 100% yet, but the timeline of him being a full participant in practice by the time training camps open in July feels like a pretty safe bet.

Time will tell if the injury changes his mobility in the coming season and beyond, but seeing him throw passes again is a positive step for all involved. Betting markets feel good about Prescott’s return as it relates to the Cowboys winning their division. Dallas sports the lowest odds of +110 on the betting board to win the NFC East next year.

Joe Burrow Still on Target for Week 1

Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow suffered a serious knee injury in Week 11 of his rookie season, tearing both his ACL and MCL and resulting in reconstructive knee surgery in December.

The doctor who performed the surgery recently said that Burrow is on track to make his return to the field by the opening week of the 2021 season, saying that the young quarterback is doing everything right in rehabbing the injury.

“He’s worked his tail off,” said Dr. Neal ElAttrache. “He’s been an amazingly mature participant in his recovery. He’s focused and great to work with.”

He went on to say that the knee is performing perfectly for this stage of the recovery, and all systems go for the start of the season.

That also seemed to be the message the Bengals were sending when they released a video of Burrow working out this week. He’s noticeably bigger in the upper body, and both the team and fans hope he’ll be better suited for the rigors of a full NFL season.

Bettors aren’t as confident in Burrow’s return to bolster the Bengals to success. Cincinnati sits second-to-last on the odds board to win the AFC next season at a +5000 price, trailed only by the lowly Houston Texans at +7500.

Derwin James a Full Participant in OTAs

Sadly we haven’t seen enough of Derwin James on the field since his standout rookie season. The All-Pro as a rookie has played just five games over the last two seasons because of injuries, losing all of 2020 to a torn meniscus suffered in training camp.

However, James is now fully recovered from that injury, and the Chargers had their safety back as a full participant when they began OTAs this week.

New head coach Brandon Staley said of James, “He looks great. He sounds great. As you know, one of his strengths as a football player is his leadership and the energy that he gives everybody each and every day. He’s a multiplier out there. When he’s out there our chances increase by a whole bunch.”

In his rookie season of 2018, James finished with 105 tackles, 3.5 sacks, and three interceptions.

Von Miller Still Just as Fast

The Broncos welcomed future Hall of Famer Von Miller back to the field at OTAs on Monday. He lost all of 2020 because of a dislocated tendon in his ankle that required season-ending surgery.

When asked if he was back to his old form, Miller said, “It never left.”

Head coach Vic Fangio also confirmed that Miller still has what it takes at 32, saying that the MVP of Super Bowl 50 looks just as fast as he ever did.

Christian McCaffrey Back on the Field

The Panthers have a new quarterback in Sam Darnold. But everyone knows that the offense can only be successful if Christian McCaffrey is healthy and on the field. Last year he wasn’t, suffering a high ankle sprain, a shoulder injury, and a quad injury, that kept him off the field for a total of 13 games.

He is now back, looking good and feeling good. Hopefully, with Darnold under center, he can return to his 1,000-1,000 form from 2019 and thrive in Joe Brady’s offense in Carolina.

 Breaking down the 2021 NBA Playoff Bracket predictions

Posted on by Reggie Brown
 Breaking down the 2021 NBA Playoff Bracket predictions

Breaking down the 2021 NBA Playoff Bracket predictions

Last year we enjoyed breaking down the NBA playoff brackets so much, we decided that we were going to do it again this year. The difference is, we waited for the play-in games to be complete so we will focus on the completed bracket pictured above. It is time to jump right in and behind breaking down the 2021 NBA Playoff predictions.

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Western Conference NBA playoff predictions

Last year we correctly predicted that the LA Lakers would win the west and they are once again favorites to advance to the NBA Finals.

First Round

It’s clear that the Lakers will have their hands full with the Phoenix Suns and that was very clear in game one. But don’t fret, the Lakers are a bigger team will play physical. This will wear down the Suns and they will advance.

The Blazers will let the Nuggets make this a series too, but Portland moves on. Even though both the Clippers and Jazz have issues that will rear their ugly head in the opening round, both teams will advance.

Second Round

The Blazers will need to play defense if they have any hopes of beating LeBron James and the Lakers. Unfortunately for Portland fans, they don’t play any defense. The Lakers may lose one game in Portland, but they are going to advance.

The Utah Jazz are very disciplined and they are very deserving of the No. 1 seed, but the Clippers are going to advance in this series. Paul George and the Clippers have some issues with consistency, but the NBA wants LA vs LA in the Finals and that is exactly what they will get.

Western Conference Finals

LeBron vs Kawhi will be the story to watch in the Finals. The difference is that the Clippers are healthy. The Lakers will come in battered and bruised. The Clippers will get revenge,  George will finally get his playoff redemption and the Clippers will advance in 6 games to the NBA Finals. Clippers win the western conference.

Bet on MyBookie

Eastern Conference NBA playoff predictions

Finally for the first time decades, the East is better than the West. However, this can make it difficult to pick winners with so many tightly contested match ups.

First Round

The Brooklyn Nets will be the team to watch for good reason. They are focused and it will show in the first round as they sweep the short-handed Boston Celtics out of the first round.

The 76ers will be equally impressive in the first round of the playoffs as they only lose one game as they usher Russell Westbrook and the Washington Wizards out of the playoffs.

Down to the Wire

The other two series will be very close. The Knicks will need all seven games if they want to take down the pesky Hawks. These teams are very similar and with two very god coaches, this will be a chess match that will go down to the wire. Knicks advance because the NBA needs them too.

The first game between Milwaukee and Miami went to overtime and this is what this series is going to be all about. However, this is a different Bucks team and they will win and advance.

Second Round

This second round will be fun to watch. Four really good teams will face off. The Sixers will drop a game in MSG, but they will advance and await the winner of the Nets vs Bucks, which will be the best series of the playoffs. The Bucks are no pushover and this team will not be intimidated to do battle with Kevin Durant and the rest of the Nets.

This will go deep and a seven game series will not be surprising. However, when the dust has settled, the Nets will advance to the conference finals.

Eastern Conference Finals

The Sixers and the Nets will be a match-up to watch. Ben Simmons is an elite defender that will be able to guard Kyrie Irving on the perimeter. Joel Embiid provides the size down low that the Nets do not have. This will allow the Sixers to make this a series. Trust the process, the Sixers beat the Nets and advance to the NBA Finals. 

NBA Finals

The Sixers vs Clippers is not Lakers vs Nets, but it will still be an incredible match up with plenty of big names. The major difference in this series will be Kawhi Leonard. He has been on this stage multiple times and always delivers. He will do it once again as he snags the MVP and the championship.

NBA Finals Prediction: Clippers in 6

2020 World Champions: LA Clippers +600

Are you ready to bet on the NBA Playoffs? Pick a winner!

Here are the odds to Win NBA Championship

Team Odds
Brooklyn Nets +220
Los Angeles Lakers +460
Los Angeles Clippers +600
Utah Jazz +600
Philadelphia 76ers +800
Milwaukee Bucks +800
Phoenix Suns +2500
Miami Heat +3000
Denver Nuggets +3800
Dallas Mavericks +4200
Portland Trail Blazers +5500
Atlanta Hawks +10000
Boston Celtics +11000
New York Knicks +12000
Memphis Grizzlies +12000
Washington Wizards +24000

Lakers vs Suns Game 1 Picks and Predictions for Every Game

Posted on by Reggie Brown
Lakers vs Suns Game 1 Picks and Predictions for Every Game

Lakers vs Suns Game 1 Picks and Predictions for Every Game

The NBA playoffs have started and day one saw an upset and plenty of exciting basketball games. The second day will provide more great action to watch and wager on. It’s time to break down every game on the schedule for day 2 of the playoffs to include Lakers vs Suns game 1 picks.

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Wizards vs Sixers

The Wizards managed an impressive turnaround to include winning in the play-in tournament to get into the playoffs. It will not get any easier against the No. 1 team in the East. The Philadelphia Sixers are ready to make a run for the championship. The Wizards finished the season with a 17-6 record, but it came with a price. Bradley Beal hurt his hamstring and he has not looked the same since. Russell Westbrook will have to carry this team if they have any hopes of an upset.

Philly is dominant when they have the starting five in the lineup. They are 27-5 overall and 16-0 at home straight up. The 76ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite and  6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. The Wizards have no answer for Joel Embiid and they lose big in game one.

Philadelphia -7.5

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Lakers vs Suns

LeBron James is always must-see basketball and that is the case in this opening series. The Lakers vs Suns series has the potential to be a seven-game series. The first thing that stands out about this match-up is the point spread. According to the sportsbooks, the Lakers are the favorite to win the championship. That is why it is stunning to see that they are underdogs in the first game in Phoenix. This is not a good scenario since the Lakers are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 playoff games as an underdog.

The lopsided point spread is due to the injuries that the Lakers have. Anthony Davis is not at 100 percent, but he will play today and he is focused on one thing; stealing home-court advantage.

“You’ve got to steal Game 1,” Davis said. “You’ve got to steal home-court advantage. … I think if you win on the road it puts a lot more pressure on them, the higher seed.

“Our mindset is to take Game 1 and take that home-court advantage, and it could benefit us in the end.”

The Suns who are led by Chris Paul and Devin Booker will not be easy to beat. The Suns are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games when playing against a team with a winning straight-up record. They rise to the occasion against good teams. When a point-spread looks too good to be true, it usually is. The Lakers look too good getting points in this game. The Suns are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games as a home favorite and they win game one.

Lakers vs Suns Game 1 Picks: Phoenix -2.5

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Hawks vs Knicks

The New York Knicks are back in the playoffs and this team is getting plenty of hype heading into the series against the Atlanta Hawks. That i why we have an extended preview of this series and this game. Read it here and get all of the free picks and predictions for the Hawks vs Knicks.

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Grizzlies vs Jazz

The Utah Jazz is one of the best stories of the NBA season. The Jazz has the far better point differential (plus-8.2 PPG) in the league and they are a very disciplined basketball team. The Memphis Grizzlies are on a quick turnaround after an overtime win against the Warriors to advance to the playoffs. But this team is used to adversity and the Grizzlies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.

The Jazz is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite and will have some rust from the layoff. The frantic pace of the Grizzlies will be hard to contain early and that will keep this game close. To further illustrate that point, Utah is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest. If they don’t recover quickly enough, this could be the biggest upset of the day and perhaps the playoffs.

Grizzlies +9

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MB NBAB 320x50 Jpg

Printable March Madness Brackets 2021 and Betting Bonuses

Posted on by Reggie Brown
Printable March Madness Brackets 2021 and Betting Bonuses

Printable March Madness Brackets 2021 and Betting Bonuses

There are many things that one should do to get ready for the NCAA Tournament and March Madness. It all starts with the Printable March Madness Brackets 2021. Once you have the bracket, the next step is watching college basketball and waiting for selection Sunday. Then it is time to view the odds, collect betting bonuses to bet, joining all of the big-money contests, and winning!

Let’s start with this incredible bonus: Claim the bonus, get the bracket and bet on basketball  >>> HERE. 

Printable March Madness Brackets 2021

Let’s start with the Printable March Madness Brackets. Many sites have them, but if you want the cleanest look, with the easiest to print and the best format this is the one. Click here to download the best March Madness bracket.

Betting on the 2021 NCAA Tournament

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Best March Madness Contests 2021

Filling out brackets is fun, but winning money is even sweeter. That is why we have compiled the best March Madness contests. From the perfect bracket contests to the big pay-outs we keep track of all of the best March Madness bracket contests for this year. Follow this link to stay up to date.

2021 March Madness Expert Betting News

Our experts here at BookieBlitz.com love March Madness. We will deliver winning picks against the spread and our bracket predictions for free. Follow us on Twitter Bookie Blitz (@bookie_blitz) and visit the site often to get the latest news, information, and picks ALL FOR FREE!

The Best March Madness Contests 2021

Posted on by Reggie Brown
The Best March Madness Contests 2021

The Best March Madness Contests 2021

This is the best time of the year if you are a college basketball fan. Heck, even if you are not a college basketball fan, it is still a good time of year because the NCAA tournament is always an exciting time of year. Even if you do not like to look at the NCAA Tournament odds and bet on college hoops, everyone enjoys filling out a March Madness bracket and joining a contest. That is why we have compiled the best March Madness Contests 2021 and how you can enjoy all that the Madness has to offer.

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A list of the best March Madness Contests 2021

Our goal is to continually update this list with all of the best contests for the 2021 NCAA Tournament bracket contests. We will update this article the minute that the contests are announced. If you see any contests that we have not added, contact us and we will put the contest on the list!

#1 BetUS $1,000,000 March Mayhem

 BetUS is recognized as a leading online betting site for more than 25 years and they have one of the best March Madness Contests. March Mayhem is an online bracket contest that you do not want to miss. At BetUS, they pay for perfection in this exciting contest. They give out $10,000 for a perfect 8-team or 16-team bracket. If you’re lucky enough to get a perfect 64-team bracket you will claim the $1,000,00 grand prize!

# 2

MyBracket $100,000 Bracket Contest

The MyBracket contest is brought to you by the great folks from MyBookie, our top-rated online sportsbook. This is one of the biggest NCAA Tournament contests of the year. You can achieve multiple entries and you with a prize pool of $100,000, this is one contest that you do not want to miss out on. Grab the sports welcome bonus to bet on basketball and get in on this exclusive bracket contest! ENTER NOW!

My Bookie

#3

BetOnline $100,000 Bracket Madness

BetOnline is highly regarded as a safe and secure place to enjoy betting on sports so it comes as no surprise that they will have one of the best March Madness Contests of the season. There is no need to wait, you can get in on this contest now! The Top 300 will win a piece of the $100,000 prize pool so everyone can win. This is one contest that you do not want to miss! ENTER NOW!

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NFL Rumors and Trade Tracker 2021: Watching the Quarterbacks

Posted on by Reggie Brown
NFL Rumors and Trade Tracker 2021: Watching the Quarterbacks

NFL Rumors and Trade Tracker 2021: Watching the Quarterbacks

Deshaun Watson Odds

NFL Rumors and Trade Tracker 2021

The NFL season is fantastic, but the offseason is also very exciting. It all starts with the NFL draft, but the free agency/trade market is what everyone is talking about and that is especially true this season. Our NFL rumors and trad tracker 2021 will keep up you up to date on the latest news and odds for the best players in the league. 

This is the year of the quarterback. Everyone is watching the quarterback position because many signal-callers may have a new team next season. Matthew Stafford and Jared Goff have already switched teams. Other names like Carson Wentz, Russell Wilson, and Deshaun Watson are rumored to move this offseason. We look at the NFL rumor odds and predict where each player will play next season. 

Russell Wilson Odds

Matthew Stafford Odds

Carson Wentz Odds

 Watson

Where will Deshaun Watson play next season? We track the odds and the latest news….here

 

Wilson

The Seahawks won’t trade Russell Wilson, right? Don’t be so sure. Track the Wilson rumors…here

Watt

It’s not all about the quarterbacks. What about JJ Watt? We update the latest news and notes on his next team…here

Carson Wentz

Wentz

The Eagles traded Carson Wentz to the Colts. Since the trade the odds on Indianapolis to win the Super Bowl have changed…here

Marcus Mariota

Mariota may be a backup QB, but he is getting plenty of attention. The Raiders are getting calls and listening. Reports indicate that Washington is aggressive, but they are not alone. 

Marcus Mariota

Headed to Washington? | Odds

The New York Jets have a top pick in a QB heavy draft, so it only makes sense that they are shopping Sam Darnold. Teams are very interested and they are making things very interesting. 

Sam Darnold

Multiple teams interested| Bet On it

Cam Newton had a difficult season in New England, but he is still a sought after QB in the league. There are many teams in the hunt for Newton and that includes Bill Belichick and the Patriots. 

Cam Newton

Will Cam stay in New England?| Odds

Super Bowl LV Trends To Track (and ignore)

Posted on by Reggie Brown
Super Bowl LV Trends To Track (and ignore)

Super Bowl LV Trends to Track (and ignore)

The biggest game in the NFL is always fun to handicap. From the odds to the free picks and predictions along with the prop bets, it’s always interesting trying to make money on the Super Bowl. With the Kansas City Chiefs matching up against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, this game is even more enticing. Many handicappers will turn to sports betting trends to try and reveal a winner. That can be a problem if you do not know what Super Bowl LV trends to track and ignore.

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Super Bowl LV Trends to Track

There are hundreds of Super Bowl trends to track, but only a few of them are actually useful. Finding those trends and applying those trends in the handicapping process can be very useful. There are no trends that are 100 percent so tread carefully when using trends.

  • The Chiefs enter 8-10 ATS on the season, the fifth team to advance to the Super Bowl with a losing ATS record (only the 2012 Ravens went on to win). This trend is important because it shows a clear pattern. Teams that do not cover often fall flat in the Super Bowl.
  • The favored team is 35-19 straight up in the 54 Super Bowls. This is plain and simple, the better team usually wins the big game. Although it is contradictory to the first trend, it is worth noting if you plan on making a money line bet on the Super Bowl.
  • Andy Reid is 17-11 against the spread (ATS) when he has extra time to prepare for a game. This includes both regular season and postseason games. This is a good one, because coaching matters. With enough time to prepare, Reid is tough to stop.
  • If the total is 49.5 or less, the over is 5-1. But if the total is 50.5 or higher, the under is 3-1. This may be significant this year because, with two great quarterbacks, this line is inflated. The public like scoring points and rooting for points, so this is an interesting angle to track.

Super Bowl LV Trends to Ignore

Just like they are hundreds of useful trends to track there are also many that should be flat out ignored. Just because it is a trend does not mean that it should be a part of your handicapping process.

  • The Chiefs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. This can be a bit misleading. This more coincidence than anything else. The correlation between passing for over 250 yards and not covering the next game is difficult to decipher.
  • AFC teams have won and covered five of the last six Super Bowls. This means nothing because the matchups and teams were different each year.
  • The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. This is before Tom Brady and these games and this trend is not relevant.
  • Tampa Bay won outright the past 4 times as playoff underdogs, including twice already this season and once at Super Bowl 37. The two wins this season may be noteworthy, but the other two are not.

NFL betting trends are fun to track. They are also good sup[port pillars for making picks in the NFL. However, they should not be used as a standalone reason to make a wager. With enough research, you may just find that you never needed them at all.

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